Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n erken saatlerinde hafif geriledi, ancak 4.500 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. ABD dolar\u0131, \u015fahin (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filimli) Fed duru\u015fu ve olas\u0131 ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyallerin deste\u011fiyle alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar, 2026\u2019n\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda Fed\u2019in faiz indirimi yapmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen fiyatlad\u0131 ve bu y\u0131l bitmeden en az bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sat\u0131n al\u0131yor. 28\u201329 Nisan toplant\u0131s\u0131na ait Fed tutanaklar\u0131, enflasyon %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rsa yetkililerin faizleri y\u00fcksek tutmaya veya art\u0131rmaya haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n
CME Group FedWatch Tool (Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131na dair piyasa olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge), Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k (0,25 puan) art\u0131\u015f ihtimalini %60\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00f6steriyor. Daha y\u00fcksek Hazine tahvili faizleri (ABD devlet tahvillerinin getirisi) dolar\u0131 desteklerken, faiz getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurdu.<\/p>\n
\u0130ranl\u0131 bir kaynak, anla\u015fmaya var\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ancak farklar\u0131n darald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi; uranyum zenginle\u015ftirme (uranyumun n\u00fckleer ama\u00e7larla daha y\u00fcksek safl\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131) ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kontrol\u00fc konular\u0131nda anla\u015fmazl\u0131k s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Marco Rubio ve Donald Trump, ABD\u2019nin bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7i\u015f i\u00e7in \u00fccret al\u0131nmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtirken, Trump ayr\u0131ca ABD ordusunun \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n y\u00fcksek oranda zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f uranyumunu geri alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Teknik tarafta alt\u0131n, 4 saatlik grafikte d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kanal\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n iki paralel \u00e7izgi aras\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi) i\u00e7inde kald\u0131 ve 200 periyot EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; trendi yumu\u015fat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f \u015fekilde g\u00f6steren ortalama) alt\u0131nda seyretti. Diren\u00e7 4.657,44 dolar civar\u0131nda. MACD (trend ve momentum g\u00f6stergesi) pozitife d\u00f6nd\u00fc, RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; al\u0131m-sat\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) 45 civar\u0131nda. Destek seviyeleri 4.480 ve 4.362,54 dolar olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, \u00f6zellikle alt\u0131n 4.480 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na sarkarsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlara i\u015faret ediyor. Bu seviyenin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, put opsiyonu (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne oynayan opsiyon) almak veya yeni short vadeli i\u015flem (futures) kontrat\u0131 a\u00e7mak i\u00e7in tetikleyici olabilir. Bir sonraki ana a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hedef, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kanal\u0131n\u0131n alt band\u0131 olan 4.362 dolar civar\u0131.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer yandan y\u00fckseli\u015f denemelerinde temkinli olmak gerekir; bu hareketlerin kal\u0131c\u0131 olmamas\u0131 bekleniyor. 4.657 civar\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi, call opsiyon spread\u2019i (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kazanc\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rarak prim geliri hedefleyen opsiyon stratejisi) satmak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat sunabilir. Alt\u0131n bu seviyeyi net bi\u00e7imde geri almad\u0131k\u00e7a, tepkiler d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ften \u00e7ok sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmeli.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n 4.500 dolar \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutunsa da Fed\u2019in \u015fahin tonu ve g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. 4.480 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa sat\u0131\u015f h\u0131zlanabilir; 4.657 a\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k\u00e7a y\u00fckseli\u015fler s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47250"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47250\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}