Sterlin, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 213,35 civar\u0131ndaki haftal\u0131k diplerden toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yatay seyretti ve 214,00 seviyesinin birka\u00e7 pip alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; b\u00f6ylece GBP\/JPY \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci haftal\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fine ilerliyor. May\u0131s ay\u0131 Tokyo T\u00dcFE verisi enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n hafifledi\u011fine i\u015faret etse de Japonya\u2019da Sanayi \u00dcretimi\u2019nin beklentileri a\u015fmas\u0131, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131nda s\u00fcrpriz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve Perakende Ticaret\u2019te g\u00fc\u00e7lenme; enerji \u015fokuna ra\u011fmen dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret ederek Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) Haziran\u2019da faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gidebilece\u011fi beklentilerini destekledi. G\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andrew Bailey\u2019nin Reykjavik Ekonomi Konferans\u0131\u2019nda konu\u015fmas\u0131 beklenirken, BoE\u2019nin bir s\u00fcre daha faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmemesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
GBP\/JPY 213,88\u2019den kotasyonland\u0131; 4 saatlik RSI yeniden 50\u2019nin alt\u0131na inerken MACD hafif negatife d\u00f6nd\u00fc; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ge\u00e7en haftaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir d\u00fczeltmeyle uyumlu. Destek 213,30 civar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; burada 21 ve 28 May\u0131s zirveleri %38,2 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesiyle \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Bu seviyenin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, %61,8 d\u00fczeltmeye denk gelen 212,65\u2019i g\u00fcndeme getirebilir; s\u00f6z konusu seviye ayn\u0131 zamanda 19-20 May\u0131s dipleriyle de \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Yukar\u0131da ise 214,20 civar\u0131ndaki 200-periyot SMA y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131; bu da 25 May\u0131s zirvesi olan 214,70\u2019i oda\u011fa ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
GBP\/JPY kurunun 214,00 e\u015fi\u011fi yak\u0131n\u0131nda tak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve son d\u00f6nemdeki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda ana odak, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) ile Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) izleyece\u011fi ayr\u0131\u015fan patikalarda olacak. Bu durum, parite i\u00e7in potansiyel bir d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Japonya\u2019dan gelen sanayi \u00fcretimi ve perakende sat\u0131\u015flar gibi olumlu ekonomik sinyaller, BoJ\u2019un Haziran\u2019da faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki arg\u00fcman\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Piyasa, BoJ\u2019un Mart 2024\u2019te negatif faiz politikas\u0131n\u0131 sonland\u0131ran kritik karar\u0131n\u0131 net bi\u00e7imde hat\u0131rl\u0131yor; ulusal \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n da %2,5 gibi sa\u011flam bir seviyede raporlanmas\u0131yla, yeni bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma ad\u0131m\u0131 ger\u00e7ek bir olas\u0131l\u0131k haline geliyor. Bu temel de\u011fi\u015fim, Japon yeni i\u00e7in yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan BoE\u2019nin bekle-g\u00f6r pozisyonunu korumas\u0131 muhtemel; bu da sterlinin ilave kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta enflasyon inat\u00e7\u0131 seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; son veriler enflasyonu %3,1 olarak g\u00f6steriyor ve bu oran h\u00e2l\u00e2 merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n %2 hedefinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde. Bu tablo, faiz indirimini zay\u0131f bir olas\u0131l\u0131k haline getirirken, potansiyel olarak daha \u015fahin bir BoJ ile net bir politika kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu senaryo, GBP\/JPY\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir d\u00fczeltmeye y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlanmaya i\u015faret ediyor. 213,30 destek seviyesinin alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmadan faydalanmak amac\u0131yla Temmuz 2026 vadeli sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu strateji, paritede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisini s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131\/\u00f6nceden tan\u0131ml\u0131 riskle ifade etme imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunuyor.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca paritenin tarihsel olarak y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurmak ve daha geni\u015f piyasadan teyit sinyalleri izlemek gerekiyor. Haftal\u0131k Commitment of Traders (COT) raporu yak\u0131ndan takip edilecek. Spek\u00fclat\u00f6rlerin yen aleyhine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck net k\u0131sa pozisyonun anlaml\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azalmas\u0131, daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir sinyal niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131yacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
GBP\/JPY 214,00 alt\u0131nda yatay; ikinci haftal\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u00fcrse de momentum zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Japon verileri BoJ\u2019un Haziran\u2019da faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ihtimalini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor, BoE bekle-g\u00f6r. Kritik destek 213,30, diren\u00e7 214,20\/214,70.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47666,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47667","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47667","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47667"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47667\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47666"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47667"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47667"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47667"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}