Sterlin, hafta sonu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD\u2013\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentilerin zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yatay seyretti; GBP\/USD 1,3445 civar\u0131nda kald\u0131. M\u00fczakerelerin t\u0131kan\u0131r gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi ve \u0130ran medyas\u0131n\u0131n, \u0130srail\u2019in L\u00fcbnan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi halinde ate\u015fkesin bozulabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131 yapmas\u0131, g\u00fcvenli liman talebini art\u0131rarak ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019ni destekledi; endeks %0,34 y\u00fckseli\u015fle 99,27\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Hareketi ABD verileri de destekledi. ISM \u0130malat PMI may\u0131sta nisanda 52,7\u2019den 54\u2019e y\u00fckselerek son d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; \u00f6denen fiyatlar bile\u015feni ise 84,6\u2019dan 82,1\u2019e geriledi. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 \u015fimdi may\u0131s Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam, di\u011fer i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 verileri, ISM Hizmetler PMI ve Fed yetkililerinin konu\u015fmalar\u0131na \u00e7evrildi. \u0130ngiltere taraf\u0131nda takvim sakin; \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc BoE Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andrew Bailey ve BoE Para Politikas\u0131 Raporu oturumlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Para piyasalar\u0131 y\u0131l sonuna kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k 42 baz puanl\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma fiyatl\u0131yor. Grafiklerde GBP\/USD 1,3454 civar\u0131nda; destek 1,3447 ve 1,3351, diren\u00e7 1,3602 seviyesinde, 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI ise 49\u2019un hemen alt\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar\u0131, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki gerilimin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla g\u00fcvenli liman \u00f6zelli\u011fi sayesinde g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Bu durum Sterlin \u00fczerinde anl\u0131k bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor ve parite \u015fu anda 1,3445 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kalmakta zorlan\u0131yor. Jeopolitik risk g\u00fcndemin \u00f6n s\u0131ralar\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece dolar lehine k\u0131sa vadeli t\u00fcrev stratejileri cazip olabilir.<\/p>\n
ABD ISM imalat endeksinin 54 ile d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, dolar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fine g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir makro gerek\u00e7e ekliyor. Atlanta Fed\u2019in GDPNow modelinden gelen son veriler de ikinci \u00e7eyrekte %2,8\u2019lik sa\u011flam b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret ederek bu e\u011filimi destekliyor. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak kritik Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam raporu \u00f6ncesinde, GBP\/USD\u2019de put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte, Sterlin\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn Bank of England\u2019\u0131n faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin piyasa beklentileriyle s\u0131n\u0131rlanabilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcndeyiz. Son \u0130ngiltere enflasyon verisinin %2,5\u2019te g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131 ve piyasalar\u0131n y\u0131l sonuna kadar neredeyse iki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 1,3350 destek b\u00f6lgesi civar\u0131nda GBP put sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 (prim toplama ama\u00e7l\u0131) uygulanabilir bir strateji olabilir. Tarihsel olarak BoE\u2019nin \u015fahin duru\u015funu korudu\u011fu d\u00f6nemlerde Sterlin, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda dahi diren\u00e7 g\u00f6sterebilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcvenli liman dolar\u0131 ile \u015fahin BoE\u2019nin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, volatilite i\u00e7in elveri\u015fli bir zemin olu\u015fturuyor. H\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 8,5 seviyesinde bulunan GBP\/USD ima edilen volatilite endeksinin, merkez bankas\u0131 oturumlar\u0131 ve ABD istihdam verileri \u00f6ncesinde y\u00fckselmesi muhtemel. Bu da her iki y\u00f6nde sert bir harekete oynayabilmek i\u00e7in straddle veya strangle al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan parite s\u0131k\u0131\u015fan bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor ve pozisyonlar\u0131 kurgularken ana seviyeleri referans al\u0131yoruz. 1,3602 trend \u00e7izgisinin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanma i\u00e7in GBP call opsiyonlar\u0131na ekleme sinyali olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 1,3351 destek b\u00f6lgesinin alt\u0131nda net bir hareket, daha derin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc teyit ederek koruyucu putlar\u0131n de\u011ferini art\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Jeopolitik tansiyonla g\u00fcvenli liman dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken GBP\/USD 1,3445\u2019te yatay: ISM 54\u2019le dolar\u0131 destekliyor, g\u00f6zler NFP ve BoE Bailey\u2019de. Kritik: 1,3351 destek, 1,3602 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47658,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47895","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47895","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47895"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47895\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47658"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}