Sterlin, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131n\u0131n son b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,3500 civar\u0131ndaki erken kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 korudu. Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n anla\u015fmaya varabilece\u011fi beklentisiyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131rken GBP\/USD yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. S&P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecekteki fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan borsa kontratlar\u0131) yakla\u015f\u0131k %1 y\u00fckselerek 7.550 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY, dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) ise %0,33 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 99,00 seviyesine geriledi. Bu tablo, dolar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda daha zay\u0131f talep g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
Parite, haftaya a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015ftaki fiyat bo\u015flu\u011funu (piyasan\u0131n bir seviyeden kapan\u0131p daha farkl\u0131 bir seviyeden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131) geni\u015fletti ve ge\u00e7en haftaki 1,3300 dip seviyesinden toparland\u0131. Bu seviye 8 Nisan\u2019dan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck noktayd\u0131. Asya seans\u0131nda (Asya piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011fu saatler) bir bu\u00e7uk haftan\u0131n zirvesi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fckten sonra GBP\/USD yeniden 1,3500 psikolojik e\u015fi\u011fine (piyasada \u201cyuvarlak rakam\u201d oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli g\u00f6r\u00fclen seviye) y\u00f6neldi. Hafta sonu ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131na dair s\u00f6ylemler, dolar\u0131n rezerv para (merkez bankalar\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel ticarette yayg\u0131n tutulan ana para birimi) olma avantaj\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde ham petrol iki haftay\u0131 a\u015fan en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye indi. Bu durum enflasyon endi\u015felerini azaltt\u0131 ve ABD Hazine tahvili faizlerini (devlet tahvilinin getirisi; piyasada \u201ctahvil faizi\u201d diye an\u0131l\u0131r) sert bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Faizlerdeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f dolar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131rken GBP\/USD\u2019yi destekledi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiliz Sterlini\u2019nin ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,2600 seviyesine do\u011fru hareket etti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu tablo olumlu piyasa havas\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Bu \u201crisk alma\u201d e\u011filimini, ABD-\u00c7in ticaret g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine dair artan iyimserlik besliyor. Bu iyimserlik, dolar\u0131n \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (belirsizlik d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131lan varl\u0131k) \u00f6zelli\u011fini zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) de bunu yans\u0131tarak bu ay ilk kez 103,50 seviyesinin alt\u0131na indi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (dayanak varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n fiyat\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; \u00f6r. opsiyon, vadeli i\u015flem) i\u015flemi yapanlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu ortam, jeopolitik kayg\u0131lar azal\u0131rken piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX, S&P 500 i\u00e7in beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en; \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d olarak bilinir) 15\u2019in alt\u0131na indi; bu, piyasada endi\u015fenin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair net bir sinyal. Bu durum, opsiyon primi satmaya dayal\u0131 stratejileri (opsiyon satarak prim geliri elde etme; \u00f6r. k\u0131sa put veya \u201ccovered call\u201d) daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyat\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) gerilemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
GBP\/USD\u2019de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyel devam edebilece\u011fi i\u00e7in, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00fcrmesine g\u00f6re pozisyon almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesi gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. 1,2650 ve 1,2700 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (opsiyonun al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call, fiyat y\u00fckselirse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) sat\u0131n almak, risk i\u015ftah\u0131 s\u00fcrerse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir. Daha kontroll\u00fc risk i\u00e7in bo\u011fa call spread (daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren y\u00fckseli\u015f stratejisi) kurulabilir; b\u00f6ylece ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyeti azal\u0131rken paritedeki kademeli y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanma hedeflenir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Jeopolitik iyimserlik ve artan risk i\u015ftah\u0131 dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131rken Sterlin g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor: GBP\/USD 1,3500 civar\u0131nda tutunuyor. DXY gerilerken tahvil faizleri ve VIX d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor; y\u00fckseli\u015f stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47328","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47328"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47328\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47328"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47328"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47328"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}