{"id":47819,"date":"2026-06-01T05:29:20","date_gmt":"2026-06-01T05:29:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/china-pmisi-sogurken-ve-sahin-fed-dolarin-gucunu-desteklerken-aud-usd-07200-seviyesinin-altinda-kaliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-06-01T05:29:20","modified_gmt":"2026-06-01T05:29:20","slug":"china-pmisi-sogurken-ve-sahin-fed-dolarin-gucunu-desteklerken-aud-usd-07200-seviyesinin-altinda-kaliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/china-pmisi-sogurken-ve-sahin-fed-dolarin-gucunu-desteklerken-aud-usd-07200-seviyesinin-altinda-kaliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"China PMI\u2019si so\u011furken ve \u015fahin Fed dolar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc desteklerken AUD\/USD 0,7200 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD, \u00c7in\u2019in RatingDog \u0130malat PMI verisinin May\u0131s\u2019ta 52,2\u2019den 51,8\u2019e gerilemesinin ard\u0131ndan 0,7200 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda sakin seyrederken, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclen iki haftan\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n kald\u0131. Fiyat hareketi bant i\u00e7inde kalsa da 0,7180\u2019in \u00fczerinin daha \u00f6nce test edilmesi dikkat \u00e7ekti; zira bu hamle, 4 saatlik grafikte 100 d\u00f6nemlik SMA ile May\u0131s\u2019taki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn %50 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesinin kesi\u015fti\u011fi b\u00f6lgenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geldi. Momentum g\u00f6stergeleri kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k ancak destekleyiciydi; RSI 60\u2019a yak\u0131n seyrederken MACD pozitif b\u00f6lgede kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bask\u0131 unsurlar\u0131, jeopolitik belirsizlik ve Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015funa ili\u015fkin beklentilerin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle ili\u015fkilendirildi; bu tablo USD\u2019nin Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc iki haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinden toparlanmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. Haziran\u2019da RBA\u2019dan faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ihtimalinin daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlanmas\u0131 da potansiyel bir tavan olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri; %61,8 d\u00fczeltme olan 0,7198, ard\u0131ndan %78,6 seviyesindeki 0,7230 ve d\u00f6ng\u00fc tepe b\u00f6lgesi olan 0,7271 civar\u0131 olarak i\u015faretlendi. Destek taraf\u0131nda 100 d\u00f6nemlik SMA\u2019n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 0,7177 ile %50 d\u00fczeltme olan 0,7175 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, devam\u0131nda %38,2 seviyesindeki 0,7153, ard\u0131ndan %23,6\u2019daki 0,7125 ve 0,7079 civar\u0131ndaki dip b\u00f6lgesi takip edildi.<\/p>\n

Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve Temel Taraftaki Kar\u015f\u0131 R\u00fczgarlar<\/h3>\n

AUD\/USD paritesinin iki haftan\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n tutundu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; ancak 0,7200 seviyesi a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 zor bir e\u015fik olmaya devam ediyor. 0,7180 bariyerinin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm yap\u0131c\u0131 ve daha fazla y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyeline i\u015faret ediyor. Bununla birlikte, temel dinamikler anlaml\u0131 bir ralli i\u00e7in kar\u015f\u0131 r\u00fczgar yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) Haziran ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik bahislerin azalmas\u0131, \u00f6zellikle 18 Haziran\u2019daki bir sonraki toplant\u0131ya yakla\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 muhtemelen s\u0131n\u0131rlayacakt\u0131r. Piyasalar \u015fu anda bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na %15\u2019in alt\u0131nda olas\u0131l\u0131k bi\u00e7iyor; \u00f6zellikle son ayl\u0131k T\u00dcFE g\u00f6stergesinin y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun %3,6\u2019ya geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6stermesinin ard\u0131ndan. Resm\u00ee PMI\u2019\u0131n beklenmedik \u015fekilde 49,5 ile daralmaya i\u015faret ederken Caixin anketinin 51,7 ile geni\u015flemeye i\u015faret etmesi \u015feklindeki kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k \u00c7in PMI verileri de bu temkinli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan ABD dolar\u0131, \u015fahin bir Fed\u2019den destek buluyor. Fed\u2019in tercih etti\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi olan \u00e7ekirdek PCE fiyat endeksi y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,8 ile hedefin inatla \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek, Fed\u2019in faiz indirimlerinde sab\u0131rl\u0131 duru\u015funu peki\u015ftiriyor. N\u00f6tr bir RBA ile temkinli\/\u015fahin bir Fed aras\u0131ndaki bu kal\u0131c\u0131 politika fark\u0131, AUD\/USD\u2019nin ne kadar y\u00fckselebilece\u011fini s\u0131n\u0131rlamal\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015flem Stratejisi ve Kritik Seviyeler<\/h3>\n

Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011fu bu ortamda, 0,7230 veya 0,7270 diren\u00e7 seviyelerine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131ndan \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 satman\u0131n ya da ay\u0131 (bear) call spread stratejileri uygulaman\u0131n temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, yukar\u0131da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc teknik ve temel diren\u00e7 bulundu\u011funu kabul ederken prim toplamaya imk\u00e2n tan\u0131r. Tarihsel olarak AUD\/USD, ge\u00e7 2023\u2019te g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz dinami\u011fe benzer \u015fekilde, para politikas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n keskinle\u015fti\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde g\u00f6rece zay\u0131f performans sergilemi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f bekleyenler i\u00e7in, parite kritik 0,7175 destek b\u00f6lgesinin alt\u0131na net bi\u00e7imde k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa sat\u0131m (put) almak veya ay\u0131 put spread kurmak de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131, son y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumunun ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z oldu\u011funa dair sinyal \u00fcretecektir. \u0130zlenecek bir sonraki ana destekler 0,7153 ve ard\u0131ndan 0,7125 seviyeleri olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD 0,7200 alt\u0131nda yatay; \u00c7in PMI zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u015fahin Fed dolar\u0131 destekliyor. 0,7180 \u00fczeri teknik iyimserlik sunsa da RBA\u2019da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Kritik: 0,7175 destek, 0,7230-0,7270 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47793,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47819","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47819","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47819"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47819\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47793"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47819"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47819"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47819"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}