Hindistan Rupisi, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda rekor dip seviyelere yak\u0131n seyretti. USD\/INR 97,00 civar\u0131nda tutunurken, y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 para birimi \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol) haberin yaz\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada 101,80 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana %50\u2019den fazla y\u00fckseldi. Petrol ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 ekonomiler (t\u00fcketti\u011finden fazla petrol alan \u00fclkeler) olan Hindistan gibi \u00fclkelerde, ham petrol pahaland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda d\u00f6viz ihtiyac\u0131 artar ve bu da yerel para birimini zay\u0131flat\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rken, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler sonu\u00e7suz kald\u0131. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler; Tahran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131, sava\u015f hasar\u0131 i\u00e7in tazminat ve ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ablukas\u0131 gibi ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 kaps\u0131yor. \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Kazem Gharibabadi, taleplerin yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, dondurulan fonlar\u0131n serbest b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131 ve ablukaya son verilmesi oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a \u201ciki ya da \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde\u201d yeniden sald\u0131rabilece\u011fini, bunun \u201cCuma, Cumartesi, Pazar\u201d ya da \u201c\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131\u201d olabilece\u011fini ifade etti. \u0130ran ise askeri eyleme haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu belirtti; \u0130ran ordusu ad\u0131na konu\u015fan bir yetkili, sald\u0131r\u0131lar yeniden ba\u015flarsa \u201cyeni cepheler a\u00e7acaklar\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Yabanc\u0131 Kurumsal Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar (FII: b\u00fcy\u00fck yabanc\u0131 fonlar), Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc net sat\u0131c\u0131 oldu ve 2.457,49 crore rupi sat\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Bu, toplam 4.330,32 crore rupi net al\u0131m g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan geldi. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine tahvili getirisi (devlet tahvilinin faizi) y\u0131ll\u0131k zirve olan %4,69\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. CME FedWatch (piyasalar\u0131n Fed faiz beklentisini \u00f6l\u00e7en ara\u00e7), bu y\u0131l en az bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %56,3 olarak g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n
USD\/INR 96,85 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama: son g\u00fcnlerin fiyat\u0131na daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) 95,29 \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) 72,96 seviyesindeydi; bu seviye genellikle \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgesine i\u015faret eder. Parite 97,00 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rsa 98,00\u2019e do\u011fru hareket alan\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik gerilim, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 inat\u00e7\u0131 bi\u00e7imde y\u00fcksek tutuyor ve bu durum d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (ithalat\u0131n ihracattan fazla olmas\u0131) do\u011frudan etkiliyor. Son veriler, Hindistan\u2019\u0131n ge\u00e7en ayki petrol ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re %45 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Ham petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131k\u00e7a, Rupide g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanma zor g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Yabanc\u0131 Kurumsal Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n (FII) sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 h\u0131zlan\u0131yor; bu da Rupideki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. NSDL verileri (menkul k\u0131ymet saklama\/izleme kurumu verisi), bu ay \u015fimdiye kadar Hindistan hisselerinden 18.500 crore rupiyi a\u015fan net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu do\u011fruluyor. Bu sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131, Rupinin sa\u011flam \u015fekilde tutunmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fcksek ABD tahvil getirileri dolar\u0131 daha cazip hale getirirken, geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalardan sermayeyi \u00e7ekiyor. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getirinin %4,69\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, 2025\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde g\u00f6r\u00fclen %4,2 ortalamas\u0131na k\u0131yasla belirgin bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya i\u015faret ediyor. Piyasalar\u0131n bu y\u0131l yeni bir Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini %50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde fiyatlamas\u0131, faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n (ABD faizi ile Hindistan faizi aras\u0131ndaki fark) Rupiyi bask\u0131lamaya devam edebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm alt\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/INR al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: kur y\u00fckselirse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon) almak daha temkinli bir strateji olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu y\u00f6ntem, 98,00 seviyesine do\u011fru olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi de\u011ferlendirmeyi sa\u011flarken, azami zarar\u0131 (\u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131) netle\u015ftirir. Haziran veya Temmuz vadeli, 97,50 civar\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem hakk\u0131 veren fiyat seviyesi) izlenebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrol 100 dolar \u00fcst\u00fcnde kal\u0131rken Hindistan Rupisi rekor dipte: USD\/INR 97,00 \u00e7evresinde. FII sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve ABD tahvil getirilerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015f bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor; 97 \u00fcst\u00fc, 98\u2019e alan a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47094","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47094","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47094"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47094\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47094"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47094"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47094"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}