USD\/CAD sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc erken saatlerdeki y\u00fckseli\u015fini geri verdi. Kur, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i zirvenin 1,3821\u2019e yakla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 1,3800 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (CAD) desteklerken, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nelik genel talep de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 99,16 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; endeks pazartesi k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 99,00\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na inmi\u015fti. \u201cGreenback\u201d (ABD Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in piyasa takma ad\u0131) talebi, ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine ili\u015fkin belirsizlik nedeniyle destek buldu.<\/p>\n
ABD g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin pazartesi \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n g\u00fcneyinde \u201csavunma ama\u00e7l\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u201d d\u00fczenledi\u011fi haberleri sonras\u0131 gerilim artt\u0131. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin; \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131 (n\u00fckleer faaliyetler), yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, dondurulmu\u015f varl\u0131klar (eri\u015fime kapat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f fonlar) ve \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ABD deniz ablukas\u0131 gibi ba\u015fl\u0131klarda t\u0131kand\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Tasnim Haber Ajans\u0131, Tahran\u2019\u0131n dondurulmu\u015f 24 milyar dolarl\u0131k fonun serbest b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 istedi\u011fini; anla\u015fma a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131r a\u00e7\u0131klanmaz en az yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131labilir olmas\u0131n\u0131 talep etti\u011fini yazd\u0131. The Wall Street Journal ise ABD Donanmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ticari gemilere yeniden refakat etmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ham petrol\u00fc (ABD referans petrol t\u00fcr\u00fc) yakla\u015f\u0131k %4 artarak 93 dolar civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f, petrole duyarl\u0131 Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 desteklerken enflasyon endi\u015felerini de art\u0131rd\u0131; bu durum ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) ve Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (BoC) yeniden oda\u011fa ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. BoC Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Nicolas Vincent, \u015foklar\u0131n yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fimle (ekonominin temel yap\u0131s\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm) ayn\u0131 anda ya\u015fanmas\u0131 halinde para politikas\u0131 kararlar\u0131n\u0131n daha az net oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. ABD Conference Board T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni (CB Consumer Confidence) may\u0131sta 93,1\u2019e gerileyerek nisandaki 93,8\u2019in alt\u0131na indi. Piyasalar per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD PCE enflasyonu (Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) ve cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Kanada GSYH\u2019sini (ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi) bekliyor.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD, iki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve z\u0131t etken aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda; bu da kurun 1,3800 \u00e7evresinde dar bantta kalmas\u0131na neden oluyor. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik gerilim, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6neldi\u011fi varl\u0131k) aray\u0131\u015f\u0131yla ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talep getiriyor. Ayn\u0131 gerilim petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 itiyor ve bu da Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 do\u011frudan destekliyor.<\/p>\n
WTI 93 dolar civar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrederken petrol fiyatlar\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izleniyor. OPEC+\u2019tan (OPEC \u00fclkeleri ve baz\u0131 \u00fcretici m\u00fcttefikler) gelen son mesajlar, grubun mevcut \u00fcretim k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek istedi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu, k\u00fcresel arz\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 (piyasaya daha az petrol) tutarak emtiaya ba\u011fl\u0131 Kanada Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in destek olu\u015fturuyor ve USD\/CAD\u2019de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer tarafta ABD\u2019de kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutuyor. Son Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 (PCE) verileri, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7) %2,8 ile y\u00fcksek kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; bu seviye Fed\u2019in hedefinin belirgin \u00fczerinde. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131n vadede \u201cs\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131\u201dn\u0131 (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma ve finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n
Kanada taraf\u0131nda da g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm karma\u015f\u0131k; BoC de faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda. Kanada ekonomisi ge\u00e7en ay g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir istihdam verisi a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131: 90 bini a\u015fan yeni i\u015f ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %5,0 ile tarihi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye inmesi. Bu i\u00e7 talep ve istihdam g\u00fcc\u00fc, BoC\u2019ye Fed\u2019e benzer \u015fekilde \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 veya y\u00fcksek faiz yanl\u0131s\u0131) duru\u015f sergilemek i\u00e7in gerek\u00e7e veriyor.<\/p>\n
Bu z\u0131t etkenler nedeniyle net bir y\u00f6n yerine y\u00fcksek dalgalanma (volatilite: fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert hareket etmesi) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. Bu haftaki kritik veriler, \u00f6zellikle ABD enflasyonu ve Kanada GSYH, sert ancak k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli hareketlere yol a\u00e7abilir. Bu ortamda fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131ndan yararlanmay\u0131 hedefleyen opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor: \u201cstraddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu birlikte) veya \u201cstrangle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131ndan al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu birlikte) gibi.<\/p>\n
2022\u2019deki enerji fiyat \u015fokunda g\u00f6r\u00fclen sert kur sapmalar\u0131 (normal seviyeden h\u0131zl\u0131 uzakla\u015fma) hat\u0131rlan\u0131yor; mevcut tablo benzer bir yola girebilir. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda tansiyonun h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmesi, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki \u201crisk primi\u201dni (belirsizlik nedeniyle ek talep) h\u0131zla azaltabilir ve USD\/CAD\u2019de sert geri \u00e7ekilmeye yol a\u00e7abilir. Bu nedenle y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar (sadece y\u00fckseli\u015f ya da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe oynayan i\u015flemler) temkinle ele al\u0131nmal\u0131 ve s\u0131k\u0131 risk kurallar\u0131yla y\u00f6netilmelidir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/CAD 1,3821\u2019den geri \u00e7ekilip 1,3800\u2019de dengelendi. \u0130ran gerilimi dolar\u0131 desteklerken WTI\u2019nin %4 art\u0131\u015fla 93$\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 CAD\u2019i g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. PCE ve Kanada GSYH volatiliteyi art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47419","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47419"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47419\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47419"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47419"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47419"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}