WTI, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc seansta da gerileyerek 86,00 dolar\u0131n hemen alt\u0131ndaki bir ayl\u0131k dipleri test ettikten sonra 86,50 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD g\u00f6sterge petrol\u00fc, son iki haftada yakla\u015f\u0131k %15\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe do\u011fru ilerlerken, ABD\u2013\u0130ran ate\u015fkesinin uzat\u0131lmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 risk i\u015ftah\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman ABD Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131 ve hisselerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 toparlanmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n
Washington ile Tahran, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n onay\u0131na tabi olmak \u00fczere ate\u015fkesin 60 g\u00fcn uzat\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik bir mutabakat zapt\u0131 \u00fczerinde anla\u015ft\u0131. D\u00fczenleme, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131na ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin s\u00fcrmesini sa\u011flayacak ve Axios\u2019a g\u00f6re H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7en deniz trafi\u011fine y\u00f6nelik k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n gev\u015fetilmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilecek. Ayr\u0131 olarak EIA, 22 May\u0131s haftas\u0131nda ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n 3,327 milyon varil azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi; bu, 5 milyon varillik beklentinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve ge\u00e7en haftaki 7,864 milyon varillik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan yine de \u00fcst \u00fcste be\u015finci haftal\u0131k gerilemeye i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol\u00fcn, 85 dolar seviyesinden ba\u015flayan belirgin iki haftal\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan bir ayl\u0131k dipler olan 78,25 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve kay\u0131plar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131, Viyana\u2019da yeniden ba\u015flayan diplomatik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere ili\u015fkin haberlerin, piyasaya daha fazla \u0130ran arz\u0131 girebilece\u011fi ihtimalini art\u0131rmas\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bir tepki niteli\u011finde. Piyasa, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesine daha y\u00fcksek olas\u0131l\u0131k bi\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n
D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine ra\u011fmen, temel dinamiklerin bir miktar destek sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 not ediyoruz. Son EIA raporu, ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda 2,1 milyon varillik azal\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ederek art arda alt\u0131nc\u0131 haftal\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc kayda ge\u00e7irdi. Bu d\u00f6nemde stoklar\u0131n erimeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi ve y\u0131l\u0131n bu d\u00f6nemine ait be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalaman\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %4 alt\u0131na inmesi, fiziki talebin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130leriye d\u00f6n\u00fck olarak, g\u00f6zler 2 Haziran\u2019da yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlanan OPEC+ toplant\u0131s\u0131nda olacak. Fiyatlar\u0131n belirgin bi\u00e7imde geri \u00e7ekilmesiyle birlikte, grubun mevcut 2,2 milyon varil\/g\u00fcnl\u00fck g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc \u00fcretim kesintilerini \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek boyunca uzatmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Bu mutabakattan herhangi bir sapma, piyasaya kayda de\u011fer volatilite getirebilir.<\/p>\n
Petrole \u00f6zg\u00fc fakt\u00f6rlerin \u00f6tesinde, daha geni\u015f ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc de izliyoruz; zira son Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 (PCE) endeksi, beklentilerin biraz \u00fczerinde geldi. Yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyon, beklenen Fed faiz indirimlerini geciktirebilir; bu da ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ve ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck petrol talebi projeksiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatma potansiyeli ta\u015f\u0131yor. Bu durum, destekleyici stok verileriyle dengelenen bir kar\u015f\u0131 r\u00fczgar yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in, net y\u00f6n bahisleri yerine opsiyon stratejilerine daha uygun bir ortam g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Straddle veya strangle sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, y\u00fcksek seyreden ima edilen volatilitenin; jeopolitik endi\u015feler ile arz destekleri aras\u0131nda fiyatlar\u0131n bant hareketine oturmas\u0131 halinde gerilemesinden (volatilite erimesi) faydalanmak a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan avantajl\u0131 olabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, piyasan\u0131n \u00e7eli\u015fkili sinyalleri sindirdi\u011fi s\u00fcre\u00e7te zaman de\u011ferindeki erimeden kazan\u00e7 elde etmeyi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
WTI 86 dolar alt\u0131nda dipleri test edip 86,50 civar\u0131nda; iki haftada %15 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f. ABD\u2013\u0130ran ate\u015fkesi uzatma sinyali risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Stoklar gerilerken g\u00f6zler 2 Haziran OPEC+ ve volatilite odakta.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47704,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47705","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47705","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47705\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47704"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}