Bir rapora g\u00f6re ABD ve \u0130ran, ate\u015fkesi uzatmak ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131 konusunda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere ba\u015flamak i\u00e7in 60 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir \u201cmutabakat zapt\u0131\u201d (taraflar\u0131n niyetini yaz\u0131l\u0131 hale getiren, ba\u011flay\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00f6n anla\u015fma) \u00fczerinde anla\u015ft\u0131. Ancak Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n nihai onay\u0131 hen\u00fcz vermedi\u011fi belirtildi. Haberde, iki ABD\u2019li yetkili ve arabuluculuk s\u00fcrecine dahil b\u00f6lgesel bir kayna\u011fa at\u0131f yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar habere h\u0131zl\u0131 tepki verdi. ABD Dolar\u0131 (USD) de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131 ise g\u00fcn\u00fcn ba\u015f\u0131ndaki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 azaltarak art\u0131ya ge\u00e7ti. \u0130lgili bir d\u00f6viz tablosu, USD\u2019nin Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda en zay\u0131f para birimi oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. Ayr\u0131ca bir \u201c\u0131s\u0131 haritas\u0131\u201d (ana para birimi ve kar\u015f\u0131t para birimine g\u00f6re) ba\u015fl\u0131ca d\u00f6viz \u00e7iftlerindeki y\u00fczde de\u011fi\u015fimleri ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n
Bu olas\u0131 ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bir anla\u015fma, yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n gev\u015femesine ve piyasaya daha fazla \u0130ran petrol\u00fc arz\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir; bu da fiyatlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte 2015\u2019teki n\u00fckleer anla\u015fman\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131n\u0131 izleyen alt\u0131 ayda petrol fiyatlar\u0131 %20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde gerilemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) \u015fu anda varil ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 79 dolar seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, Temmuz ve A\u011fustos 2026 vadeli petrol vadeli i\u015flem s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri i\u00e7in \u201csat\u0131m opsiyonu (put)\u201d almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Sat\u0131m opsiyonu, belirli bir fiyattan sat\u0131\u015f hakk\u0131 verir; fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanabilir. Bu strateji, WTI\u2019\u0131n 75 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi halinde kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamay\u0131 hedefler. Nihai onay\u0131n belirsiz olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, vadeli i\u015flemleri do\u011frudan \u201ca\u00e7\u0131\u011fa satmak\u201d (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazanmak i\u00e7in bor\u00e7 al\u0131p satarak pozisyon almak) yerine opsiyonlar daha uygun bir ara\u00e7 olabilir.<\/p>\n
En h\u0131zl\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fck etkiyi piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda (fiyatlar\u0131n sert dalgalanma e\u011filimi) g\u00f6rmeyi bekliyoruz. Anla\u015fma do\u011frulan\u0131rsa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. VIX endeksi (S&P 500 i\u00e7in beklenen oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi), \u015fu anda g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck say\u0131lan 13 civar\u0131ndayken, jeopolitik riskin azalmas\u0131yla bu y\u0131l ilk kez 10\u2019un alt\u0131na inebilir. Buna uygun olarak, VIX \u201cal\u0131m opsiyonu (call)\u201d sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 gibi (belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131n\u0131 satan, oynakl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015ferse prim geliri elde edebilen) stratejiler de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Fla\u015f iddia: ABD-\u0130ran 60 g\u00fcnl\u00fck mutabakatla ate\u015fkesi uzat\u0131p n\u00fckleer g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeye haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor; Trump onay\u0131 belirsiz. Dolar zay\u0131flad\u0131, hisseler toparlad\u0131. Petrol bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda; opsiyonlar, VIX\u2019te d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47605","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47605","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47605"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47605\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47605"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47605"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47605"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}