ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc CNN\u2019in haberine g\u00f6re, bir anla\u015fma i\u00e7in acele etmeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kendisini \u201cara se\u00e7imleri umursamad\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d i\u00e7in oyalayamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savundu. Ayr\u0131ca H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u201cherkese a\u00e7\u0131k\u201d olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ABD\u2019nin de \u201cg\u00f6zetleyece\u011fini\u201d belirterek, bu \u015fartlar\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 oldu\u011funu ekledi.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Marco Rubio, Washington\u2019un \u0130ran\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere \u201cba\u015far\u0131 \u015fans\u0131 tan\u0131mak i\u00e7in her f\u0131rsat\u0131 verece\u011fini\u201d ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde bir miktar ilerleme sa\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Trump, diplomasiyi tercih etti\u011fini, ancak ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131 halinde di\u011fer se\u00e7enekleri de masada tuttu\u011funu ifade etti. \u00c7ar\u015famba ge\u00e7 saatlerde Fars Haber Ajans\u0131, Bender Abbas\u2019\u0131n do\u011fusunda \u00fc\u00e7 patlama sesi duyuldu\u011funu ve hava savunma sistemlerinin birka\u00e7 dakika devreye al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/p>\n
Y\u00f6netimden \u00e7eli\u015fkili mesajlar geliyor: Bir yanda diplomasi vurgusu, di\u011fer yanda artan gerilim ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131n\u0131nda patlama haberleri. Bu kadar belirsiz d\u00f6nemlerde, t\u00fcrev ara\u00e7lar (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) risk y\u00f6netimi ve olas\u0131 sert fiyat hareketlerinden yararlanmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir. Piyasa hen\u00fcz en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoyu tamamen fiyatlam\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor; bu da f\u0131rsat yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
En do\u011frudan etki petrol taraf\u0131nda olur. D\u00fcnyada g\u00fcnl\u00fck toplam petrol t\u00fcketiminin yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019si H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7iyor. Olas\u0131 arz kesintisine kar\u015f\u0131, Brent petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde (ileriki tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almay\u0131 en etkili pozisyon olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu strateji, gerilim artarsa yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kazan\u00e7 potansiyeli sa\u011flar; olumsuz senaryoda zarar, \u00f6denen primle (opsiyon \u00fccreti) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131r.<\/p>\n
\u015eubat 2022\u2019de Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda Brent petrol\u00fcn iki haftadan k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolardan 120 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, fiyatlar\u0131n nas\u0131l h\u0131zla s\u0131\u00e7rayabildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bender Abbas yak\u0131n\u0131nda hava savunma sistemlerinin devreye al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair mevcut haberler de, tek bir ba\u015fl\u0131kla fiyatlar\u0131n sert oynayabildi\u011fi \u201ctetik hassasiyetinde\u201d bir tabloya i\u015faret ediyor. Bu pozisyonlar\u0131, z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) artm\u0131\u015f ama a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fckselmemi\u015fken kurmak \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n
Enerji d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda da tablo bozulursa genel piyasalarda dalgalanma beklenir. Petrol fiyat\u0131ndaki s\u0131\u00e7rama, enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131r\u0131r ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi zay\u0131flat\u0131r. Bu nedenle uzun hisse pozisyonlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131, riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f d\u00f6nemine (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) kar\u015f\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in S&P 500 \u00fczerinde sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) al\u0131yoruz. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX: S&P 500 i\u00e7in \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d, beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) 15\u2019in alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, bu t\u00fcr portf\u00f6y sigortas\u0131 g\u00f6rece daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Piyasalar H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimini izliyor: Trump anla\u015fmada acele yok derken Rubio ilerleme vurgulad\u0131. Patlama haberleri riskleri art\u0131r\u0131yor. Strateji: Brent call ile yukar\u0131 potansiyel, S&P put ile koruma.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47536","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47536","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47536"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47536\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47536"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47536"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47536"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}