Sterlin, Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015finin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri verdi. GBP\/USD, bir bu\u00e7uk haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine do\u011fru ata\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131lamay\u0131nca 1,3500 e\u015fi\u011finin alt\u0131na indi. Parite, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde 1,3485\u20131,3495 band\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,10\u2019un biraz \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti. ABD Dolar\u0131, g\u00fcvenli liman (risk art\u0131nca tercih edilen para birimi) talebinin yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi ve enflasyon endi\u015feleri canlan\u0131rken ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) \u015fahin (faizi y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filiminde) kalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle de\u011fer kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik risk de bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. ABD Merkez Kuvvetler Komutanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, ABD g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin \u201cme\u015fru m\u00fcdafaa\u201d kapsam\u0131nda \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n g\u00fcneyinde sald\u0131r\u0131lar d\u00fczenledi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Fox News ise iki \u0130ran teknesinin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda may\u0131n d\u00f6\u015ferken g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve bir f\u00fcze mevzisinin ABD sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131n\u0131 hedef ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc hareket, ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 umutlar\u0131n\u0131n dolara (Greenback: ABD Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan piyasa ad\u0131) deste\u011fi azaltmas\u0131yla GBP\/USD\u2019yi %0,54 y\u00fckselterek 1,3500\u2019ye ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; bu seviye 14 May\u0131s\u2019tan beri en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeylere yak\u0131nd\u0131. Daha geni\u015f dolar piyasas\u0131nda ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 99,00 civar\u0131nda seyretti; ge\u00e7en hafta yakla\u015f\u0131k 99,50 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Piyasalar Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Nisan PCE Fiyat Endeksi\u2019ne odakland\u0131 (PCE: Fed\u2019in en \u00e7ok izledi\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi).<\/p>\n
Sterlin, g\u00fc\u00e7lenen ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 korumakta zorlan\u0131yor; GBP\/USD 1,2750 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu zay\u0131flama, k\u00fcresel belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda dolara y\u00f6nelik yeniden artan talepten kaynaklan\u0131yor. Parite, ge\u00e7en haftaki y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesini s\u00fcrd\u00fcremeyince sat\u0131\u015flarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi\u2019nde deniz hareketlili\u011finin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberler, risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n risk alma iste\u011fi) azaltarak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman dolara y\u00f6neltiyor. Ayr\u0131ca son ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (CPI: t\u00fcketici enflasyonu \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fc) verisi enflasyonun %3,6 ile kal\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterince, Fed\u2019in faiz indirimi beklentisi daha ileri tarihlere \u00f6telenmi\u015f oldu. Bu politika fark\u0131, dolar\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Paritenin di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda ise Sterlin, \u0130ngiltere\u2019de enflasyonun y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131ndan (yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyon: fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n kolay d\u00fc\u015fmemesi) destek buluyor; son okuma %2,5 oldu. Bu durum, piyasada \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) ilk faiz indirimini A\u011fustos\u2019a erteleyebilece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Bu beklenti, GBP\/USD\u2019de daha sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri \u015fimdilik s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu tabloyla birlikte, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (volatilite: fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f aral\u0131kta dalgalanmas\u0131) artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz; bu da opsiyon i\u015flemleri yapanlar i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat yaratabilir. Benzer merkez bankas\u0131 belirsizli\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerine ait ge\u00e7mi\u015f veriler, yakla\u015fan ABD istihdam raporu gibi kritik veriler etraf\u0131nda sert fiyat hareketleri g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Bu nedenle straddle veya strangle al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n (iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck hareket beklentisiyle, farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda al\u0131m-sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 birlikte alma stratejileri) etkili olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz; z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) h\u00e2l\u00e2 makul seviyelerde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sterlin frene bast\u0131: GBP\/USD 1,3500 alt\u0131nda 1,3485-1,3495 band\u0131nda. G\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar, jeopolitik risk ve \u015fahin Fed beklentisi bask\u0131 yaparken; PCE oda\u011f\u0131 ve BoE geciken indirim sinyali d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47370","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47370","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47370"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47370\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47370"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47370"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47370"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}