{"id":48198,"date":"2026-03-06T08:04:09","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T08:04:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/riskten-kacinma-ve-guclu-abd-verileri-dolari-destekleyerek-catismalarin-golgesinde-eur-usdyi-11600e-dogru-geriletti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T08:04:09","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T08:04:09","slug":"riskten-kacinma-ve-guclu-abd-verileri-dolari-destekleyerek-catismalarin-golgesinde-eur-usdyi-11600e-dogru-geriletti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/riskten-kacinma-ve-guclu-abd-verileri-dolari-destekleyerek-catismalarin-golgesinde-eur-usdyi-11600e-dogru-geriletti\/","title":{"rendered":"Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131nma ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri Dolar\u2019\u0131 destekleyerek \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n g\u00f6lgesinde EUR\/USD\u2019yi 1,1600\u2019e do\u011fru geriletti"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,21 gerileyerek Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n etkisiyle devam eden riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) ortam\u0131nda 1,1600 seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131. ABD hisse piyasalar\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri de ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekledi.\n\n28 \u015eubat ile biten haftaya ait \u0130lk \u0130\u015fsizlik Maa\u015f\u0131 Ba\u015fvurular\u0131 213 bin geldi (beklenti 215 bin). Challenger, Gray &#038; Christmas\u2019\u0131n (i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karma verisi yay\u0131mlayan kurum) raporuna g\u00f6re \u015eubat\u2019ta duyurulan i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karmalar 48.300 oldu; Ocak\u2019taki 108.435 seviyesine g\u00f6re %55 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f.\n\n<h3>Dolar G\u00fcc\u00fc ve Riskten Ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f<\/h3>\nRichmond Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Thomas Barkin, enflasyonun \u201cyap\u0131\u015fkan\u201d kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n kolay gerilememesi) s\u00f6yledi ve son istihdam verilerinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fini belirtti. Enflasyon endi\u015fesi s\u00fcrd\u00fck\u00e7e risk dengesinin de\u011fi\u015febilece\u011fini de ifade etti.\n\nAvrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n faizi de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi\u011fini ve enflasyonun %2 hedefinin daha da alt\u0131na inebilece\u011fini tart\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Bu toplant\u0131, ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi t\u0131rmanmadan \u00f6nce yap\u0131ld\u0131. Gerilim, enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc olumsuz etkiliyor.\n\nCuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Euro B\u00f6lgesi takviminde 2025\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011fine ait istihdam verileri ve GSYH (Gayrisafi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la; ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6steren temel \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm) ile ECB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 yer al\u0131yor. ABD\u2019de Ocak perakende sat\u0131\u015flar (t\u00fcketici harcamas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren veri) ve \u015eubat Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (Nonfarm Payrolls; tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) verisi a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. \u0130stihdam art\u0131\u015f beklentisi 59 bin, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 beklentisi %4,3.\n\nEUR\/USD 1,1609 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m durumunu \u00f6l\u00e7en momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 33 seviyesinde. Diren\u00e7 (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi zorlayan seviye) 1,1700\/1,1720, ard\u0131ndan 1,1820. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma seviyesi) 1,1615 ve 1,1570\/1,1550.\n\nEUR\/USD i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri ve k\u00fcresel riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f dolar talebini art\u0131r\u0131rken parite 1,1600 seviyesine bask\u0131 yap\u0131yor. Bu tablo, eurodaki gerilemeden fayda sa\u011flayan stratejilerin g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.\n\n<h3>Strateji ve Veri Riskleri<\/h3>\nABD i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndaki son g\u00fc\u00e7lenme, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) duru\u015funu yumu\u015fatmas\u0131 i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 gerek\u00e7e b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Son T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi; enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisinde \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7) %3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, dolar lehine euro aleyhine bir fark yarat\u0131yor.\n\nDi\u011fer tarafta ECB, enflasyonun hedefin alt\u0131na inebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor; bu, Fed\u2019den farkl\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m. Bu fark ABD-Almanya 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getiri fark\u0131nda (iki \u00fclkenin k\u0131sa vadeli faiz beklentisini yans\u0131tan spread) g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; fark 180 baz puan\u0131n (1 baz puan = %0,01) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve dolar\u0131 elde tutmay\u0131 daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n enerji ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 da ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi artt\u0131k\u00e7a euro \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.\n\nBu \u00e7er\u00e7evede EUR\/USD put opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131 (belirli vadede belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisine uygun) a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket i\u00e7in daha temkinli bir konumlanma olabilir ve hedef 1,1550 destek band\u0131 olarak izlenebilir. Daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi olanlar i\u00e7in 1,1700 civar\u0131nda \u201ccall spread\u201d satmak (iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte kullanarak getiri toplarken riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak) prim geliri (opsiyon sat\u0131\u015f\u0131yla al\u0131nan \u00fccret) sa\u011flaman\u0131n bir yolu olabilir.\n\nBu haftan\u0131n en kritik veri riski ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi. Beklenti 59 bin olsa da 150 binin belirgin \u00fczerindeki bir sonu\u00e7, Fed\u2019in temkinli duru\u015funu destekleyebilir ve EUR\/USD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir. Bu nedenle veri a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) artmas\u0131 beklenebilir ve pozisyonlar\u0131n buna g\u00f6re y\u00f6netilmesi gerekir.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00f6zler ABD verilerinde: Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD istihdam sinyalleriyle EUR\/USD 1,1600\u2019e bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda. ECB g\u00fcvercin. 1,1550 hedefi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, NFP oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48198","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48198","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48198"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48198\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48198"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48198"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48198"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}