EUR\/JPY Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde hafif geriledi ve \u00f6nceki seansta g\u00f6r\u00fclen s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan 184,90 civar\u0131nda dengelendi. \u00c7apraz kur, 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren hareketli ortalama) 184,84 ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n 184,86 seviyelerinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc koruyor. Her iki seviye de 185,00\u2019in hemen alt\u0131nda k\u00fcmelenerek yak\u0131n vadede destek (fiyat\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan seviye) g\u00f6revi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Momentum (fiyat hareketinin h\u0131z\u0131) zay\u0131flad\u0131; 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aras\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7ekte al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) 49,05 ile n\u00f6tr b\u00f6lgeye yak\u0131n. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte fiyat, al\u00e7alan bir kanal\u0131n (fiyat\u0131n iki paralel \u00e7izgi aras\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011fimli hareket etti\u011fi yap\u0131) \u00fcst band\u0131n\u0131 test ediyor. Bu t\u00fcr bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, kanal\u0131n \u00fczerine kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma olursa yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret edebilir. \u00c7apraz kur kanal\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse, 17 Nisan\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fclen 187,95 ile t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvesi (en y\u00fcksek seviye) g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Fiyat\u0131n iki EMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi ise oda\u011f\u0131 16 Mart\u2019taki 181,87 \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k dip (son \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi) ve ard\u0131ndan 12 \u015eubat\u2019ta kaydedilen 180,81 be\u015f ayl\u0131k dip seviyesine \u00e7evirebilir. Teknik analiz, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 deste\u011fiyle haz\u0131rland\u0131.<\/p>\n
EUR\/JPY\u2019nin 184,90 \u00e7evresinde yatay seyretti\u011fi (konsolidasyon: fiyat\u0131n belirgin y\u00f6n olu\u015fturmadan dar aral\u0131kta hareket etmesi) g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; bu seviye bir sonraki y\u00f6n i\u00e7in kritik. Parite \u015fu anda al\u00e7alan kanal\u0131n \u00fcst band\u0131n\u0131 test ediyor; 185,00\u2019in hemen alt\u0131ndaki hareketli ortalamalar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban deste\u011fi sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Bu teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, yak\u0131n vadede daha belirgin bir fiyat hareketi ihtimalinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu tablo, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde May\u0131s ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00f6nc\u00fc T\u00dcFE (CPI: T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi, enflasyonu \u00f6l\u00e7er) verisinin enflasyonun %2,1\u2019e geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6stermesiyle olu\u015ftu; veri beklentinin biraz alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 e\u011filimi) kalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131, politikan\u0131n normalle\u015fmesi (ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc gev\u015fek duru\u015ftan daha normal faiz\/duru\u015fa ge\u00e7i\u015f) konusunda kurum i\u00e7inde tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti; bu da yen i\u00e7in destekleyici olabilir. Bu temel ayr\u0131\u015fma, teknik k\u0131r\u0131lma konusunda belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket bekleyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in, kanal\u0131n \u00fczerine olas\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmek ad\u0131na al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) sat\u0131n almak daha temkinli bir y\u00f6ntem olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle Temmuz 2026 vadeli, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun hak fiyat\u0131) 186,00 civar\u0131nda olan call\u2019lar izlenebilir; bu, fiyat\u0131n 187,95 Nisan zirvesine y\u00f6nelmesinden fayda sa\u011flayabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon al\u0131rken azami riski (\u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131) netle\u015ftirir.<\/p>\n
Ters senaryoda, diren\u00e7 (fiyat\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r ve fiyat 184,85 civar\u0131ndaki destek k\u00fcmesinin alt\u0131na sarkarsa, daha sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Buna pozisyon almak i\u00e7in Haziran 2026 vadeli, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 184,00 civar\u0131nda sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) al\u0131m\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu, korunma (hedge: ters hareket riskini azaltma) sa\u011flar ve parite 181,87 civar\u0131ndaki \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k dip seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131rsa k\u00e2ra ge\u00e7ebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
EUR\/JPY 184,90\u2019da s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: 9 ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019lar 184,85\u2019te destek, RSI 49. Kanal \u00fcst band\u0131 izleniyor; k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 187,95, alt\u0131na sarkarsa 181,87 hedef.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47361","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47361","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47361"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47361\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47361"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47361"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47361"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}