EUR\/USD, 1,1575\u2019e k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli gerilemenin ard\u0131ndan toparland\u0131; 1,1587-1,1622 band\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 1,1602\u2019den kapand\u0131 ve %0,14 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Parite daha sonra daha y\u00fcksek a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. K\u0131sa vadede destek 1,1625\u2019te, ikincil destek 1,1610\u2019da. Yak\u0131n vadede yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hedef 1,1660 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 1,1685\u2019teki diren\u00e7 seviyesine hemen ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
1-3 haftal\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc h\u0131zland\u0131ran g\u00fc\u00e7) b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kaybolmas\u0131yla duru\u015f negatiften n\u00f6tre d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Daha \u00f6nce 1,1570 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lm\u0131\u015f; 20 May\u0131s\u2019ta 1,1610 ve 22 May\u0131s\u2019ta 1,1620 spot seviyeleri referans al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca 1,1655, 1,1575\u2019in dip oldu\u011funun teyidi i\u00e7in \u201cg\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7\u201d seviyesi olarak i\u015faretlenmi\u015fti. Beklenen i\u015flem band\u0131 art\u0131k 1,1590-1,1685.<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivme zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1-3 haftada pariteye n\u00f6tr bak\u0131yoruz. Kurun belirli bir bant i\u00e7inde yatay seyretmesi (belirgin y\u00f6n olmadan gidip gelmesi) bekleniyor; muhtemel aral\u0131k 1,1590-1,1685. Bu, y\u00f6n tahminine dayal\u0131 i\u015flemlerin daha az cazip oldu\u011funa ve stratejilerin buna g\u00f6re ayarlanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, her iki ekonomi i\u00e7in de dengeli bir tabloya i\u015faret eden son verilerle destekleniyor. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde Nisan 2026 \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %2,1 ile sabit kal\u0131rken, ABD\u2019de haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 (i\u015fsiz kalanlar\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni ba\u015fvurular) 215 bin seviyesinde yatay seyretti. Bu da, sert bir k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 tetikleyecek g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir itici g\u00fc\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) da \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 sinyali vererek piyasan\u0131n bant i\u00e7inde kalma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm alt\u0131nda, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131k (fiyat\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 dalgalanmas\u0131) ve zaman de\u011fer kayb\u0131ndan (vade yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a opsiyon priminin erimesi) fayda sa\u011flayan opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 1,1590-1,1685 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n hemen d\u0131\u015f\u0131na k\u0131sa (sat\u0131\u015f) kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131 yerle\u015ftirilmi\u015f bir \u201ciron condor\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede d\u00f6rt opsiyonla kurulan, fiyat bantta kal\u0131rsa prim geliri hedefleyen s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli strateji) satmak etkili bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. Parite \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bu kanal i\u00e7inde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece prim geliri elde etmeye imkan tan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Euro opsiyonlar\u0131nda z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) da geriledi. Cboe EuroCurrency Volatility Index – EVZ (Euro i\u00e7in beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) 5,8\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ferek \u015eubat 2026\u2019dan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Beklenen hareketin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu bu ortam, opsiyon primi satmay\u0131 (prim toplayarak i\u015flem yapmay\u0131) daha cazip hale getiriyor. Bu da, piyasada genel olarak en olas\u0131 senaryonun bir s\u00fcre daha yatay seyir oldu\u011funa dair bir teyit olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
EUR\/USD 1,1575\u2019ten toparlansa da bask\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: k\u0131sa vadede 1,1625\/1,1610 destek, 1,1660 hedef. 1-3 haftada ivme n\u00f6tr; 1,1590-1,1685 bant, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck EVZ opsiyon primi sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47296","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47296","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47296"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47296\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47296"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47296"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47296"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}