GBP\/USD, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle Avrupa i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde 1,3440 civar\u0131nda hafif zay\u0131f seyretti. Piyasalar, Axios\u2019un aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n onay verip vermeyece\u011fine odaklan\u0131lan 60 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ABD-\u0130ran Mutabakat Muht\u0131ras\u0131\u2019na (MoU) dikkat kesildi. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 99,06 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Washington ile Tahran\u2019\u0131n anla\u015fmaya vard\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin haberlerin ard\u0131ndan 99,10 ile yedi haftay\u0131 a\u015fan zirveden geri \u00e7ekilmi\u015fti. MoU; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan enerji ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131tlamas\u0131z s\u00fcrmesini, \u0130ran deniz limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ABD ablukas\u0131n\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ve Tahran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer silah geli\u015ftirme planlar\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7mesini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiltere\u2019de 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k gilt getirileri yakla\u015f\u0131k %1 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 4,81 civar\u0131na gerileyerek yakla\u015f\u0131k alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine indi. Bu durum, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na (BoE) ili\u015fkin faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla Sterlin \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. Teknik tarafta GBP\/USD, 1,3463\u2019teki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, RSI (14) 40,00\u201360,00 band\u0131nda seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 1,3463 ve 1,3505 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, destek 1,3340 ve 1,3300 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. Parite, trend \u00e7izgileri aras\u0131nda 1,3340\u20131,3611 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda daha geni\u015f bir konsolidasyon i\u00e7inde hareket ediyor.<\/p>\n
GBP\/USD paritesi, piyasalar\u0131n kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k ekonomik sinyalleri sindirmesiyle 1,2720 civar\u0131nda dar bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki son g\u00fc\u00e7lenmenin, Sterlin\u2019de anlaml\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlayan bir tavan olu\u015fturdu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu yatay seyir, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir pozisyon almadan \u00f6nce daha net bir kataliz\u00f6r bekledi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi, ABD N\u00fcfus Say\u0131m B\u00fcrosu\u2019nun (U.S. Census Bureau) nisan ay\u0131 perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n beklentileri a\u015farak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geldi\u011fini g\u00f6stermesinin ard\u0131ndan 104,50 civar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc duru\u015funu koruyor. Bu, Fed\u2019in olas\u0131 politika ayarlamalar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeden \u00f6nce sab\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc peki\u015ftirdi. Ancak dolar\u0131n momentumu yava\u015flad\u0131; bu da paritede sert bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmeyi (breakdown) engelliyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan, \u0130ngiltere devlet tahvili getirilerindeki gerileme Sterlin \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor; 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k gilt getirisi 4,15\u2019e indi. Bu hareket, Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi\u2019nin (ONS) son raporunda nisan ay\u0131nda \u0130ngiltere enflasyonunun %2,1\u2019e geriledi\u011finin g\u00f6r\u00fclmesini izledi ve bu yaz BoE\u2019den faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini so\u011futtu. BoE\u2019nin patikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin bu belirsizlik, Sterlin\u2019i savunmada tutuyor.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan GBP\/USD, 1,2745 civar\u0131ndaki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda zorlan\u0131yor; bu da k\u0131sa vadede \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini teyit ediyor. Parite, nisan diplerinden gelen y\u00fckselen destek \u00e7izgisi ile ay\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan gelen al\u00e7alan diren\u00e7 \u00e7izgisi aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu s\u0131k\u0131\u015fan formasyon (\u00fc\u00e7gen), yak\u0131n vadede bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) de y\u00f6n eksikli\u011fini do\u011fruluyor; 50 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda dalgalanarak ne al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n ne de sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc elinde tuttu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu konsolidasyon d\u00f6neminin bir sonraki belirgin fiyat dalgas\u0131 i\u00e7in enerji biriktirdi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (implied volatility) \u015fu anda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olabilece\u011fi; ancak bant k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda h\u0131zla y\u00fckselebilece\u011fi not edilmeli.<\/p>\n
\u015eimdilik, ilk diren\u00e7 olarak 1,2745\u2019teki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama, ard\u0131ndan 1,2820 civar\u0131ndaki al\u00e7alan trend \u00e7izgisi izleniyor. Bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde belirgin bir kapan\u0131\u015f, yatay trendin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret edebilir. Bu durum, al\u0131m-stop emirlerini tetikleyerek yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi besleyebilir.<\/p>\n
A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise ilk destek, 1,2650 civar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckselen trend \u00e7izgisinde; bunun ard\u0131ndan psikolojik 1,2600 seviyesi geliyor. Bu destek yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkma, sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc ele ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterecektir. B\u00f6yle bir hareket, koruyucu stop-loss emirlerinin tetiklenmesiyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc muhtemelen h\u0131zland\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sterlin\/Dolar\u2019da y\u00f6n aray\u0131\u015f\u0131: Dolar g\u00fcc\u00fc ve UK gilt getirilerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f pariteyi bask\u0131l\u0131yor. Piyasa ABD-\u0130ran MoU ve Trump onay\u0131n\u0131 izlerken, kritik destek\/diren\u00e7lerde olas\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lma yak\u0131n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47642,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47655","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47655","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47655"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47655\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47642"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47655"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47655"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47655"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}