AUD\/USD, 0,7175 seviyesindeki direnci k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine a\u015farak 0,7182\u2019ye kadar y\u00fckseldi ancak hareket ivme kazanamad\u0131. Paritenin \u015fimdi yatay seyir (konsolidasyon) s\u00fcrecine girmesi bekleniyor. Yak\u0131n vadede 0,7150\u20130,7185 band\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor; Asya seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerindeki h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fin (ilk s\u0131\u00e7rama) ard\u0131ndan al\u0131mlar\u0131n devam\u0131 gelmedi.<\/p>\n
UOB, 25 May\u0131s\u2019ta spot 0,7150 iken g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc negatiften n\u00f6tr\u2019e \u00e7evirdi. Banka, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve son hareketlerin bant i\u00e7inde i\u015flem (range) niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. 1\u20133 haftal\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde parite 0,7100\u20130,7215 band\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. Ancak daha geni\u015f teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, destek seviyeleri k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in alan bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131n (AUD) k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 (direncin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131) kal\u0131c\u0131 hale getirememesi nedeniyle, paritenin ABD dolar\u0131 (USD) kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yatay seyir d\u00f6nemine girmesi bekleniyor. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin (fiyat\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan g\u00fc\u00e7) zay\u0131f olmas\u0131, AUD\/USD\u2019nin \u015fimdilik dar bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6rme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu da n\u00f6tr duru\u015fu ve \u201cbant i\u00e7i\u201d stratejilere odaklanmay\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Bu yatay g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde merkez bankalar\u0131ndan gelen kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller etkili. Son veriler, Avustralya\u2019da \u00e7eyreklik enflasyonun %3,6 ile y\u00fcksek seyretti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; bu da Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) \u201c\u015fahin\u201d kalmas\u0131na (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma veya art\u0131rma e\u011filimi) neden oluyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD\u2019de enflasyon %3,4\u2019e geriledi; ancak ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) yetkilileri \u201cdaha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d politikas\u0131na i\u015faret etmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 (piyasada \u201cgreenback\u201d) destekliyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda t\u00fcrev piyasa (opsiyon gibi s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, 0,7100\u20130,7215 band\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131ktan faydalanan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir. \u201cOynakl\u0131k satmak\u201d (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131 beklentisini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde fiyatlayan i\u015flem) bu t\u00fcr d\u00f6nemlerde \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar. \u00d6rne\u011fin iron condor gibi stratejiler dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Iron condor, belirli bir fiyat band\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket beklenmedi\u011finde kullan\u0131lan, d\u00f6rt opsiyon baca\u011f\u0131ndan olu\u015fan ve getirisi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir stratejidir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) son alt\u0131 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine gerilemesiyle daha cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu durum, opsiyon primlerinin (opsiyonun fiyat\u0131) satmak i\u00e7in g\u00f6rece elveri\u015fli kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n
Hem Avustralya hem ABD\u2019den gelecek istihdam verileri yak\u0131ndan izlenecek. Beklentilerden b\u00fcy\u00fck sapma, bu dengeyi bozabilir. Tarihsel olarak RBA ile Fed\u2019in para politikas\u0131 duru\u015flar\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda parite uzun s\u00fcre bantta kalabilir. Ancak 0,7100 deste\u011finin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir hareketi tetikleyebilir. Bu nedenle bant i\u00e7i i\u015flemlerde \u00f6nceden belirlenmi\u015f \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f seviyeleriyle (zarar\u0131 durdur\/pozisyonu kapatma kurallar\u0131) riskin s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/USD\u2019de \u201ck\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u201d heyecan\u0131 s\u00f6n\u00fcyor: 0,7175 \u00fczeri kal\u0131c\u0131 olamay\u0131nca parite konsolidasyona d\u00f6nd\u00fc. UOB negatiften n\u00f6tr\u2019e ge\u00e7ti; 0,7100\u20130,7215 band\u0131 izleniyor, destek k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa h\u0131zlanabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47387","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47387","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47387"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47387\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47387"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47387"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47387"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}