{"id":47101,"date":"2026-05-20T17:51:07","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T17:51:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/ing-fed-ecb-ayrismasi-derinlestikce-eur-usdde-asagi-yonlu-riske-isaret-ediyor-11570-destegi-odaga-giriyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T17:51:07","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T17:51:07","slug":"ing-fed-ecb-ayrismasi-derinlestikce-eur-usdde-asagi-yonlu-riske-isaret-ediyor-11570-destegi-odaga-giriyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/ing-fed-ecb-ayrismasi-derinlestikce-eur-usdde-asagi-yonlu-riske-isaret-ediyor-11570-destegi-odaga-giriyor\/","title":{"rendered":"ING, Fed-ECB ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 derinle\u015ftik\u00e7e EUR\/USD\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riske i\u015faret ediyor; 1,1570 deste\u011fi oda\u011fa giriyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>ING\u2019ye g\u00f6re EUR\/USD\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskler s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; piyasalar art\u0131k Orta Do\u011fu\u2019dan gelen olumlu haberlere daha az tepki veriyor. 1,1570 seviyesi, izlenecek bir sonraki destek olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.  <\/p>\n<p>3 Mart\u2019ta, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda EUR\/USD ilk kez 1,160\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na indi. Parite, 1,1570 k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra da fiyat bo\u015flu\u011fu (gap: fiyat\u0131n bir \u00f6nceki i\u015flem seviyesinden atlayarak a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131) ile daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dan i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flad\u0131.  <\/p>\n<h3>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Riskler ve Kritik Destek<\/h3>\n<p>Piyasa pozisyonlanmas\u0131n\u0131n (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n al\u0131m-sat\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki birikmi\u015f i\u015flemleri) daha dengeli oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor; bu da sert ve ani teknik sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n (grafik seviyelerine ba\u011fl\u0131, temel veriden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131) olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltabilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, ABD\u2019de faizlerin y\u00fckselmesiyle euro i\u00e7in genel tablo daha zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.  <\/p>\n<p>\u0130ki y\u0131ll\u0131k EUR:USD swap spreadinin (swap fark\u0131: euro ve dolar faiz takas\u0131 faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark; faiz beklentilerini g\u00f6sterir) erken nisan ay\u0131nda -65 baz puandan (bp: baz puan, y\u00fczde 0,01) yakla\u015f\u0131k -100 baz puana a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131l\u0131yor. ABD faizlerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015f, risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n (piyasan\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve enerji krizi d\u00f6neminde EUR\/USD\u2019yi destekleyen faiz fark\u0131 daralmas\u0131n\u0131n tersine d\u00f6nmesiyle ili\u015fkilendiriliyor.  <\/p>\n<h3>\u0130zlenecek Seviyeler ve Strateji<\/h3>\n<p>Piyasa pozisyonlanmas\u0131 bu olumsuz havay\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Son CFTC raporu (ABD\u2019de vadeli i\u015flemler piyasas\u0131 verileri) euroda spek\u00fclatif net uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n (net-long: al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlardan fazla olmas\u0131) be\u015finci haftad\u0131r \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. EUR\/USD\u2019de bir ayl\u0131k vadeli sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon) al\u0131m\u0131, olas\u0131 gerilemeye kar\u015f\u0131 temkinli bir y\u00f6ntem olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu y\u00f6ntem, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmay\u0131 hedeflerken azami riski ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.  <\/p>\n<p>Kritik seviyeler ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 kayd\u0131. 1,1400 diren\u00e7 seviyesine (diren\u00e7: y\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131lan seviye) do\u011fru olas\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli toparlanmalar sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 1,1250 destek b\u00f6lgesinin (destek: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde al\u0131mla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131lan seviye) yeniden test edilmesi bekleniyor; bunun alt\u0131na sarkma 1,1100\u2019a do\u011fru hareketi h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dikkat: ING, EUR\/USD\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc vurguluyor. Orta Do\u011fu haberlerine duyarl\u0131l\u0131k azal\u0131rken 1,1570 kritik destek. ABD faizleri ve net-long \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi bask\u0131; toparlanmalar sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47101","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47101","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47101"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47101\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47101"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47101"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47101"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}