{"id":47336,"date":"2026-05-26T02:54:06","date_gmt":"2026-05-26T02:54:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/sterlin-abd-iran-anlasmasi-umutlariyla-petrolun-gerilemesiyle-gbp-jpyyi-21450-direncine-tasiyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-26T02:54:06","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T02:54:06","slug":"sterlin-abd-iran-anlasmasi-umutlariyla-petrolun-gerilemesiyle-gbp-jpyyi-21450-direncine-tasiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-abd-iran-anlasmasi-umutlariyla-petrolun-gerilemesiyle-gbp-jpyyi-21450-direncine-tasiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin, ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 umutlar\u0131yla petrol\u00fcn gerilemesiyle GBP\/JPY\u2019yi 214,50 direncine ta\u015f\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

GBP\/JPY Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc pozitif e\u011filimle i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Sterlin, Japon Yeni\u2019nden daha iyi performans g\u00f6sterdi. Bunu, ABD-\u0130ran aras\u0131nda anla\u015fma ihtimaline ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak iyile\u015fen piyasa havas\u0131 destekledi. Yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u00e7apraz 214,52 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,30 y\u00fckseldi. Haberlerde, nihayetinde H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilecek ge\u00e7ici bir anla\u015fmaya do\u011fru ilerleme oldu\u011fu belirtildi. Ancak Wall Street Journal, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131 ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n hafifletilmesi konusunda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin h\u00e2l\u00e2 engellerle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu yazd\u0131; bu da iyimserli\u011fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tuttu.<\/p>\n

Ba\u015fl\u0131klara ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak petrol fiyatlar\u0131 geriledi; bu durum, petrol kaynakl\u0131 bir enflasyon \u015foku (petrol\u00fcn pahalanmas\u0131n\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 genel olarak yukar\u0131 itmesi) endi\u015felerini azaltt\u0131. Ancak fiyatlar sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131yor. Bu tablo, enerji maliyetleri artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 Japon ekonomisi \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Teknik tarafta parite 214,50 civar\u0131ndaki yatay direnci zorluyor. 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (Basit Hareketli Ortalama; belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki fiyatlar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) 212,36 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 207,94 seviyelerinin \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, genel y\u00fckseli\u015f trendini destekliyor. Momentum g\u00f6stergeleri (fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6stergeler) \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 \u015fekilde olumlu: RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; 0-100 aras\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015f\/al\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) 56 civar\u0131nda, MACD (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama\/Iraksama; trend ve momentum g\u00f6stergesi) ise hafif pozitif. Destek 212,36\u2019da, ard\u0131ndan 210,00\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken; 214,50 \u00fczeri k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m (direncin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131) y\u00fckseli\u015fi uzatabilir.<\/p>\n

Diren\u00e7 Yak\u0131n\u0131nda T\u00fcrev Stratejisi F\u0131rsatlar\u0131<\/h3>\n

GBP\/JPY\u2019nin 214,50 civar\u0131ndaki kritik diren\u00e7 seviyesini test ederken pozitif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiledi\u011fini izliyoruz. Jeopolitik geli\u015fmelere ba\u011fl\u0131 iyile\u015fen piyasa havas\u0131 pariteye destek veriyor. Bu teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (de\u011feri dayanak varl\u0131ktan gelen s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; \u00f6r. opsiyon) stratejileri i\u00e7in net f\u0131rsatlar sunuyor.<\/p>\n

214,50 \u00fczerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lma ihtimali nedeniyle al\u0131m opsiyonu (call; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon) al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Kal\u0131c\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f, Haziran veya Temmuz 2026 vadeli i\u015flemlerde 215,50 ya da 216,00 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 (strike; opsiyonda hakk\u0131n kullan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 fiyat) cazip k\u0131labilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle (\u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 zarar) de\u011ferlendirme imk\u00e2n\u0131 verir.<\/p>\n

Temel Etkenler ve A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Y\u00f6n Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n

Bu iyimser g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ile Japonya aras\u0131ndaki faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n (iki \u00fclkenin faiz oranlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fark) 500 baz puan\u0131n (bp; %0,01) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 destekliyor. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu korurken, son veriler Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonunun (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %3,5\u2019te \u201cinat\u00e7\u0131\u201d bi\u00e7imde y\u00fcksek kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) ise politikas\u0131n\u0131 normalle\u015ftirmekte (\u00e7ok gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131ndan daha n\u00f6tr\/s\u0131k\u0131 seviyelere ge\u00e7i\u015f) yava\u015f kald\u0131. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, Sterlin\u2019in Yen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131na zemin haz\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Yeni\u2019ndeki zay\u0131fl\u0131k, y\u00fcksek enerji maliyetleriyle de art\u0131yor; petrol varil fiyat\u0131 90 dolar civar\u0131nda diren\u00e7li seyrediyor ve 2022 \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin belirgin \u00fczerinde. Bu durum, ithalat a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek Japon ekonomisini zorluyor. Ayr\u0131ca CFTC verilerindeki spek\u00fclatif pozisyonlanma (vadeli i\u015flemlerde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00f6nl\u00fc bahisleri) Yeni\u2019nde net k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131n (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle ta\u015f\u0131nan pozisyon) \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fcksek seviyelere yak\u0131n kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu nedenle \u00e7aprazda olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmeler al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

GBP\/JPY 214,50 direncini zorlarken risk i\u015ftah\u0131 Sterlin\u2019i \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. ABD\u2011\u0130ran umutlar\u0131 petrol\u00fc bask\u0131lasa da belirsizlik s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Faiz fark\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekliyor; 214,50 \u00fczeri k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mda call stratejisi g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47336","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47336","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47336"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47336\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47336"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47336"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47336"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}