E-mini S&P Haziran vadeli kontratlar\u0131, 7530\/7520\u2019deki **destek** (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunabilece\u011fi b\u00f6lge) seviyesine indikten sonra 7590\/7595 **hedef** (beklenen fiyat b\u00f6lgesi) alan\u0131na hen\u00fcz ula\u015fmad\u0131; **uzun pozisyonlar** (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisiyle yap\u0131lan i\u015flem) 7510 alt\u0131na **zarar-kes** (stop-loss: zarar b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden pozisyonu kapatma emri) konularak kurgulan\u0131yor. Kontrat 7548\u2019e toparland\u0131; 7555\u2019e ve ard\u0131ndan 7569\u2019daki rekor seviyenin yeniden test edilmesine alan var. Bu zirvenin \u00fczerine **k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m** (fiyat\u0131n seviyeyi net bi\u00e7imde ge\u00e7mesi) 7590\/7595\u2019i yeniden g\u00fcndeme getirir ve 7645\/7655\u2019e uzayabilir. 7510 alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ise 7490\/7485 riskini art\u0131r\u0131r; ek destek 7465\/7460\u2019ta izleniyor.<\/p>\n
E-mini Nasdaq Haziran vadeli kontratlar\u0131 29.782\u2019deki t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak **al sinyali** (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flem i\u015fareti) \u00fcretti; ilk 29.950\/30.000 hedefi \u015fimdiden g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc, s\u0131radaki hedef 30.450\/30.490. \u0130lk destek 29.750\/29.650\u2019da; olas\u0131 yeniden testte 29.550 alt\u0131 zarar-kes olarak izleniyor. E-mini Dow Jones Haziran vadeli kontratlar\u0131 50.292\u2019yi a\u015farak 50.630\/50.690 ve 50.940\/50.990 hedeflerini g\u00fcndeme getirdi; bu hedefler g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fckten sonra 51.209 ile yeni zirve olu\u015ftu ve ard\u0131ndan sat\u0131\u015f geldi. Destek 50.300\/50.200\u2019da, 50.000 alt\u0131 zarar-kes; zirvenin yeniden a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 52.050\/52.150\u2019yi i\u015faret eder.<\/p>\n
E-mini S&P\u2019de 7530\/7520 deste\u011fi yak\u0131ndan izleniyor. 7510\u2019daki zarar-kesin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z s\u00fcrece, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1-2 hafta i\u00e7inde 7590\/7595 hedefine hareket beklentisi korunuyor. Piyasa, ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n **\u00c7ekirdek PCE** verisini (g\u0131da ve enerji hari\u00e7 **ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 fiyat endeksi**; ABD\u2019de enflasyonun temel g\u00f6stergelerinden biri) sindiriyor. Verinin y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda beklenmedik \u015fekilde %2,1 gelmesi, y\u00fckseli\u015fin devam\u0131 tezini destekledi.<\/p>\n
7510 alt\u0131na sarkma, y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosu i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir uyar\u0131 olur. Bu, piyasan\u0131n yakla\u015fan May\u0131s **tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam** raporu (ABD\u2019de kamu d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131; b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve faiz beklentileri i\u00e7in kritik veri) \u00f6ncesi endi\u015felendi\u011fini ve hik\u00e2yenin **sert ini\u015f**e (ekonominin h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde yava\u015flamas\u0131 ve i\u015fsizli\u011fin artmas\u0131) d\u00f6nebilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterebilir. Bu durumda 7465\/7460 destek alan\u0131na h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilme beklenir.<\/p>\n
Nasdaq a\u00e7\u0131k ara lider ve tercih edilen uzun pozisyon. T\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc koruyor; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, **yapay zek\u00e2 (AI) temal\u0131 hisselerdeki** ivme ile destekleniyor. Bu \u015firketlerde k\u00e2rlar\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %30\u2019un \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi fiyatlar\u0131 besliyor. S\u0131radaki ana hedef 30.450\/30.490; 29.750\/29.650 b\u00f6lgesine olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmeler pozisyon art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lacak.<\/p>\n
Bu t\u00fcr dar kapsaml\u0131, teknoloji \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki y\u00fckseli\u015f 1990\u2019lar\u0131n sonundaki piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Trend izlenirken, di\u011fer endekslerle g\u00f6r\u00fclen **ayr\u0131\u015fma** (endekslerin farkl\u0131 y\u00f6nlerde hareket etmesi) nedeniyle temkin korunuyor. Liderlik bu kadar dar oldu\u011funda **piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131** (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n risk i\u015ftah\u0131) \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015febilece\u011fi i\u00e7in 29.550 alt\u0131nda zarar-kes s\u0131k\u0131 tutuluyor.<\/p>\n
Dow\u2019un 51.209\u2019da yeni zirve yapt\u0131ktan sonra sert \u015fekilde geri gelmesi dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Bu, **sekt\u00f6r rotasyonu**na (paran\u0131n bir grup hisseden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p ba\u015fka gruba ge\u00e7mesi) i\u015faret edebilir: faiz oranlar\u0131na ve k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015felerine daha duyarl\u0131 sanayi ve finans hisselerinden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. **CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX)** (S&P 500 opsiyonlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen, piyasadaki beklenen oynakl\u0131k\/korku g\u00f6stergesi) g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalsa da (yakla\u015f\u0131k 14,5), Dow kaynakl\u0131 bir zay\u0131fl\u0131k s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 daha geni\u015f piyasaya yay\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma nedeniyle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda strateji, Nasdaq vadeli kontratlar\u0131na daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verirken S&P taraf\u0131nda daha se\u00e7ici olmak y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Dow\u2019un t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 52.050\/52.150\u2019yi hedefletebilir; ancak uzun tarafa yeniden d\u00f6nmeden \u00f6nce 50.300\/50.200 deste\u011finin sa\u011flam kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmek isteniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Wall Street\u2019te kritik haftaya girilirken: S&P\u2019de 7530 destek, 7510 alt\u0131 alarm; k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m 7595\/7655\u2019i a\u00e7abilir. Nasdaq rekor \u00fcst\u00fcnde 30.490 hedefinde lider, 29.550 stop. Dow\u2019da 50.200 savunmas\u0131 \u015fart.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47467","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47467","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47467"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47467\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47467"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47467"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47467"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}