Fransa\u2019da \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r faaliyeti, S&P Global\u2019in \u00f6nc\u00fc (ay ortas\u0131) verilerine g\u00f6re May\u0131s\u2019ta geriledi. Daha y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131, hanehalk\u0131 ve \u015firketlerin maliyetlerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Fransa Bile\u015fik PMI (imalat + hizmetler) 43,5\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; bu, Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019den bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye.<\/p>\n
Veri, ekonomist tahminlerinin ve Nisan\u2019daki 47,6 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. PMI\u2019da 50\u2019nin alt\u0131, imalat ve hizmetlerde faaliyetin darald\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p>\n
Fabrika ve hizmet \u015firketleri, enerji maliyetlerindeki art\u0131\u015fa ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak \u00fcretim\/hizmet hacminde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bildirdi. Bu art\u0131\u015f, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 petrol \u015fokuyla ili\u015fkilendirildi. \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6rde yeni sipari\u015fler (\u015firketlere gelen yeni i\u015f ve talep) de May\u0131s\u2019ta geriledi.<\/p>\n
Euro B\u00f6lgesi genelinde PMI verileri, ekonomik faaliyetin May\u0131s\u2019ta darald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak Fransa\u2019ya k\u0131yasla daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Verinin a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada euro toparland\u0131. Bu hareket, ABD dolar\u0131ndaki geri \u00e7ekilme ve ABD\u2013\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 umutlar\u0131yla (anla\u015fman\u0131n petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilece\u011fi beklentisi) ili\u015fkilendirildi.<\/p>\n
Belirtilen anda EUR\/USD, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 1,1594 dip seviyesinden 1,1630 civar\u0131na toparland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, Frans\u0131z hisselerinde \u201ck\u0131sa pozisyon\u201du (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen i\u015flem) g\u00fcndeme getirebilir; \u00f6zellikle CAC 40 endeksi hedeflenebilir. \u201cPut opsiyonu\u201d (belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) ile olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalan\u0131rken risk daha kontroll\u00fc y\u00f6netilebilir. Etki, Euro Stoxx 50\u2019yi (Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015firketlerini izleyen endeks) de bask\u0131layabilir; bu da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc (ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131) stratejiler i\u00e7in ikinci bir hedef olabilir.<\/p>\n
Ancak piyasa \u015fu an zay\u0131f ekonomi verisinden \u00e7ok jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerle hareket ediyor. Euro\u2019nun dolara kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi, Avrupa ekonomisinin iyi olmas\u0131ndan de\u011fil; ABD\u2013\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 beklentisinin petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilece\u011fi umudundan kaynaklan\u0131yor. Bu da, diplomatik cepheden gelecek olumlu haberlerin k\u00f6t\u00fc ekonomik veriyi kolayca g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakabildi\u011fi bir i\u015flem ortam\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
2022\u2019deki Avrupa enerji krizinde benzer bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. O d\u00f6nemde h\u0131zla y\u00fckselen enerji maliyetleri ekonomik faaliyeti zay\u0131flat\u0131rken, Euro Stoxx 50 endeksi birka\u00e7 ay i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k %20 gerilemi\u015fti. Mevcut \u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 umutlar\u0131 bozulursa, Avrupa varl\u0131klar\u0131nda benzer h\u0131zda ve sertlikte sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrol \u015foku Fransa\u2019y\u0131 vurdu: May\u0131s \u00f6nc\u00fc Bile\u015fik PMI 43,5\u2019e inerek Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019den beri dip yapt\u0131; sipari\u015fler geriledi. CAC 40\/Euro Stoxx 50\u2019de short-put stratejileri g\u00fcndemde; jeopolitik haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 belirleyici.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47179","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47179","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47179"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47179\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47179"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47179"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47179"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}