AUD\/USD, son d\u00f6nemdeki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan toparland\u0131; 0,7100 ile 0,7168 aras\u0131nda gidip geldikten sonra 0,7155 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Son iki seansta 0,7117\u20130,7152 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareket etti; 0,7129\u2019da kapanarak %0,29 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, ard\u0131ndan son a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta sert y\u00fckseldi. Hareketin devam etme pay\u0131 var ancak 0,7175\u2019in net \u015fekilde a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 zor g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. K\u0131sa vadeli destek 0,7145\u2019te, ard\u0131ndan 0,7130 geliyor. \u00d6nceki y\u00f6nlendirme 0,7120\u20130,7175 band\u0131na odaklanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
1\u20133 haftal\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, \u00f6nceki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor. 0,7180 direnci, \u00f6nceki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u201cdengeye oturdu\u011funa\u201d i\u015faret eden seviye olarak izleniyor. Mevcut tablo, 0,7100 ile 0,7215 aras\u0131nda bant hareketi (fiyat\u0131n belli bir aral\u0131kta gidip gelmesi) \u015feklinde de\u011ferlendiriliyor. Daha uzun vadeli grafikler ise 0,6850\/0,6870 b\u00f6lgesinin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde 0,6765\u2019e do\u011fru a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131n ABD dolar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 son toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131, \u201ckonsolidasyon\u201d (sert hareket sonras\u0131 fiyat\u0131n bir s\u00fcre yatay aral\u0131kta toparlanmas\u0131) d\u00f6nemine ge\u00e7i\u015f olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u00d6nceki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ivmesi zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in paritenin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 0,7100\u20130,7215 band\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 olas\u0131. Bu da y\u00f6n yerine yatay piyasadan faydalanan ve \u201czaman a\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131\u201d (opsiyon fiyat\u0131n\u0131n, vade yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a sadece zaman ge\u00e7ti\u011fi i\u00e7in de\u011fer kaybetmesi) etkisini kullanan stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, hem Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) hem de ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\/indirimlerinde \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d tutumu (faizde \u015fimdilik de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmeme) sinyali vermesiyle destekleniyor. Avustralya politika faizi %4,35\u2019te, Fed\u2019in politika faizi (Fed Funds) ise %5,25\u2013%5,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda. Avustralya dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir itici g\u00fc\u00e7 olan demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131 da ton ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelendi; bu da y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 bask\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir kayna\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor. Faizler veya emtialardan (ham madde) g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00f6n tetikleyicisi gelmemesi, piyasan\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir bantta kalabilece\u011fi fikrini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n
\u201cT\u00fcrev\u201d (de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; \u00f6r. opsiyon) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu, beklenen bant i\u00e7inde \u201cvolatilite sat\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201dna (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131 beklentisi \u00fczerinden prim toplayan, dalgalanma d\u00fc\u015ferse kazanan pozisyonlar) i\u015faret ediyor. 0,7175 gibi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc direncin \u00fczerinde, \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (mevcut fiyata g\u00f6re k\u00e2ra ge\u00e7memi\u015f) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call) satmak uygulanabilir bir strateji olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Benzer \u015fekilde, 0,7100 deste\u011fine yak\u0131n sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put) sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 da \u201cprim\u201d (opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015ftan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fccret) toplamak i\u00e7in de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/USD zay\u0131fl\u0131k sonras\u0131 toparland\u0131; kritik bant 0,7100\u20130,7215. Ancak 0,7175\/0,7180 direnci a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 zor. Destek 0,7145\u20130,7130. RBA-Fed bekle-g\u00f6r, demir cevheri dengeli: opsiyonda volatilite sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47302","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47302","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47302"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47302\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47302"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47302"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47302"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}