GBP\/USD, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 1,3450 civar\u0131ndaki Sal\u0131 dip seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti. Piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n genel risk i\u015ftah\u0131), Washington\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n g\u00fcneyine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 sonras\u0131 ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesinin kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair \u015f\u00fcphelerle bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. \u0130ran, \u0130ran\u2019a ait teknelere y\u00f6nelik ABD sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 ve f\u00fcze f\u0131rlatma sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131narken, ABD Merkez Komutanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (CENTCOM: ABD\u2019nin Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki askeri operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6neten komutanl\u0131k) ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 \u201csavunma\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131. \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu da hava sahas\u0131na giren \u201cd\u00fc\u015fmanca\u201d bir hava arac\u0131n\u0131 tespit etti\u011fini ve bir MQ-9 insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131n\u0131 (drone: uzaktan kontrol edilen\/otonom u\u00e7an ara\u00e7) engelledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ayr\u0131 olarak ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Marco Rubio, \u0130ran\u2019la bir anla\u015fman\u0131n sonu\u00e7lanmas\u0131n\u0131n birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn alabilece\u011fini belirterek k\u0131sa vadede diplomatik bir ilerleme beklentisini zay\u0131flatt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Sterlin, \u0130ngiltere devlet tahvili (gilt: Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k Hazine tahvili) getirilerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle de bask\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc; piyasalar \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) yak\u0131nda faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini azalt\u0131yor. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k gilt getirisi %4,82\u2019ye gerileyerek bir ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri sepetine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren endeks) Nisan ay\u0131 ABD Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 Fiyat Endeksi (PCE: t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131 \u00fczerinden enflasyonu \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) verisi \u00f6ncesinde 99,00 civar\u0131nda yatay kald\u0131; veri Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Teknik tarafta GBP\/USD 1,3450 yak\u0131n\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckselse de 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (EMA: son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) 1,3470 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Simetrik \u00dc\u00e7gen (fiyat\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren grafik formasyonu) ve RSI\u2019\u0131n (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 40,00\u201360,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda seyretmesi yatay-s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme i\u015faret ediyor. Diren\u00e7 1,3470 ard\u0131ndan 1,3618\u2019de; destek ise 1,3434 ve 1,3333 seviyelerinde izleniyor.<\/p>\n
GBP\/USD paritesi jeopolitik risklerle bask\u0131lan\u0131yor. ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesinin k\u0131r\u0131lgan olmas\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen ABD dolar\u0131na y\u00f6neltiyor. Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f (risk-off: yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclenlere y\u00f6nelmesi) e\u011filimi \u015fu a\u015famada di\u011fer unsurlar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7mi\u015f durumda. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bu gerilimin k\u0131sa vadeli kur hareketlerini belirlemesi olas\u0131.<\/p>\n
Sterlin\u2019deki zay\u0131fl\u0131k \u0130ngiltere kaynakl\u0131 etkenlerden de geliyor. Gilt getirilerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, BoE\u2019nin yak\u0131n zamanda faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik inanc\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getirinin %4,82 ile bir ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine gerilemesi sterlin a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olumsuz bir sinyal. Bu hareket, son enflasyon verilerinin T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi\u2019nin (CPI: hanehalk\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcketti\u011fi \u00fcr\u00fcn ve hizmetlerin fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimini \u00f6l\u00e7en enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) %2,9\u2019a yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesinin ard\u0131ndan geldi; bu sonu\u00e7 beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve BoE\u2019ye faizi sabit tutma alan\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD PCE verisine \u00e7evrildi. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) bu enflasyon g\u00f6stergesini yak\u0131ndan izler. Piyasa beklentisi y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,8. Beklentinin \u00fczerinde bir veri, dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine ve GBP\/USD\u2019nin gerilemesine yol a\u00e7abilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Fed\u2019in \u201c\u015fahin\u201d duru\u015funu (hawkish: enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek faizi savunan yakla\u015f\u0131m) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda risk y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Opsiyon (belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131) taraf\u0131nda GBP\/USD\u2019de 1 ayl\u0131k \u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) %8,7\u2019ye y\u00fckselmesi primi satmay\u0131 (premium sat\u0131\u015f\u0131: opsiyon sat\u0131p prim geliri toplamak) daha az cazip hale getiriyor. Bu nedenle 1,3400 alt\u0131ndaki kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan (strike: opsiyonun \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131 sabit fiyat) sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon) al\u0131m\u0131, olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmeden s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle yararlanmak i\u00e7in daha net bir y\u00f6ntem sunuyor.<\/p>\n
Teknik olarak parite 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 1,3470\u2019in \u00fczerine geri d\u00f6nmekte zorlan\u0131yor; bu seviye kritik bir diren\u00e7 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Fiyat bu e\u015fik alt\u0131nda kald\u0131k\u00e7a a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 1,3434\u2019teki son dip alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma (break: seviyenin alt\u0131na\/\u00fcst\u00fcne ge\u00e7ip orada tutunma) 1,3333 civar\u0131ndaki bir sonraki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc deste\u011fe do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmeyi g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Jeopolitik riskler ve d\u00fc\u015fen gilt getirileri Sterlin\u2019i zorluyor: GBP\/USD 1,3450 yak\u0131n\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. G\u00f6zler ABD PCE\u2019de; 1,3470 a\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k\u00e7a 1,3434 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,3333 g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47459","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47459","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47459"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47459\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47459"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47459"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47459"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}