{"id":47082,"date":"2026-05-20T13:18:55","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T13:18:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/gumus-yukselisini-75-dolara-dogru-surdururken-guclu-abd-tahvil-getirileri-ve-dolarin-guclenmesi-yukselisi-sinirliyor-fed-sinyalleri-izleniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T13:18:55","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T13:18:55","slug":"gumus-yukselisini-75-dolara-dogru-surdururken-guclu-abd-tahvil-getirileri-ve-dolarin-guclenmesi-yukselisi-sinirliyor-fed-sinyalleri-izleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gumus-yukselisini-75-dolara-dogru-surdururken-guclu-abd-tahvil-getirileri-ve-dolarin-guclenmesi-yukselisi-sinirliyor-fed-sinyalleri-izleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, y\u00fckseli\u015fini 75 dolara do\u011fru s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD tahvil getirileri ve dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor; Fed sinyalleri izleniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f (XAG), \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131nda %2 y\u00fckselerek yakla\u015f\u0131k 75,20 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ise 73,10 dolarla yakla\u015f\u0131k iki haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Genel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm negatif kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bunun nedeni, ABD Hazine tahvili faizlerinin (devletin bor\u00e7lanma k\u00e2\u011f\u0131tlar\u0131n\u0131n getirisi) bu y\u0131l ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fi beklentisiyle y\u00fcksek seyretmesi.<\/p>\n<p>10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil faizi %4,69\u2019a \u00e7\u0131karak bir y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin yeni zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi ise %5,2\u2019ye y\u00fckselerek 2008\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kaliteli konut kredileri (sub-prime) krizinden sonraki en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Tahvil faizleri y\u00fckseldi\u011finde, faiz getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klara (g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f gibi kupon\/faiz \u00f6demesi yapmayan emtialara) talep genellikle azal\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>CME FedWatch\u2019e g\u00f6re (vadeli i\u015flemler fiyatlar\u0131ndan Fed beklentisini hesaplayan g\u00f6sterge), Fed\u2019in bu y\u0131l en az bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %56,3. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da sava\u015f ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce piyasa iki faiz indirimi bekliyordu. ABD\u2019de T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE\/CPI), ge\u00e7en hafta y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,8\u2019e y\u00fckseldi; bu, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015fla birlikte yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi.<\/p>\n<p>ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 99,47\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131karak alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fine ula\u015ft\u0131. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f fiyat\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131layabilir (dolar y\u00fckselince emtialar genelde dolar baz\u0131nda daha pahal\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr ve talep azalabilir). Piyasalar, Nisan toplant\u0131s\u0131na ait FOMC tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131 (Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 alan kurulun toplant\u0131 notlar\u0131) 18:00 GMT\u2019de bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama fiyat g\u00f6stergesi) yakla\u015f\u0131k 78,05 dolar seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015f\u0131p yakla\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 46 civar\u0131nda. Fiyat, 75,20 dolarda Y\u00fckselen \u00dc\u00e7gen (Ascending Triangle; genelde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lma ihtimaliyle izlenen, yatay diren\u00e7 ve y\u00fckselen diplerden olu\u015fan formasyon) s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yak\u0131n. 73,10 deste\u011fi k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 70,00 dolar g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f Avrupa seans\u0131nda %2 art\u0131\u015fla 75,20 dolara toparland\u0131; ancak Fed\u2019in olas\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131, y\u00fckselen ABD tahvil getirileri ve g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc bask\u0131l\u0131yor. 73,10 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 70 hedefte.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47082","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47082","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47082"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47082\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47082"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47082"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47082"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}