{"id":48163,"date":"2026-03-06T07:19:44","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T07:19:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/rbinin-mudahalesi-rupinin-bes-seanslik-dusus-serisini-sonlandirmasina-yardimci-oldu-usd-inr-gun-ici-dip-seviyesine-yakin-seyretti\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T07:19:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T07:19:44","slug":"rbinin-mudahalesi-rupinin-bes-seanslik-dusus-serisini-sonlandirmasina-yardimci-oldu-usd-inr-gun-ici-dip-seviyesine-yakin-seyretti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/rbinin-mudahalesi-rupinin-bes-seanslik-dusus-serisini-sonlandirmasina-yardimci-oldu-usd-inr-gun-ici-dip-seviyesine-yakin-seyretti\/","title":{"rendered":"RBI\u2019nin m\u00fcdahalesi rupinin be\u015f seansl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisini sonland\u0131rmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu; USD\/INR g\u00fcn i\u00e7i dip seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti"},"content":{"rendered":"Hindistan Rupisi, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda be\u015f g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisini sonland\u0131rd\u0131; USD\/INR yeniden 91,80\u201391,82 band\u0131na yakla\u015ft\u0131. Reuters, Hindistan Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBI) d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131na m\u00fcdahale ederek kurun tek y\u00f6nl\u00fc sert hareketlerini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131.\n\nUSD\/INR, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmayla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 yabanc\u0131 fon \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 92,67 ile rekor seviyeyi g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Mart ay\u0131n\u0131n ilk iki i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde Yabanc\u0131 Kurumsal Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar (FII: yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 merkezli b\u00fcy\u00fck fonlar), Hindistan hisselerinde 12.048,29 crore rupi (yakla\u015f\u0131k 120,48 milyar rupi) net sat\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131; bu tutar \u015eubat ay\u0131ndaki toplam\u0131n neredeyse iki kat\u0131.\n\n<h3>Orta Do\u011fu Gerilimi Ve Dolara Talep<\/h3>\nPetrol fiyatlar\u0131, ABD, \u0130srail ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 i\u00e7eren gerilimin artmas\u0131yla hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. Sky News Arabia, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n, ABD\u2019nin alternatif bir teklif sunmas\u0131 halinde n\u00fckleer altyap\u0131 kurma planlar\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini; D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Saeed Khatibzadeh\u2019e dayand\u0131rarak aktard\u0131.\n\nBu geli\u015fme, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00f6neldi\u011fi varl\u0131k) olarak Dolara olan talebi azaltt\u0131. Yine de ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) %0,2 y\u00fckseli\u015fle 99,00 civar\u0131nda kald\u0131. CME FedWatch (piyasan\u0131n faiz beklentisini vadeli i\u015flemlerden t\u00fcreten g\u00f6sterge), Fed\u2019in Temmuz\u2019da faizi sabit tutma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc %37,9\u2019dan %50,2\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.\n\nABD verilerinde ADP istihdam (\u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam tahmini) \u015eubat\u2019ta 63 bin geldi; beklenti 50 bin, \u00f6nceki 11 bindi. ISM Prices Paid (ISM anketinde girdi maliyetlerini \u00f6l\u00e7en fiyat endeksi) 70,5 ile beklenti olan 59,5\u2019in \u00fczerinde, \u00f6nceki 59,0\u2019\u0131n da \u00fcst\u00fcnde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Teknik tarafta USD\/INR, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama: son verilere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) 91,36 civar\u0131ndaki seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi: momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 62\u2019ye yak\u0131nd\u0131; destek 91,36, 91,00 ve 90,60, diren\u00e7 92,67 olarak izlendi.\n\n<h3>Fed Politikas\u0131 Ve Opsiyon Pozisyonlanmas\u0131<\/h3>\nParitenin di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc, bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re daha az net. CME FedWatch arac\u0131, y\u0131l sonuna kadar en az iki faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %65 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu de\u011fi\u015fen Fed politikas\u0131, Dolar\u0131n yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.\n\nBu \u00e7er\u00e7evede USD\/INR\u2019de do\u011frudan al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc call opsiyonu (belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) almak riskli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc RBI, sert y\u00fckseli\u015fleri agresif bi\u00e7imde s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bunun yerine \u201cbull call spread\u201d (daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren, kazanc\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji) de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem, paritede s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ve kademeli y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanmay\u0131 hedeflerken ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini ve riski azalt\u0131r.\n\nTemel bask\u0131lar ile merkez bankas\u0131 m\u00fcdahalesi aras\u0131ndaki s\u00fcrekli \u00e7eki\u015fme, \u201cvolatiliteyi\u201d (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fiddeti) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Bu nedenle \u201cstraddle\u201d gibi uzun volatilite stratejileri de izlenebilir: ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m (call) hem sat\u0131m (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) opsiyonu alarak, kurun iki y\u00f6nde de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket yapmas\u0131 halinde kazan\u00e7 ihtimali artar.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rupi nefes ald\u0131: Be\u015f g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bitti, USD\/INR 91,80\u2019e \u00e7ekildi. Rekor 92,67 sonras\u0131 RBI m\u00fcdahalesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; petrol, FII \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve Fed beklentileri volatiliteyi art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48163","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48163","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48163"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48163\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48163"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48163"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48163"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}