Russell 2000 vadeli i\u015flemleri (RTY) t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve 30 Mart 2026\u2019daki dipten ba\u015flayan y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. 2.918,4\u2019e kadar olan ralli (1) dalgas\u0131n\u0131 tamamlad\u0131. Ard\u0131ndan bir saatlik grafikte (2) dalgas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmesi 2.728,3\u2019te sona erdi. Bu d\u00fczeltme, Elliott Dalga\u2019ya g\u00f6re \u201cdouble three\u201d (iki a\u015famal\u0131 karma\u015f\u0131k d\u00fczeltme) \u015feklinde olu\u015ftu: W dalgas\u0131 2.807,9\u2019a indi, X dalgas\u0131 2.881,4\u2019e toparland\u0131, Y dalgas\u0131 ise 2.728,3\u2019e gerileyerek daha b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekte (2) dalgas\u0131n\u0131n dibini i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
(2) dalgas\u0131 tamamland\u0131ktan sonra fiyat, (1) dalgas\u0131n\u0131n zirvesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu hareket, (3) dalgas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair teyit olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr. 2.728,3\u2019ten gelen y\u00fckseli\u015f \u201cbe\u015f dalgal\u0131 impuls\u201d (trend y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ilerleyen 5 par\u00e7al\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareket) olarak geli\u015fiyor ve (3) i\u00e7indeki 1. dalga bitmeye yakla\u015f\u0131yor. 19 May\u0131s 2026 dibinden gelen y\u00fckseli\u015fi d\u00fczeltmek i\u00e7in 2. dalgada \u201cgeri \u00e7ekilme\u201d (y\u00fckseli\u015fin bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc geri verme) bekleniyor; bu d\u00fczeltme 3 ya da 7 sal\u0131n\u0131m (k\u0131sa vadeli ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f dizisi) \u015feklinde olabilir. 2.728,32 seviyesi ise ana \u201cpivot\u201d (trend y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc izlemek i\u00e7in referans seviye) konumunda.<\/p>\n
Russell 2000 vadeli i\u015flemlerinin yeni t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131, yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. 2.918,4\u2019e ilk h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ilk y\u00fckseli\u015f aya\u011f\u0131yd\u0131; 2.728,3\u2019e son geri \u00e7ekilme ise sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 ve tamamlanm\u0131\u015f bir d\u00fczeltmeydi. Bu yap\u0131, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli \u015firket hisselerinde (small-cap) y\u00f6n\u00fcn yukar\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Bu teknik k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, g\u00fc\u00e7lenen verilerle ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geliyor ve hareketi destekliyor. 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi %2,2 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Son istihdam raporunda i\u015fsizlik %3,7 ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede yatay kald\u0131. Bu tablo, i\u00e7 talebe dayal\u0131 ekonominin dayan\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor; Russell 2000\u2019deki \u015firketlerin ana pazar\u0131 da a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kla \u00fclke i\u00e7idir.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) daha destekleyici bir duru\u015f sinyali verdi. Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ve kurumlar) y\u0131l sonundan \u00f6nce faiz indirimi bekliyor. Daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bor\u00e7lanma maliyeti, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u015firketlerde yat\u0131r\u0131m ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi destekler; bu da ralliye \u201ctailwind\u201d (arkadan iten destek) sa\u011flar. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ise faizlerin artaca\u011f\u0131 endi\u015fesi, small-cap performans\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Endeksin 3. dalgaya girdi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Elliott Dalga\u2019da 3. dalga genelde en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve en uzun s\u00fcren y\u00fckseli\u015f b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcd\u00fcr. \u0130lk k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck impuls hareket tamamlan\u0131rken yak\u0131n vadede s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilme bekliyoruz. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc risk i\u015fareti de\u011fil, al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda stratejimiz, piyasa zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almak. Geri \u00e7ekilmede al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak veya \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyat\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan) put spread satmak (iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 sat\u0131m opsiyonuyla prim toplama stratejisi) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Fiyat 2.728,3 pivotunun \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosu ge\u00e7erli.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
RTY rekor tazeledi: 2.918,4 sonras\u0131 2.728,3\u2019te \u201cdouble three\u201d d\u00fczeltme bitti, (3) dalga teyit. Fed indirim beklentisiyle small-cap r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131 arkada; pivot 2.728,3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47529","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47529","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47529"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47529\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47529"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47529"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47529"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}