{"id":48197,"date":"2026-03-06T08:03:23","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T08:03:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy-alicilarin-15700-seviyesini-korumasiyla-030-yukseldi-riskten-kacis-guclu-abd-istihdam-verileri-ve-sahin-barkin-aciklamalari-destek-verdi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T08:03:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T08:03:23","slug":"usd-jpy-alicilarin-15700-seviyesini-korumasiyla-030-yukseldi-riskten-kacis-guclu-abd-istihdam-verileri-ve-sahin-barkin-aciklamalari-destek-verdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-jpy-alicilarin-15700-seviyesini-korumasiyla-030-yukseldi-riskten-kacis-guclu-abd-istihdam-verileri-ve-sahin-barkin-aciklamalari-destek-verdi\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY, al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n 157,00 seviyesini korumas\u0131yla %0,30 y\u00fckseldi; riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD istihdam verileri ve \u015fahin Barkin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 destek verdi"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,30 y\u00fckselerek 157,50 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Parite 157,00 \u00fczerinde tutunurken, ABD Dolar\u0131 daha zay\u0131f risk i\u015ftah\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi), g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD istihdam verileri ve Richmond Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Thomas Barkin\u2019in \u015fahin (faiz indirimi yerine s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fu savunan) a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131yla destek buldu.\n\nG\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u201cbo\u011fa yutan\u201d formasyonu (y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f sinyali) al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n bu seviyelerde bask\u0131n oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak 158,00 civar\u0131nda Japon yetkililerin m\u00fcdahale riski nedeniyle y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rlanabilir.\n\n<h3>Momentum And Key Technical Levels<\/h3>\nMomentum pozitif kal\u0131yor. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) n\u00f6tr \u00e7izginin \u00fczerinde, ancak a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine (fiyat\u0131n \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi\u011fine i\u015faret eden alan) girmedi. Daha fazla y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in 3 Mart zirvesi olan 157,97\u2019nin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor.\n\n157,97 ge\u00e7ilirse s\u0131radaki seviyeler 158,50 ve 159,00. Bunun \u00fczerinde hedefler 23 Ocak zirvesi 159,22 ve ard\u0131ndan 160,00.\n\nYen; Japonya\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik performans\u0131, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) politikas\u0131, ABD\u2013Japonya tahvil faiz fark\u0131 ve piyasadaki risk alg\u0131s\u0131ndan etkilenir. BoJ 2013\u20132024 d\u00f6neminde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gev\u015fek politika (\u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ve destekleyici para politikas\u0131) uygulayarak Yeni zay\u0131flatt\u0131. 2024\u2019te bu politikay\u0131 kademeli geri sarmaya (gev\u015femeyi azaltmaya) ba\u015flay\u0131nca ABD\u2013Japonya 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k faiz fark\u0131 darald\u0131.\n\n<h3>Rates Policy Divergence And Intervention Risk<\/h3>\nABD ve Japon tahvil faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark, pariteyi y\u00f6nlendiren temel unsur olmaya devam ediyor. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine tahvili faizi yakla\u015f\u0131k %4,1 iken, Japonya 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k devlet tahvili faizi %0,75\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Bu da daha \u00f6nce dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleyen fark\u0131n bir miktar daralmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda odak noktas\u0131 bu daralma e\u011filimi.\n\nBoJ politika de\u011fi\u015fimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda negatif faizden \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimaline i\u015faret etti. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde faiz indirimi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Son \u00e7ekirdek PCE enflasyonu (enerji ve g\u0131da hari\u00e7 enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %2,8\u2019e geriledi. Dolara g\u00fc\u00e7 veren merkez bankas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 (politika fark\u0131) tersine d\u00f6nmeye ba\u015fl\u0131yor.\n\nJapon yetkililerin m\u00fcdahale tehdidi, 2025\u2019te 158,00 civar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi piyasada \u00f6nemli bir tavan olmaya devam ediyor. 2022 sonlar\u0131nda parite 151,00\u2019i a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen do\u011frudan m\u00fcdahaleler (piyasadan d\u00f6viz al\u0131m-sat\u0131m\u0131yla kurun etkilenmesi) hat\u0131rlanmal\u0131. 151,00 seviyesi yeniden psikolojik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. USD\/JPY\u2019de ani bir s\u0131\u00e7rama, Tokyo\u2019dan sert s\u00f6zl\u00fc uyar\u0131larla kar\u015f\u0131lanabilir ve y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.\n\nBu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm alt\u0131nda USD\/JPY\u2019de uzun vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak y\u00fcksek riskli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bunun yerine yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u201ccall spread\u201d satmay\u0131 (ayn\u0131 vadede iki farkl\u0131 fiyattan call al\u0131p-satmak; riski s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 strateji) veya 152,50 \u00fczerindeki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d call (\u015fu anki fiyata g\u00f6re k\u00e2rs\u0131z b\u00f6lgede kalan al\u0131m opsiyonu) satmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesi \u00f6neriliyor. Ama\u00e7 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7ten yararlanmak ve opsiyon primi (opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fccret) toplamak; paritede \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yatay veya hafif a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket beklentisine pozisyon almak.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dolar\/yen 157,50\u2019ye t\u0131rman\u0131rken bo\u011falar avantajl\u0131: g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verisi ve \u015fahin Fed deste\u011fi var. Ancak 158,00\u2019de m\u00fcdahale riski, daralan faiz fark\u0131 ve opsiyon stratejileri y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48197","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48197","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48197"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48197\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48197"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48197"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48197"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}