Nikkei vadeli i\u015flemleri (NKD) t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131karak, 23 Mart 2026\u2019daki dipten ba\u015flayan y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Elliott Dalga yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda (fiyat hareketini belirli dalga kal\u0131plar\u0131yla a\u00e7\u0131klayan teknik analiz y\u00f6ntemi) 1. dalga 63.880\u2019e kadar y\u00fckseldi; ard\u0131ndan 2. dalga 59.352\u2019ye geri \u00e7ekildi. Bu ikinci dalga, \u201czigzag d\u00fczeltme\u201d (\u00fc\u00e7 par\u00e7al\u0131, genelde A-B-C \u015feklinde ilerleyen geri \u00e7ekilme yap\u0131s\u0131) olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. Fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nceki 1. dalga zirvesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, 3. dalgan\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair teyit olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; b\u00f6ylece \u201citkisel y\u00fckseli\u015f\u201d (ana trend y\u00f6n\u00fcnde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, par\u00e7alara ayr\u0131labilen y\u00fckseli\u015f) g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc korunuyor.<\/p>\n
2. dalga taban\u0131ndan itibaren alt dalgalar \u015f\u00f6yle haritalan\u0131yor: (I) dalga 62.075\u2019te bitti, (II) dalga 61.040\u2019ta tutundu; ard\u0131ndan (III) dalga 65.695\u2019e ula\u015ft\u0131 ve (IV) dalga 64.650\u2019ye indi. (V) dalga 66.520\u2019ye y\u00fckselerek daha b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekteki ((I)) dalgas\u0131n\u0131 tamamlad\u0131. \u015eimdi, 20 May\u0131s 2026\u2019daki dipten ba\u015flayan d\u00f6ng\u00fcy\u00fc geri almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir ((II)) d\u00fczeltmesi geli\u015fiyor. 59.352 seviyesi kilit destek (sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n genelde zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131, fiyat\u0131n tutunmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi seviye) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131l\u0131rken, geri \u00e7ekilmenin 3, 7 veya 11 sal\u0131n\u0131ml\u0131 (k\u0131sa vadeli ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ad\u0131mlar\u0131) bir dizilim i\u00e7inde tamamlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Nikkei\u2019deki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi (fiyat\u0131n genel olarak yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ilerlemesi) dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, mevcut geri \u00e7ekilme bir sonraki y\u00fckseli\u015f hamlesine haz\u0131rlanmak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor. Piyasa 66.520 ile yeni bir rekor g\u00f6rd\u00fc; bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ise \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f faz\u0131 i\u00e7inde sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir \u201ckonsolidasyon\u201d (fiyat\u0131n bir s\u00fcre bantta oyalanmas\u0131, g\u00fc\u00e7 toplamas\u0131). D\u00fczeltici dalgan\u0131n dip olu\u015fturmas\u0131yla, mevcut y\u00fckseli\u015f trendine kat\u0131l\u0131m i\u00e7in zemin olu\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) ge\u00e7en haftaki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda \u201cgev\u015fek para politikas\u0131\u201dn\u0131 (faizlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutulmas\u0131 ve finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n destekleyici kalmas\u0131) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme niyeti sinyali vermesiyle de destekleniyor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131ndan ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor ve Japon hisse senetlerine y\u00f6nelik yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 g\u00fcvenini art\u0131r\u0131yor. BoJ\u2019un tutumu, piyasadaki temel g\u00fcc\u00fcn s\u00fcrece\u011fi beklentisinin ana dayanaklar\u0131ndan biri olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Politika, yendeki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (yerel para biriminin de\u011fer kayb\u0131) desteklerken USD\/JPY kuru (dolar\/yen paritesi) yak\u0131n zamanda 165 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak 1990\u2019lar\u0131n sonundan bu yana ilk kez bu d\u00fczeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu durum, b\u00fcy\u00fck ihracat\u00e7\u0131 \u015firketler i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir destek: Yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 gelirleri yen\u2019e \u00e7evrildi\u011finde daha y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu \u201ckur avantaj\u0131\u201d (d\u00f6viz kurundaki hareketin k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131), Nikkei endeksinde a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek bir\u00e7ok \u015firketin k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frudan g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n
Nitekim bu ay\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda tamamlanan bilan\u00e7olar d\u00f6neminde (\u015firketlerin finansal sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7) bu etki daha net g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; ihracat a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 bir\u00e7ok \u015firket rekor k\u00e2r a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131 ve y\u0131l geneline ili\u015fkin beklentilerini yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize etti (tahminlerini art\u0131rd\u0131). Bu temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, izlenen teknik rallinin (grafik bazl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f hareketi) zemininin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Tarihsel olarak, Abenomics d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011fu gibi (2010\u2019lar\u0131n ortas\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi destekleyen ekonomi programlar\u0131), yendeki kal\u0131c\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131k d\u00f6nemleri Japon hisse piyasas\u0131nda uzun soluklu y\u00fckseli\u015flerle ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk gelebildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Nikkei vadeli i\u015flemleri rekor tazelerken Elliott Dalga\u2019da 3. dalga teyidi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 66.520 sonras\u0131 ((II)) d\u00fczeltmede 59.352 kritik destek. BoJ\u2019un g\u00fcvercin duru\u015fu, zay\u0131f yen ve rekor k\u00e2rlar y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47617","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47617","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47617"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47617\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47617"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47617"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47617"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}