Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL), Elliott Dalga ((1)) tamamland\u0131ktan sonra geri \u00e7ekildi ve 66,34 dolarl\u0131k \u201cge\u00e7ersiz olma\u201d seviyesinin \u00fczerinde destek bulduktan sonra \u201cmavi kutu\u201d (fiyat\u0131n tepki verme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc) b\u00f6lgesinden toparland\u0131. Dalga ((2)) dibinden itibaren hisse yakla\u015f\u0131k %170 y\u00fckseldi. Bu hareket \u201citici y\u00fckseli\u015f\u201d (g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve trend y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ilerleyen) olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor ve ayn\u0131 zamanda k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 d\u00fczeltme kanal\u0131n\u0131n (geri \u00e7ekilme s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u00d6nceki d\u00fczeltme, IV. Dalga olarak; ((W))-((X))-((Y)) \u015feklinde \u201cdouble three\u201d (iki a\u015famal\u0131, \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc d\u00fczeltme dizisi) formasyonu olarak ifade ediliyor. Mevcut okuma, hisseyi daha b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekte V. Dalga i\u00e7ine yerle\u015ftiriyor. ((1)) ve ((2)) dalgalar\u0131 tamamlanm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; fiyat hareketi ((3)) dalgas\u0131 i\u00e7inde ilerliyor. \u201cE\u015fit bacak\u201d (\u00f6nceki hareketle benzer uzunluk hedefi) uzatma hedefi \u015fimdiden g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; yine de ((3)) bitmeden \u00f6nce yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor. Ard\u0131ndan ((4)) dalgas\u0131nda bir geri \u00e7ekilme, sonras\u0131nda da V\u2019nin ((5)) dalgas\u0131nda yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu senaryo, yap\u0131 66,34\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece ge\u00e7erli; geri \u00e7ekilmeler de 3, 7 veya 11 sal\u0131n\u0131m (fiyat\u0131n belirgin ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ad\u0131mlar\u0131) \u00fczerinden de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
Dell\u2019deki %170\u2019lik y\u00fckseli\u015fi \u00f6ng\u00f6ren analizimizin ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini korudu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Hissenin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareketi, y\u00fckseli\u015f dizisinin devrede oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu da hissenin sonraki ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 izlemek i\u00e7in net bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve sunuyor.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131 trendin temel dayana\u011f\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcyen yapay zek\u00e2 (AI) sunucu pazar\u0131. Dell bu alanda pazar pay\u0131n\u0131 %21\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. \u015eirketin son finansal sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, AI i\u00e7in optimize edilmi\u015f sunucu biriminde gelir y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %40 artt\u0131. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, 2023-2024 d\u00f6neminde NVIDIA gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck teknoloji \u015firketlerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile benzerlik ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Hisse \u015fu anda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f dalgas\u0131nda ve bu dalgan\u0131n zirveye yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu a\u015famada y\u00fckseli\u015fin pe\u015finden fiyat kovalamak riskli; bu nedenle yeni y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon eklemiyoruz. Yak\u0131nda yatay seyir veya s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilme bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda stratejimiz, ((4)) dalgas\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz bu geri \u00e7ekilmeyi beklemek. Bu ge\u00e7ici d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar i\u00e7in uygun bir giri\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olu\u015fturabilir. Ad\u0131m atmadan \u00f6nce d\u00fczeltmenin taban buldu\u011funa dair i\u015faretleri izleyece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n
Geri \u00e7ekilmenin bitti\u011fine dair sinyal olu\u015ftu\u011funda, al\u0131m opsiyonu (call; belirli bir fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) almay\u0131 veya \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyat\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olan, \u015fu an k\u00e2ra ge\u00e7memi\u015f) put spread satmay\u0131 (sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131ndan olu\u015fan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli strateji) de\u011ferlendirece\u011fiz. Bu \u201ct\u00fcrev\u201d (de\u011feri dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fme) stratejiler, bir sonraki y\u00fckseli\u015f baca\u011f\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz ((5)) dalgas\u0131ndan faydalanmay\u0131 hedefler. \u201c\u0130ma edilen oynakl\u0131k\u201d (opsiyon fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131n beklenen dalgalanma varsay\u0131m\u0131) %45\u2019in \u00fczerinde oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, trend yeniden h\u0131zland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesinden fayda sa\u011flayan stratejileri tercih ediyoruz.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosu, fiyat 66,34 dolarl\u0131k ge\u00e7ersiz olma seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece ge\u00e7erli. T\u00fcrev i\u015flemlerde risk kontrol\u00fc i\u00e7in bu seviye temel referans olmal\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Dell\u2019de Elliott dalgalar\u0131yla y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: %170 ralli sonras\u0131 hisse ((3)) i\u00e7inde. AI sunucu b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi destekli. 66,34 \u00fcst\u00fc korunursa ((4)) d\u00fczeltmesi al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131, ard\u0131ndan ((5)) hedefleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47434","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47434","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47434"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47434\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47434"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47434"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47434"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}