{"id":47427,"date":"2026-05-27T00:19:17","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T00:19:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/orta-dogu-riskleriyle-dolar-yatay-seyrederken-petrol-ve-altin-gerilerken-avustralya-enflasyonu-gundemde\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T00:19:17","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T00:19:17","slug":"orta-dogu-riskleriyle-dolar-yatay-seyrederken-petrol-ve-altin-gerilerken-avustralya-enflasyonu-gundemde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/orta-dogu-riskleriyle-dolar-yatay-seyrederken-petrol-ve-altin-gerilerken-avustralya-enflasyonu-gundemde\/","title":{"rendered":"Orta Do\u011fu riskleriyle dolar yatay seyrederken; petrol ve alt\u0131n gerilerken Avustralya enflasyonu g\u00fcndemde"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD Dolar\u0131, pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc tersine \u00e7evirdikten sonra sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc dengelendi. ABD\u2013\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin belirsizlik ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fi beklentisi, dolara olan talebi destekledi. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 99,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak iki g\u00fcn\u00fcn en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc MBA Mortgage Applications (ABD\u2019de konut kredisi ba\u015fvurular\u0131) ve ADP Employment Change Weekly (\u00f6zel sekt\u00f6rde istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) verileri a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Ayr\u0131ca Fed yetkilileri Logan ve Cook konu\u015fma yapacak.<\/p>\n

G10\u2019da EUR\/USD, pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fin etkisi azal\u0131nca 1,1600\u2019e do\u011fru geriledi. ECB\u2019nin Financial Stability Review (FSR) raporu (finansal sistemin dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve risklerine dair de\u011ferlendirme) yay\u0131mlanacak. GBP\/USD 1,3500 \u00fczerinde diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131ktan sonra geri \u00e7ekildi; \u0130ngiltere veri takvimi bo\u015f. USD\/JPY, BoJ Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ueda\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi 159,30 civar\u0131nda \u00e7ok haftal\u0131 zirvelere t\u0131rmand\u0131. AUD\/USD 0,7170 \u00e7evresinde yatay seyretti; Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nemli enflasyon verilerinin yan\u0131nda Construction Work Done (tamamlanan in\u015faat i\u015fi\/harcamas\u0131 g\u00f6stergesi) ve RBA\u2019dan Hewson\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131 izlenecek. WTI 89,00 dolar\/varil d\u00fczeyine gerilerken, \u00e7ar\u015famba API\u2019nin haftal\u0131k ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131 verisi (sekt\u00f6r kaynakl\u0131 stok tahmini) a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Alt\u0131n ise iki g\u00fcn\u00fcn diplerine inerek yeniden ons ba\u015f\u0131na 4.500 dolar\u0131 test etti.<\/p>\n

ABD Dolar\u0131 Rallisi, Piyasa Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Kritik G\u00fcndem<\/h3>\n

ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeyi, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da artan jeopolitik riskin do\u011frudan sonucu olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu \u201cg\u00fcvenli limana y\u00f6neli\u015f\u201d (risk art\u0131nca daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara ge\u00e7i\u015f) Dolar Endeksi\u2019ni 99,00 seviyesine itiyor. Piyasadaki endi\u015feyi \u00f6l\u00e7en CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) (S&P 500 opsiyonlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) bu tedirginli\u011fi yans\u0131tt\u0131 ve son olarak y\u0131ll\u0131k diplerden 14,5 seviyesine y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Yar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanacak kritik enflasyon raporu \u00f6ncesinde Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019nda sert bir hareket bekliyoruz. Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n son \u00e7eyreklik enflasyonu 3,6 ile y\u00fcksek kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131; benzer \u015fekilde y\u00fcksek bir rakam g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oynakl\u0131k yaratabilir. AUD\/USD\u2019de \u201cstraddle\u201d veya \u201cstrangle\u201d al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 (opsiyon stratejileri: her iki y\u00f6nde b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketten yararlanmak i\u00e7in al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 birlikte almak; strangle\u2019da kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131 daha uzakt\u0131r) y\u00f6n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olas\u0131 fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in daha temkinli bir y\u00f6ntem olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

D\u00f6viz Performans\u0131, Petrol ve Alt\u0131n Piyasas\u0131 Tepkileri<\/h3>\n

Japon Yeni\u2019ndeki kal\u0131c\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131, ABD ile Japonya faizleri aras\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck fark besliyor. Fed faizi %5\u2019in \u00fczerinde tutarken Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faizi s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n; bu nedenle USD\/JPY\u2019de ana y\u00f6n yukar\u0131 kal\u0131yor. Parite 160,00 seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131rken Japon yetkililerden \u201cs\u00f6zl\u00fc m\u00fcdahale\u201d (kurun y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc etkilemek i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131klama) veya \u201cdo\u011frudan m\u00fcdahale\u201d (piyasadan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m yaparak kuru etkileme) riski izlenmeli.<\/p>\n

WTI ham petrolde varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na inen zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fi beklentisine ba\u011fl\u0131yoruz. Bu beklenti, EIA\u2019n\u0131n (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi) ge\u00e7en hafta bildirdi\u011fi ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131ndaki 1,4 milyon varillik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f gibi temel verilerin (arz-talep dengesi verileri) etkisini g\u00f6lgeliyor. Bo\u011faz\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n do\u011frulanmas\u0131 fiyatlarda ek ve sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc tetikleyebilir; bu nedenle k\u0131sa vadeli \u201cput opsiyonlar\u0131\u201d (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayan sat\u0131m opsiyonu) korunma arac\u0131 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jeopolitik belirsizlik dolar\u0131 yeniden sahneye ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131: DXY 99 \u00fcst\u00fcnde dengelendi. EUR\/USD 1,16\u2019ya inerken, USD\/JPY 159,30\u2019la zirvede. Petrol 89 dolara, alt\u0131n 4.500\u2019e sarkt\u0131. ABD verileri, Fed konu\u015fmalar\u0131 takipte.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47427","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47427"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47427\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47427"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47427"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47427"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}