EUR\/JPY \u00e7apraz\u0131 d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc seansta da y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc ve \u00c7ar\u015famba Asya i\u015flemlerinde 185,30 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Parite, 185,00 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda k\u00fcmelenen dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131n (EMA: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vererek hesaplanan hareketli ortalama) \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) ise 53 civar\u0131nda seyretti. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, zay\u0131f ama pozitif bir ivmeye i\u015faret ediyor; a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte fiyat hareketi, yakla\u015f\u0131k 185,40\u2019taki al\u00e7alan kanal\u0131n (fiyat\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011fimli iki \u00e7izgi aras\u0131nda hareket etti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm) \u00fcst band\u0131na yak\u0131n. Kanal\u0131n \u00fczerine kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, 17 Nisan\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fclen 187,95 rekoruna do\u011fru hareketin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilir. Destekte ilk izlenen seviye 185,00 psikolojik e\u015fi\u011fi. Bunun yan\u0131nda dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA 184,99 ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA 184,89 bulunuyor. Bu b\u00f6lge a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa odak 16 Mart\u2019taki \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 181,87\u2019ye, ard\u0131ndan 12 \u015eubat\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen be\u015f ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 180,81\u2019e kay\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
EUR\/JPY\u2019nin 185,40 ana diren\u00e7 seviyesini test etti\u011fini yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. Parite, 185,00 \u00e7evresindeki \u00f6nemli hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiliyor. 185,40 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareket, son d\u00f6nemdeki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kanal\u0131n yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder ve daha agresif bir uzun pozisyon (fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckselece\u011fi beklentisiyle al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon) al\u0131nmas\u0131na neden olabilir.<\/p>\n
Bu teknik g\u00fc\u00e7, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nden gelen son verilerle destekleniyor. Nisan 2026 i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131klanan Uyumla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (HICP: Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde enflasyonu \u00f6l\u00e7en ortak standart) %2,7 ile %2,5 beklentinin \u00fczerinde geldi. Bu durum, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) erken faiz indirimi yapma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor. Para politikas\u0131 beklentilerindeki bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, Euro\u2019nun Yen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda destek bulmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oluyor.<\/p>\n
Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) ise g\u00fcvercin duru\u015funu (faizleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutmaya e\u011filimli politika yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131) koruyarak EUR\/JPY g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc destekliyor. Ge\u00e7en haftaki verilere g\u00f6re Japonya\u2019da \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (Core CPI: g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %1,9\u2019a yava\u015flad\u0131. BoJ Ba\u015fkan\u0131, kal\u0131c\u0131 \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in destekleyici politikan\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclece\u011fini belirtti. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, Yen \u00fczerinde bask\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesine yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) 186,00 civar\u0131nda olan ve vadesi Temmuz 2026 olan \u201czarar\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money: mevcut fiyata g\u00f6re \u015fu an k\u00e2rda olmayan) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 uygun bir strateji olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. B\u00f6ylece Nisan zirvesi 187,95\u2019e do\u011fru olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fe kat\u0131l\u0131m sa\u011flan\u0131r. Opsiyon i\u00e7in \u00f6denen prim (premium: s\u00f6zle\u015fme bedeli) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, k\u0131r\u0131lma ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmezse azami risk de bu \u00f6denen bedelle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
EUR\/JPY d\u00f6rt seanst\u0131r y\u00fckseliyor: 185,30\u2019da, 185,00\u2019daki EMA\u2019lar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde. RSI 53. 185,40 \u00fczeri k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 187,95 hedef. HICP s\u00fcrprizi Euro\u2019yu, g\u00fcvercin BoJ Yen\u2019i bask\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47453","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47453","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47453"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47453\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47453"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47453"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47453"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}