AUD\/USD paritesi Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,7160 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD Dolar\u0131, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelen ABD fabrika verilerinin ard\u0131ndan de\u011fer kazan\u0131rken, piyasalardaki daha temkinli havan\u0131n etkisiyle Avustralya Dolar\u0131 bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. ISM \u0130malat PMI May\u0131s\u2019ta Nisan\u2019daki 52,7 seviyesinden 54\u2019e y\u00fckselerek 53 beklentisini a\u015ft\u0131 ve ABD imalat\u0131nda daha h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geni\u015flemeye i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler de, L\u00fcbnan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD ile mesaj al\u0131\u015fveri\u015fini durdurdu\u011funa dair haberlerle Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da gerilimin yay\u0131labilece\u011fi endi\u015felerini yeniden g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131 ve \u201cGreenback\u201de talebi art\u0131rd\u0131. D\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte parite 0,7161\u2019deydi; 20 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (0,7156) \u00fczerinde tutunmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken 100 periyotluk SMA (0,7175) taraf\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rlan\u0131yordu. RSI ise 50,0 seviyesinde bulunuyordu. Diren\u00e7 0,7163 ve ard\u0131ndan 0,7175\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken; destek seviyeleri 0,7156, 0,7152 ve 0,7148\u2019de, 0,7135\u2019in \u00f6n\u00fcnde yer ald\u0131. 0,7135\u20130,7175 band\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m bir sonraki y\u00f6n\u00fc belirleyecek.<\/p>\n
Beklentilerin \u00fczerindeki ABD imalat verisi, ABD ekonomisinin diren\u00e7li oldu\u011funa y\u00f6nelik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc teyit ediyor. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, \u00f6zellikle faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda bekle-g\u00f6r tutumunu koruyan Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 ile k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir dolar\u0131 destekliyor. \u0130ki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki faiz fark\u0131n\u0131, AUD\/USD paritesini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 iten ana etken olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
Kilit emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131k da Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor. Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n kritik ihracat kalemlerinden demir cevheri vadeli i\u015flemleri son bir ayda %5\u2019ten fazla gerileyerek ton ba\u015f\u0131na 108 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, sanayi talebindeki yava\u015flamay\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Bu e\u011filim, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n ihracat gelirlerini ve para biriminin de\u011ferlemesini do\u011frudan etkiliyor.<\/p>\n
0,7135 ile 0,7175 aras\u0131ndaki teknik s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, olas\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc harekete avantaj sa\u011flayan opsiyon stratejilerine odaklan\u0131yoruz. Parite \u015fu an \u201cs\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ve temel bask\u0131lar nedeniyle deste\u011fin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek. Kritik veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 etraf\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in 0,7100 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip AUD\/USD put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n, risk-getiri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan iyi bir kurulum sundu\u011funa inan\u0131yoruz. Bu sayede mevcut destek seviyesinin alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir harekette kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flanabilir. Bu Cuma a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD istihdam raporu, bu hareketi tetikleyebilecek kritik bir kataliz\u00f6r olacak.<\/p>\n
Bu tablo, 2022\u2019nin sonlar\u0131nda Fed\u2019in agresif politikalar\u0131n\u0131n dolar\u0131n emtia para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda istikrarl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine benzerlik ta\u015f\u0131yor. O d\u00f6nemde dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine pozisyon alan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar iyi getiri elde etmi\u015fti. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri ile temkinli k\u00fcresel arka plan\u0131n birle\u015fti\u011fi mevcut kurulum da benzer bir f\u0131rsat sunuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/USD 0,7160\u2019ta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD imalat verisi ve Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi dolar\u0131 desteklerken, zay\u0131f demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131 AUD\u2019yi bask\u0131l\u0131yor. 0,7135\u20130,7175 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc belirleyecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47780,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47901","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47901","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47901"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47901\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47780"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47901"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47901"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47901"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}