{"id":47456,"date":"2026-05-27T08:49:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T08:49:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/rba-fed-politika-belirsizligi-paritede-yatay-seyre-neden-olurken-aud-usd-07160a-dogru-geriliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T08:49:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T08:49:11","slug":"rba-fed-politika-belirsizligi-paritede-yatay-seyre-neden-olurken-aud-usd-07160a-dogru-geriliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/rba-fed-politika-belirsizligi-paritede-yatay-seyre-neden-olurken-aud-usd-07160a-dogru-geriliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA-Fed politika belirsizli\u011fi paritede yatay seyre neden olurken AUD\/USD 0,7160\u2019a do\u011fru geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde 0,7160 civar\u0131nda seyrederek ikinci g\u00fcnde de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Parite, g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte bir **dikd\u00f6rtgen formasyonu** (fiyat\u0131n belirli bir bant i\u00e7inde gidip gelmesi) i\u00e7inde kalmaya devam ediyor; bu da **konsolidasyona** (yatay bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma) i\u015faret ediyor. Fiyat h\u00e2l\u00e2 **50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama**n\u0131n (EMA: son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren hareketli ortalama) \u00fczerinde, ancak k\u0131sa vadede diren\u00e7 gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan **9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA**n\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda. **14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI** (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aras\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7ekte al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) 50 civar\u0131nda; bu da momentumun **n\u00f6tr** oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130lk diren\u00e7, 0,7164\u2019teki **9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA**. Bunun \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131, fiyat\u0131 band\u0131n \u00fcst k\u0131sm\u0131 olan 0,7270\u2019e ve ard\u0131ndan 6 May\u0131s\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen, Haziran 2022\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviye olan 0,7277\u2019ye ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 0,7120\u2019deki **50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA** izleniyor. Bu seviyenin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, dikd\u00f6rtgenin alt band\u0131 olan 0,7070\u2019e do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir. Daha sert bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ise 30 Mart\u2019ta kaydedilen d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n dibi 0,6833\u2019\u00fc g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.<\/p>\n<h3>Temel Etkenler ve Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n<p>AUD\/USD\u2019nin belirgin bir dikd\u00f6rtgen formasyonu i\u00e7inde yatay seyretmesi, 0,7160 \u00e7evresinde piyasan\u0131n karars\u0131z oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, **Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131**n\u0131n (RBA) faizi sabit tutarken 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde %3,1 gelen enflasyonu izlemesiyle olu\u015fan belirsizli\u011fi yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Bu \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d duru\u015fu, paritenin net bir y\u00f6n bulmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<h3>Olas\u0131 \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri ve Piyasa G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n<p>Y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in ilk e\u015fik 0,7164\u2019teki 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA. Bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, band\u0131n \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 0,7270\u2019e do\u011fru hareketi g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. K\u0131r\u0131lma, ton ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelenen **demir cevheri** fiyatlar\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeyle destek bulabilir. Bu senaryoda, 0,7270 \u00fczerindeki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na sahip **al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131** (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) y\u00fckseli\u015ften yararlanma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer yandan, 0,7120\u2019deki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkma zay\u0131fl\u0131k sinyali vererek 0,7070 **destek** seviyesinin test edilmesine yol a\u00e7abilir. ABD\u2019de **\u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE** (core CPI: enerji ve g\u0131da gibi dalgal\u0131 kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %3,5 ile y\u00fcksek seyrederken, **Fed**\u2019den daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d mesajlar (hawkish: enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizlerin y\u00fcksek kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret eden s\u00f6ylem) pariteyi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 itebilir. Bu durumda 0,7000 seviyesini hedefleyen **sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131** (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe y\u00f6nelik bir strateji olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD 0,7160\u2019ta ikinci g\u00fcn geriliyor: Dikd\u00f6rtgen formasyon karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 koruyor. 0,7164 a\u015f\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,7270\/0,7277 g\u00fcndemde. 0,7120 alt\u0131 0,7070, devam\u0131nda 0,6833 riskini art\u0131r\u0131r. RBA bekle-g\u00f6r; \u015fahin Fed bask\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47456","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47456","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47456"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47456\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47456"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47456"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47456"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}