AUD\/NZD \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,8\u2019den fazla gerileyerek, Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBNZ) **\u015fahin** (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sinyali veren) bir \u015fekilde faizi sabit tutmas\u0131 ve Avustralya enflasyonunun beklentiden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelmesi sonras\u0131 seans i\u00e7inde 1,2173 ile dip g\u00f6rd\u00fc. RBNZ beklendi\u011fi gibi faizi de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi; ancak **Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu** (faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 veren kurul) ikiye b\u00f6l\u00fcnd\u00fc ve Ba\u015fkan\u2019\u0131n **belirleyici oyu** (e\u015fitlikte sonucu belirleyen oy) ile karar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Banka ayr\u0131ca, enflasyonda **ikinci tur etkiler** (ilk fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fccret ve di\u011fer maliyetlere yans\u0131yarak yeni bir enflasyon dalgas\u0131 yaratmas\u0131) endi\u015fesiyle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki toplant\u0131larda **OCR**\u2019de (Yeni Zelanda\u2019n\u0131n politika faizi, resmi nakit oran\u0131) yeni art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n olas\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtti. Avustralya\u2019da ise nisan **T\u00dcFE** (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi) verisi beklentinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; bu da Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na (RBA) \u0130ran\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n etkilerini izlerken kararlar\u0131 \u00f6teleme alan\u0131 verdi ve piyasalar\u0131n a\u011fustosta faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini azaltmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n
Parite 120 pipten fazla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; teknik g\u00f6stergeler a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fine i\u015faret etti. **Ay\u0131 yutan mum** (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini g\u00f6steren g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sat\u0131\u015f formasyonu) ve 1,2285 civar\u0131nda olas\u0131 **\u00e7ift tepe** (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn t\u00fckendi\u011fini g\u00f6steren d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f formasyonu) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. D\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte **RSI** (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi, fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m durumunu g\u00f6sterir) 30\u2019lar\u0131n ortas\u0131na inerken, **MACD** (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama\/Iraksama, momentum g\u00f6stergesi) hafif negatife d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Destek 1,2125\u20131,2135 band\u0131nda; bu seviye 7, 12 ve 21 May\u0131s dipleriyle ve formasyonun **boyun \u00e7izgisi**yle (\u00e7ift tepenin k\u0131r\u0131lma e\u015fi\u011fi) \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Bir sonraki destek 1,2045 civar\u0131nda; 9 ve 14 Nisan diplerine denk geliyor. **\u00d6l\u00e7\u00fclen hedef** (formasyon y\u00fcksekli\u011finden hesaplanan fiyat hedefi) 1,2000\u2019in hemen alt\u0131; diren\u00e7 1,2285. Bunun \u00fczerinde **%127,2 Fibonacci uzatma** seviyesi (olas\u0131 hedef\/diren\u00e7 hesaplamas\u0131) 1,2380 yak\u0131n\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
AUD\/NZD\u2019deki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte, Avustralya ve Yeni Zelanda merkez bankalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki belirgin ayr\u0131\u015fma etkili. RBNZ, enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in yeni faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcndemde oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu **\u015fahin duru\u015f**, NZD\u2019yi g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Avustralya\u2019da son enflasyon verisi RBA\u2019ya bekleme gerek\u00e7esi veriyor. Nisan ay\u0131 ayl\u0131k T\u00dcFE %3,4 ile piyasa beklentisi olan %3,6\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re yava\u015flad\u0131. Bu tablo, RBA\u2019n\u0131n a\u011fustosa kadar faizi sabit tutabilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc destekliyor ve AUD\u2019yi zay\u0131flat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Grafik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, 1,2285 \u00e7evresinde olas\u0131 bir **\u00e7ift tepe** olu\u015fumuyla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisini destekliyor. 1,2125\u2019teki **boyun \u00e7izgisi** deste\u011finin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lma, sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 1,2000\u2019deki **psikolojik seviye**ye (piyasada g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc alg\u0131sal e\u015fik olan \u201cyuvarlak\u201d seviye) do\u011fru h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir. Bu nedenle 1,2125 b\u00f6lgesi, sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n artmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik e\u015fik olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/NZD\u2019de sert sat\u0131\u015f: RBNZ\u2019nin \u015fahin mesaj\u0131 ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Avustralya T\u00dcFE\u2019si pariteyi 1,2173\u2019e itti. Teknikte \u00e7ift tepe, ay\u0131 yutan mum; 1,2125 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,2000 hedef.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47464","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47464","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47464"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47464\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47464"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47464"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47464"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}