Alt\u0131n, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde hafif geriledi ancak \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclen 30 Mart\u2019tan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyenin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. ABD dolar\u0131, \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yanl\u0131s\u0131) Fed tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l bitmeden bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha beklentisini desteklemesiyle alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n seyretti.<\/p>\n
Fed\u2019in 28\u201329 Nisan toplant\u0131s\u0131na ait tutanaklarda, enflasyonun (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131) %2 hedefinin kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 halinde politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funun daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n zorla\u015fmas\u0131) de\u011ferlendirece\u011fi belirtildi. CME Group FedWatch Tool (piyasadaki kontratlardan faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hesaplayan g\u00f6sterge) verileri, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 2026\u2019da 25 baz puanl\u0131k (0,25 y\u00fczde puan) art\u0131\u015f ihtimalini %50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar sonras\u0131 dolar\u0131n geri \u00e7ekilmesi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. Ba\u015fkan Trump, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde \u201cson a\u015famada\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylerken, Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n anla\u015fma istedi\u011fini belirtti; Trump ise daha fazla askeri ad\u0131m uyar\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran bu tehdidi reddetti ve ABD ile \u0130srail\u2019in muhtemel yeni sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fctebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran ayr\u0131ca H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f hatt\u0131) ge\u00e7en trafi\u011fi kontrol etmeyi hedefleyen \u201cBasra K\u00f6rfezi Bo\u011faz Otoritesi\u201dni kurdu.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan (grafik g\u00f6stergelerine dayal\u0131 analiz), XAU\/USD d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kanal\u0131 i\u00e7inde ve 4.682,12 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. RSI (14) (14 d\u00f6nemlik G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m durumunu g\u00f6steren momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 46,60 seviyesinde. MACD (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama\/Iraksama; trend ve momentum g\u00f6stergesi) hafif pozitife d\u00f6nd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 4.632,58 ve 4.682,12 dolarda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma b\u00f6lgesi) 4.500 dolar, ard\u0131ndan 4.380,81 dolar civar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
2025\u2019in bu d\u00f6nemine d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fczde, piyasan\u0131n \u015fahin Fed ve gergin ABD-\u0130ran m\u00fczakereleri aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyordu. Fed, enflasyonun kal\u0131c\u0131 kalmas\u0131yla \u015eubat 2026\u2019da faizi 25 baz puan art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu, piyasadaki \u201c\u015fahin\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc do\u011frulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
2025 sonuna do\u011fru ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 beklentileri zay\u0131flad\u0131 ve yeni \u201cBasra K\u00f6rfezi Bo\u011faz Otoritesi\u201d \u00f6nemli bir gerilim ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 haline geldi. Artan jeopolitik risk, alt\u0131na g\u00fcvenli liman (belirsizlik d\u00f6nemlerinde talep g\u00f6ren varl\u0131k) deste\u011fi verdi ve fiyat\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l i\u015faret edilen 4.682 direncinin belirgin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 sigortac\u0131lar\u0131na g\u00f6re H\u00fcrm\u00fcz ge\u00e7i\u015f primleri (sigorta maliyeti) 2026 ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana %15\u2019in \u00fczerinde artt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Fed\u2019in enflasyon oda\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrse de alt\u0131n art\u0131k yaln\u0131zca faiz beklentilerine g\u00f6re fiyatlanm\u0131yor. Dolar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc, Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmemi\u015f \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma nedeniyle alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle dengeleniyor. Nisan T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi; enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisinin enflasyonu %2,8 ile y\u00fcksek g\u00f6stermesi, Fed\u2019in faiz indirim alan\u0131n\u0131 daralt\u0131yor ve k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n i\u00e7in destek olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131nda y\u00f6n arayan piyasa: \u015eahin Fed tutanaklar\u0131 dolar\u0131 6 haftan\u0131n zirvesine ta\u015f\u0131rken XAU\/USD geriliyor. ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Teknik seviyeler izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47178","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47178","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47178"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47178\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47178"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47178"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47178"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}