{"id":47907,"date":"2026-06-02T02:29:22","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T02:29:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-chf-politika-ayrismasi-ve-boga-sinyallerinin-dolari-desteklemesiyle-07900-kirilimini-hedefliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-06-02T02:29:22","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T02:29:22","slug":"usd-chf-politika-ayrismasi-ve-boga-sinyallerinin-dolari-desteklemesiyle-07900-kirilimini-hedefliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-chf-politika-ayrismasi-ve-boga-sinyallerinin-dolari-desteklemesiyle-07900-kirilimini-hedefliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF, Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve Bo\u011fa Sinyallerinin Dolar\u0131 Desteklemesiyle 0,7900 K\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 Hedefliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir \u201cpiercing\u201d (delici) formasyonu olu\u015fturdu ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,7860 seviyesinde %0,70 y\u00fckseldi. Bu hareket, pariteyi 0,7868\u2019deki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya yakla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rken, fiyat 0,7900 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda bask\u0131lanmaya devam ediyor. Parite ayr\u0131ca 0,7834\u2019teki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karken, RSI da y\u00fckseli\u015f b\u00f6lgesine d\u00f6nd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Momentumun s\u00fcrmesi halinde 0,7900\u2019in a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, oda\u011f\u0131 0,8000\u2019e ve ard\u0131ndan 6 Nisan\u2019daki g\u00fcnl\u00fck zirve olan 0,8018\u2019e \u00e7evirebilir; ek diren\u00e7ler 31 Mart\u2019taki sal\u0131n\u0131m zirvesi 0,8042 ve bunun \u00fczerinde 0,8100 seviyesinde bulunuyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc senaryoda ise tekrar 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na inilmesi 0,7800\u2019\u00fc g\u00fcndeme getirebilir; bunun alt\u0131nda destek seviyeleri 8 May\u0131s g\u00fcnl\u00fck dip 0,7761 ve 10 Mart g\u00fcnl\u00fck dip 0,7748 olurken, s\u0131radaki seviye 0,7700.<\/p>\n

Teknik Sinyaller ve Makro S\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcler<\/h3>\n

USD\/CHF\u2019de olu\u015fan y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc piercing formasyonu, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yukar\u0131 potansiyele i\u015faret ediyor. Al\u0131c\u0131lar, fiyat\u0131 yeniden 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yarak g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu teknik sinyal, y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanan stratejilerin de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Bu hareket, ABD ile \u0130svi\u00e7re aras\u0131ndaki faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yla da destekleniyor. \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131 (SNB) ge\u00e7en ay politika faizini %1,25\u2019e indirirken, ABD\u2019de son enflasyon verisi beklentilerin bir miktar \u00fczerinde %3,1 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, \u0130svi\u00e7re frang\u0131na k\u0131yasla ABD dolar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 daha cazip hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n

Son ekonomik veriler de bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. ABD\u2019de son istihdam raporu 220 binlik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131na i\u015faret ederek, Fed\u2019in faiz indiriminde acele etmeyece\u011fi beklentisini destekledi. Piyasalar art\u0131k Eyl\u00fcl\u2019e kadar Fed faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yaln\u0131zca %20 civar\u0131nda fiyatl\u0131yor; bu oran ge\u00e7en aya g\u00f6re belirgin \u015fekilde gerilemi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015flem Stratejileri ve Tarihsel Ba\u011flam<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu tablo, al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131na bak\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in net bir sinyal olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 0,7900 veya 0,8000\u2019e yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call opsiyonlar\u0131 almak, beklenen yukar\u0131 hareketten faydalanman\u0131n etkili bir yolu olabilir. Bu strateji, \u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 riski kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kayda de\u011fer yukar\u0131 potansiyel sunar.<\/p>\n

0,7868\u2019deki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamay\u0131 kritik bir diren\u00e7 seviyesi olarak yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. Bunun \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131\/kararl\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc teyit ederek 0,8000 psikolojik e\u015fi\u011fine do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir. Fiyat\u0131n geri \u00e7ekilmesi halinde ise 0,7834 civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA, pozisyonlar\u0131n yeniden de\u011ferlendirilmesi i\u00e7in referans nokta olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n

Tarihsel \u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fclere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 2023\u2019te g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz t\u00fcrden politika ayr\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131kl\u0131kla birka\u00e7 hafta s\u00fcren kal\u0131c\u0131 trendler \u00fcretti\u011fi dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Bu nedenle mevcut kurulumun yaln\u0131zca k\u0131sa vadeli bir tepki olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesindeyiz. Parite daha y\u00fcksek diren\u00e7 seviyelerini test ederken ima edilen volatilite artabilir; bu durum, kritik desteklerin alt\u0131nda put sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in de f\u0131rsatlar yaratabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF\u2019te delici formasyon sahnede: Parite %0,70 s\u0131\u00e7ray\u0131p 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; RSI iyile\u015fti. 0,7900 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,8000-0,8100 g\u00fcndemde. Fed-SNB faiz ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 dolar\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47700,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47907","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47907","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47907"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47907\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47700"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47907"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47907"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47907"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}