Kanada Dolar\u0131, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda genel olarak yatay seyretti; yaln\u0131zca Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re daha zay\u0131f kald\u0131 ve ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,3810 civar\u0131nda gezindi. Piyasalar, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131 bitirmeyi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) yeniden a\u00e7may\u0131 hedefleyen ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinden gelecek yeni haberleri bekledi\u011fi i\u00e7in y\u00f6n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. BBC\u2019ye g\u00f6re m\u00fczakereler, Tahran\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019nin sald\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenledi\u011fi iddias\u0131na ra\u011fmen s\u00fcrd\u00fc; ABD Merkez Komutanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise eylemi, \u0130ran g\u00fc\u00e7lerinden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilen tehditlere kar\u015f\u0131 askerleri korumaya d\u00f6n\u00fck \u201csavunma\u201d ama\u00e7l\u0131 bir ad\u0131m olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Dikkatler ayr\u0131ca \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Fars ajans\u0131n\u0131n haberine \u00e7evrildi. Haberde, \u00fcst d\u00fczey bir \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkilinin \u0130ran\u2019a ait fonlar\u0131n \u201cserbest b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131\u201d (yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki dondurulmu\u015f paran\u0131n tekrar kullan\u0131labilir hale gelmesi) son b\u00fcy\u00fck anla\u015fmazl\u0131k konusu olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, Katar\u2019\u0131n da arabuluculuk yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi; ancak resmi do\u011frulama gelmedi. Kanada\u2019da g\u00f6zler Cuma a\u00e7\u0131klanacak GSYH (gayrisafi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131la; ekonominin toplam \u00fcretim de\u011feri) verisinde. Ayl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin %0,1\u2019e gerilemesi (\u00f6nceki %0,2) beklenirken, ilk \u00e7eyrekte y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f (\u00e7eyreklik de\u011fi\u015fimin y\u0131l geneline \u00e7evrilmi\u015f hali) b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00f6nceki %0,6\u2019l\u0131k daralman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan %1,5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD\u2019nin 1,3810 civar\u0131nda yatay kalmas\u0131, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n birikti\u011fi (fiyat\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve sert hareket ihtimalinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131) bir d\u00f6neme i\u015faret ediyor. Piyasalar, ya \u0130ran\u2019la ilgili jeopolitik ba\u015fl\u0131ktan ya da Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc yurt i\u00e7i GSYH verisinden net bir sinyal bekliyor. Bu da, opsiyon primlerinin (opsiyonu sat\u0131n alma maliyeti) g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalabilece\u011fi ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara f\u0131rsat sunabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerini yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz; olas\u0131 bir anla\u015fma petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 belirgin etkileyebilir. WTI ham petrol (ABD referans petrol\u00fc) bu ay varil ba\u015f\u0131na 78\u201382 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyretti. Ancak H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak bir anla\u015fma, k\u00fcresel arz\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r. 2015\u2019teki n\u00fckleer anla\u015fma sonras\u0131 benzer bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 aylar s\u00fcren bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe girmi\u015f ve Kanada Dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Yurt i\u00e7inde bu haftan\u0131n en kritik g\u00fcndemi yakla\u015fan GSYH verisi. Piyasa ilk \u00e7eyrekte %1,5 y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekliyor; beklentinin alt\u0131nda bir sonu\u00e7 ekonominin ivmesine ili\u015fkin kayg\u0131lar\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r. Zay\u0131f bir veri, Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) ileride faiz indirimi yapma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltir. BoC, son iki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini (bankan\u0131n temel faiz oran\u0131) %4,25\u2019te sabit tuttu.<\/p>\n
Bu iki ana tetikleyici dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, straddle veya strangle gibi stratejilerle oynakl\u0131k sat\u0131n almay\u0131 uygun g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Straddle\/strangle, opsiyonla kurulan ve fiyat\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc bilmeden (yukar\u0131 ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131) b\u00fcy\u00fck bir harekette kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejilerdir. Mevcut d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma), bu t\u00fcr pozisyonlar\u0131n giri\u015f maliyetini daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
CAD Asya\u2019da yatay; USD\/CAD 1,3810\u2019da s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. G\u00f6zler ABD\u2013\u0130ran\/H\u00fcrm\u00fcz haberlerinde ve Cuma Kanada GSYH\u2019s\u0131nda. Petrol ve BoC faiz beklentileri belirleyici; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131k opsiyon stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47454","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47454","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47454"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47454\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47454"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47454"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47454"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}