Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fc (ilk a\u00e7\u0131klanan) S&P Global \u0130malat PMI verisi, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlanan verilere g\u00f6re May\u0131s ay\u0131nda 51,3\u2019ten 50,3\u2019e geriledi.<\/p>\n
S&P Global Hizmet PMI, May\u0131s ay\u0131nda 50,7\u2019den 47,7\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015ferken; Bile\u015fik PMI (imalat ve hizmetlerin toplam\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren endeks) 50,4\u2019ten 47,8\u2019e indi.<\/p>\n
Haberin yaz\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada AUD\/USD paritesi g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,60 art\u0131da, 0,7150 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n
PMI (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi; firmalar\u0131n yeni sipari\u015f, \u00fcretim ve istihdam gibi kalemlerde nabz\u0131n\u0131 tutan anket g\u00f6stergesi) verileri, Avustralya ekonomisinde belirgin bir yava\u015flamaya i\u015faret ediyor. Hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn 47,7 ile daralma b\u00f6lgesine (50\u2019nin alt\u0131 daralma, 50\u2019nin \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme) inmesi dikkat \u00e7ekiyor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu, yaln\u0131zca bir ay \u00f6nceki b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnden sert bir bozulma anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu zay\u0131f i\u00e7 veriler, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) \u00fczerinde daha temkinli bir para politikas\u0131 (faiz ve likidite kararlar\u0131) izleme bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131n AUD\/USD\u2019nin 0,7150\u2019ye y\u00fckselmesi, piyasalar\u0131n \u015fimdilik yerel verileri geri plana itti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu hareketin \u00f6nemli k\u0131sm\u0131, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor. ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi; enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisinin beklentiden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelmesi ve y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,8 d\u00fczeyinde kalmas\u0131, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) y\u0131l i\u00e7inde faiz indirimi yapabilece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Ayr\u0131ca demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ton ba\u015f\u0131na 115 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Zay\u0131flayan yerel ekonomi ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc para birimi aras\u0131ndaki bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, t\u00fcrev (dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; \u00f6rn. opsiyon) i\u015flemleri yapanlar i\u00e7in bir f\u0131rsat olu\u015fturabilir. AUD\/USD\u2019deki mevcut g\u00fc\u00e7 d\u0131\u015f etkenlere ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in k\u0131r\u0131lgan g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ve h\u0131zl\u0131 tersine d\u00f6nebilir. Bu nedenle baz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 4-6 haftada vadesi dolacak AUD\/USD sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (put; kur d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) de\u011ferlendirebilir; b\u00f6ylece piyasan\u0131n yeniden Avustralya\u2019daki yava\u015flamaya odaklanmas\u0131yla olas\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon al\u0131nabilir.<\/p>\n
Kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller nedeniyle Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan hesaplanan beklenen dalgalanma) artmas\u0131 beklenebilir. Y\u00f6n konusunda emin olmayan ancak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket bekleyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u201cuzun straddle\u201d gibi oynakl\u0131k stratejilerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Uzun straddle, ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem al\u0131m opsiyonu (call; y\u00fckseli\u015fte kazand\u0131r\u0131r) hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte kazand\u0131r\u0131r) almay\u0131 ifade eder; kur hangi y\u00f6ne sert giderse gitsin, b\u00fcy\u00fck harekette kazan\u00e7 hedefler.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Avustralya PMI\u2019lar\u0131 sert fren: \u0130malat 50,3\u2019e, hizmet 47,7\u2019ye geriledi; bile\u015fik 47,8. Ekonomi yava\u015flarken AUD\/USD 0,7150\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve emtia deste\u011fi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Put\/straddle g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47136","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47136","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47136"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47136\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47136"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47136"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47136"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}