ABD \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re, 16 May\u0131s ile biten haftada ABD\u2019de ilk kez i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 209 bine y\u00fckseldi. Bu seviye beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve bir \u00f6nceki haftadaki 212 binden geriledi (\u00f6nceki veri 211 binden 212 bine revize edildi).<\/p>\n
D\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalama 1,5 bin d\u00fc\u015ferek 202,5 bine indi. Bir \u00f6nceki haftan\u0131n ortalamas\u0131 204 bine revize edildi.<\/p>\n
Devam eden i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 (d\u00fczenli \u00f6deme almaya devam eden ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131) 9 May\u0131s ile biten haftada 6 bin artarak 1,782 milyona \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Veri sonras\u0131 ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) 99,30 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken risk i\u015ftah\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) zay\u0131flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130stihdam verileri, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme, t\u00fcketim, enflasyon ve faiz politikas\u0131 beklentilerini etkiledi\u011fi i\u00e7in para birimlerinde oynakl\u0131k yaratabilir. \u00dccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nemlidir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc maa\u015flar y\u00fckselince talep ve fiyatlar artabilir, ayr\u0131ca \u00fccret kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n maa\u015flardan beslenmesi) enerji fiyatlar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 enflasyona g\u00f6re daha yava\u015f geri d\u00f6ner.<\/p>\n
Merkez bankalar\u0131 politika belirlerken i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 verilerini kullan\u0131r. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) \u201c\u00e7ift hedef\u201d ile \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r: azami istihdam ve fiyat istikrar\u0131. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) ise daha \u00e7ok enflasyona odaklan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Yeni i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 209 bin ile beklentinin alt\u0131nda gelirken d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k ortalaman\u0131n da d\u00fc\u015fmesi, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, ekonominin mevcut bask\u0131lara ra\u011fmen dayan\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor ve Fed\u2019in yak\u0131n vadeli politika ad\u0131mlar\u0131na dair beklentileri do\u011frudan etkiliyor.<\/p>\n
B\u00f6ylesine s\u0131k\u0131 bir i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 (i\u015f\u00e7i bulman\u0131n zor, talebin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011fu ortam) Fed\u2019in faiz indirimini g\u00fcndeme almas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r. Son enflasyon verilerinde \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 t\u00fcketici enflasyonu) yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,6 seviyesinde ve %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde. Bu nedenle Fed\u2019in faizleri uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutma s\u00f6ylemini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi beklenir.<\/p>\n
Bu tablo dolar\u0131 destekler. ABD\u2019de faizlerin di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomilere k\u0131yasla daha y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131, sermaye giri\u015fini art\u0131rabilir. T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (de\u011feri d\u00f6viz, faiz, endeks gibi bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) kullanan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda euro ve yen gibi para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine odaklanabilir.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca bu ortam, piyasalar\u0131n umdu\u011fundan daha erken bir faiz indirimi olmayabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. 2025\u2019te haftal\u0131k ba\u015fvurular\u0131n s\u0131k s\u0131k 215 binin \u00fczerinde seyretti\u011fi d\u00f6nemler g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; mevcut seviye ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir piyasaya i\u015faret ediyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, Fed\u2019in politika faizine ba\u011fl\u0131 vadeli i\u015flemlerde (future: gelecekte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) faizlerin y\u00fcksek kalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle pozisyon almay\u0131 destekleyebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
S\u00fcrpriz veri piyasay\u0131 sallad\u0131: ABD\u2019de ilk i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 209 bine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, ortalama 202,5 bine indi. Devam eden ba\u015fvurular 1,782 milyon. DXY 99,30\u2019da g\u00fc\u00e7lendi; risk i\u015ftah\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Fed\u2019in faiz indirimini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Dolar\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47191","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47191","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47191"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47191\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47191"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47191"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47191"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}