Fars haber ajans\u0131, nihai karar\u0131n hen\u00fcz al\u0131nmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmekle birlikte, ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bir anla\u015fman\u0131n son a\u015famalar\u0131nda oldu\u011funu bildirdi. Ajans, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ismi a\u00e7\u0131klanmayan kaynaklar\u0131n Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n olas\u0131 bir anla\u015fmaya ili\u015fkin iddialar\u0131n\u0131 reddetti\u011fini; a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 \u201cdo\u011frular ve yalanlar\u0131n kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131\u201d olarak nitelendirdi\u011fini ve bunlar\u0131 uydurma bir zafer sunma \u00e7abas\u0131 \u015feklinde \u00e7er\u00e7eveledi\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u015eartlara ili\u015fkin olarak \u0130ran, ABD ablukas\u0131 kald\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve eri\u015fimin Tahran\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nceden belirlenmi\u015f d\u00fczenlemelerini takiben sa\u011flanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Ayr\u0131ca, Bo\u011faz\u2019\u0131 \u00fccret almadan a\u00e7ma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde herhangi bir y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bulundu\u011funu da reddederek b\u00f6yle bir maddenin mevcut olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n plan\u0131n\u0131n; gemilerin izlenmesi ve denetlenmesini, hizmet sunulmas\u0131n\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenlik \u00f6nlemlerinin uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7erdi\u011fi ifade edilirken, anla\u015fman\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n dondurulmu\u015f hedeflerinden 12 milyar dolar\u0131n derhal \u00f6denmesini kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Tahran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer materyallerinin imhas\u0131na ili\u015fkin herhangi bir h\u00fck\u00fcm i\u00e7ermedi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
Olas\u0131 bir ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131na dair i\u015faretler g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu durum petrol piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 anlaml\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkileyebilir. D\u00fcnyadaki petrol\u00fcn yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019si H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7ti\u011fi i\u00e7in, istikrarl\u0131 ge\u00e7i\u015fi g\u00fcvence alt\u0131na alan bir anla\u015fma ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki jeopolitik risk primini muhtemelen ortadan kald\u0131racakt\u0131r. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, varil ba\u015f\u0131na mevcut 78 dolar seviyesinin alt\u0131na y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe pozisyon almak i\u00e7in Brent ham petrol vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Bu gerilimin azalmas\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda piyasa volatilitesinin de d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 17 seviyelerinde seyreden CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX), bir anla\u015fman\u0131n resmen duyurulmas\u0131 halinde sert gerileyebilir. Bu nedenle, VIX al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 veya VIX vadeli i\u015flemlerinde k\u0131sa pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 gibi, d\u00fc\u015fen volatiliteden getiri sa\u011flayan stratejileri de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck beklenti ve azalan jeopolitik risk ile, daha geni\u015f hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131ndan pozitif bir tepki bekliyoruz. Petroldeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, t\u00fcketici odakl\u0131 ve ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6rleri i\u00e7in destekleyici bir unsur olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karak S&P 500 gibi endeksleri yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Bu da, potansiyel yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketten faydalanmak amac\u0131yla SPY gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck endeks ETF\u2019lerinde al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu stratejilerini incelememize yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte, anla\u015fma hen\u00fcz nihayete ermi\u015f de\u011fil; temkinli kalmak gerekiyor. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret eden herhangi bir haber, ters y\u00f6nde etki yaratabilir ve b\u00f6lgede daha \u00f6nceki t\u0131rman\u0131\u015flarda g\u00f6r\u00fclen bir g\u00fcnde %5\u2019lik s\u0131\u00e7ramaya benzer \u015fekilde petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda ve piyasa volatilitesinde sert bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tetikleyebilir. Bu nedenle, pozisyonlar\u0131m\u0131z, durumun aniden tersine d\u00f6nmesi halinde azami zarar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayacak \u015fekilde opsiyonlar kullan\u0131larak yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Son dakika: Fars\u2019a g\u00f6re ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 son virajda; ancak nihai karar yok. Abluka kalkarsa H\u00fcrm\u00fcz a\u00e7\u0131labilir; 12 \u043c\u043b\u0440\u0434$ \u00f6deme konu\u015fuluyor. Petrol 78$ alt\u0131na, VIX d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe; risk tersine d\u00f6n\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47757,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47758","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47758"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47758\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47757"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47758"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47758"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47758"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}