{"id":47845,"date":"2026-06-01T10:29:18","date_gmt":"2026-06-01T10:29:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/avusturyada-issizlik-mayista-geriledi-ecbnin-faiz-indirimi-beklentileri-zayiflarken-atx-gorunumu-iyilesti\/"},"modified":"2026-06-01T10:29:18","modified_gmt":"2026-06-01T10:29:18","slug":"avusturyada-issizlik-mayista-geriledi-ecbnin-faiz-indirimi-beklentileri-zayiflarken-atx-gorunumu-iyilesti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/avusturyada-issizlik-mayista-geriledi-ecbnin-faiz-indirimi-beklentileri-zayiflarken-atx-gorunumu-iyilesti\/","title":{"rendered":"Avusturya\u2019da i\u015fsizlik May\u0131s\u2019ta geriledi; ECB\u2019nin faiz indirimi beklentileri zay\u0131flarken ATX g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc iyile\u015fti"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Avusturya\u2019da kay\u0131tl\u0131 i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 May\u0131s\u2019ta bir \u00f6nceki aydaki 320,3 bin seviyesinden 301,7 bine geriledi. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n daha sa\u011flam oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Buna ra\u011fmen toplam seviye son d\u00f6nemin ortalamalar\u0131na g\u00f6re h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u00fcksek ve son ayl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fim tek ba\u015f\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 bir trendi teyit etmiyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki veriler, gerilemenin mevsimsel i\u015fe al\u0131m dinamiklerinden mi yoksa istihdam ko\u015fullar\u0131nda daha geni\u015f tabanl\u0131 bir iyile\u015fmeden mi kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterecek.<\/p>\n<h3>G\u00fc\u00e7lenen \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Piyasas\u0131 ve Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n<p>Avusturya\u2019da i\u015fsizli\u011fin 301,7 bine gerilemesini, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda belirgin bir g\u00fc\u00e7lenmenin net bir g\u00f6stergesi olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu olumlu ivme, t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni ve ekonomik aktivitede art\u0131\u015f beklentisini destekliyor. Bu nedenle Avusturya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcm\u00fcz \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in daha iyimser bir \u00e7izgiye d\u00f6n\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede Avusturya i\u015flem g\u00f6ren endeksi ATX\u2019te yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir hareket bekliyoruz. Beklenen y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanmak amac\u0131yla ATX\u2019te veya Erste Group Bank gibi ana bile\u015fenlerde k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u0130malat PMI verisinin 51,2 ile gelerek blok genelinde \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ay \u00fcst \u00fcste geni\u015flemeye i\u015faret etmesiyle de destekleniyor.<\/p>\n<h3>Para Politikas\u0131 ve Piyasa Konumland\u0131rmas\u0131na Etkiler<\/h3>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verisi ile Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonunun son d\u00f6nemde %2,6\u2019ya y\u00fckselmesi, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) planlanan faiz indirimlerini ertelemesine neden olabilir. Bu do\u011frultuda, muhtemelen EUR\/USD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden Euro\u2019da uzun (long) pozisyonlar\u0131 da de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. ECB\u2019nin daha \u015fahin bir duru\u015fu, b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla para birimini destekleyecektir.<\/p>\n<p>2023\u2019te benzer bir desenin g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc hat\u0131rl\u0131yoruz: G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik g\u00f6stergeler \u201cdaha uzun s\u00fcre s\u0131k\u0131\u201d para politikas\u0131na zemin haz\u0131rlam\u0131\u015f, kur g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken hisse senetlerinde oynakl\u0131k yaratm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu nedenle iyimser duru\u015fumuzu korumakla birlikte, hisse endeksi i\u015flemlerinde riskimizi s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in opsiyonlar\u0131 kullanaca\u011f\u0131z. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyele kat\u0131l\u0131rken merkez bankas\u0131 s\u00f6yleminde olas\u0131 ani de\u011fi\u015fimlere kar\u015f\u0131 korunma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S\u00fcrpriz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f: Avusturya\u2019da i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 May\u0131s\u2019ta 301,7 bine indi; ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 sinyali. Ancak trend net de\u011fil. ATX\u2019te al\u0131m opsiyonu, Euro\u2019da long; ECB \u015fahinle\u015febilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47717,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47845","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47845","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47845"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47845\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47717"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47845"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47845"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47845"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}