{"id":47062,"date":"2026-05-20T09:21:06","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T09:21:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy-fed-bahislerinin-yeni-vurmasiyla-160a-yaklasiyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T09:21:06","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T09:21:06","slug":"usd-jpy-fed-bahislerinin-yeni-vurmasiyla-160a-yaklasiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/analysis\/usd-jpy-fed-bahislerinin-yeni-vurmasiyla-160a-yaklasiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY, Fed Bahislerinin Yeni Vurmas\u0131yla 160\u2019a Yakla\u015f\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/06\/Yen7-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-47242\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kan Noktalar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USD\/JPY <strong>158,51<\/strong> seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; <strong>0,18<\/strong> puan, yani <strong>%0,14<\/strong> geriledi. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i zirve <strong>159,097<\/strong> oldu.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Yen, dolar ba\u015f\u0131na <strong>159<\/strong> \u00e7evresinde kal\u0131rken, <strong>Nisan<\/strong> sonu ve <strong>May\u0131s<\/strong> ba\u015f\u0131nda m\u00fcdahaleyi tetikleyen <strong>160<\/strong> b\u00f6lgesine yak\u0131n seyretti.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Piyasalar, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) <strong>Aral\u0131k<\/strong>ta faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 <strong>%50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde<\/strong> fiyatl\u0131yor. Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BOJ) <strong>15-16 Haziran<\/strong> toplant\u0131s\u0131 yeniden odakta.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Japonya ekonomisi 1. \u00e7eyrekte y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f (\u00e7eyreklik verinin y\u0131la \u00e7evrilmi\u015f hali) <strong>%2,1<\/strong> b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc; beklenti <strong>%1,7<\/strong> idi. Bu tablo, BOJ\u2019un faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ihtimalini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Japon yeni \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc dolar ba\u015f\u0131na <strong>159<\/strong> seviyesine yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, Tokyo\u2019nun yeniden \u201ckur m\u00fcdahalesi\u201d (devletin d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131na yen al\u0131p satarak y\u00f6n vermesi) yap\u0131p yapmayaca\u011f\u0131na dair piyasalar\u0131 tetikte tuttu. USD\/JPY <strong>05\/20 06:44:15 GMT+3<\/strong> itibar\u0131yla <strong>158,51<\/strong> seviyesinde; <strong>0,18<\/strong> puan, yani <strong>%0,14<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fteydi. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i zirve <strong>159,097<\/strong>, dip <strong>158,835<\/strong>, a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f <strong>159,026<\/strong>, kapan\u0131\u015f <strong>159,069<\/strong> oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Parite, Japon yetkililerin <strong>Nisan<\/strong> sonu ve <strong>May\u0131s<\/strong> ba\u015f\u0131nda m\u00fcdahaleye ge\u00e7ti\u011fi <strong>160<\/strong> band\u0131na yak\u0131n kal\u0131yor. Piyasa, Tokyo\u2019nun zay\u0131f yeni ne kadar tolere edece\u011fini test ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Japan\u2019s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama indicated her resolve to intervene in a foreign exchange market to prop up the yen as needed as her Group of Seven counterparts understand the nation\u2019s stance. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/OBqyrpnJ12\">https:\/\/t.co\/OBqyrpnJ12<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2056806635167703405?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Dolar, \u201cmakro\u201d (genel ekonomi) tarafta h\u00e2l\u00e2 daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc duruyor. Dolar, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 enflasyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) endi\u015feleri nedeniyle Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131rma ihtimalinin y\u00fckselmesiyle <strong>alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n zirvesi<\/strong>ne yak\u0131n seyretti. Yen, <strong>159<\/strong> civar\u0131nda, yani m\u00fcdahale hassasiyetinin oldu\u011fu seviyelerde kald\u0131. Piyasalar, Fed\u2019in <strong>Aral\u0131k<\/strong>ta faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 <strong>%50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde<\/strong> g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fed Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 Beklentisi Faiz Fark\u0131n\u0131 A\u00e7\u0131k Tutuyor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY, ABD\u2019de faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnden destek al\u0131yor. \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek tutarken enerji ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 bozdu ve enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yeniden art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu da piyasada \u201cfaiz indirimi\u201d beklentisini zay\u0131flat\u0131p Fed\u2019in yeniden \u201cs\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma\u201d (faizi y\u00fckseltme veya y\u00fcksek tutma) riskini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">U.S. Fed to avoid cutting rates this year; economists still say war-driven inflation is transitory: Reuters poll <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Q7CJ7iMjwW\">https:\/\/t.co\/Q7CJ7iMjwW<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Q7CJ7iMjwW\">https:\/\/t.co\/Q7CJ7iMjwW<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/2056863751131820420?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Dolar endeksi (dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fc) <strong>99,306<\/strong> seviyesindeydi ve May\u0131s\u2019ta <strong>%1\u2019in \u00fczerinde<\/strong> y\u00fckseldi. Brent petrol <strong>varil ba\u015f\u0131na 110,8 dolar<\/strong> civar\u0131nda kald\u0131. Petrol\u00fcn y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 enflasyon riskini canl\u0131 tutuyor ve Fed\u2019in \u201cgev\u015feme\u201d (faizi indirme) alan\u0131n\u0131 daralt\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu faiz fark\u0131 yeni bask\u0131l\u0131yor. ABD tahvil getirileri (faiz) y\u00fcksek seyrederken BOJ ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015f at\u0131yor. ABD\u2019de enflasyon belirgin bi\u00e7imde so\u011fumaz veya ABD tahvil faizleri (Hazine tahvili getirileri) d\u00fc\u015fmezse, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n geri \u00e7ekilmelerde USD\/JPY al\u0131m\u0131 s\u00fcrmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">BOJ Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 Riski Yen Sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 S\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Japonya taraf\u0131nda tablo tek y\u00f6nl\u00fc de\u011fil. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u00e7 veriler, BOJ\u2019un bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 daha yapabilece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Japonya ekonomisi 1. \u00e7eyrekte y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f <strong>%2,1<\/strong> b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek <strong>%1,7<\/strong> beklentiyi a\u015ft\u0131. \u00c7eyrekten \u00e7eyre\u011fe (bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00f6re) GSYH <strong>%0,5<\/strong> artt\u0131; beklenti <strong>%0,4<\/strong> idi. \u00d6zel t\u00fcketim ve sermaye harcamalar\u0131 (\u015firket yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131) <strong>%0,3<\/strong> y\u00fckselirken, net d\u0131\u015f talep (ihracat-ithalat fark\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131) b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye <strong>0,3 puan<\/strong> ekledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Japan\u2019s economy grew much faster than expected at the start of the year, supporting the case for further Bank of Japan interest-rate hikes, though the outlook remains highly uncertain due to the Middle East conflict <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/V4JPtXCsi0\">https:\/\/t.co\/V4JPtXCsi0<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2056526083801985448?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu veriler BOJ\u2019a hareket alan\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131yor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomi, daha y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7lanma maliyetini (kredi faizlerini) zay\u0131f ekonomiye g\u00f6re daha kolay ta\u015f\u0131r. Bu da yenin sadece m\u00fcdahaleyle de\u011fil, faiz yoluyla da desteklenebilece\u011fi arg\u00fcman\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent de BOJ\u2019un ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve Japonya\u2019n\u0131n daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc temellerini (ekonominin dayanaklar\u0131n\u0131) destekleyen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yapt\u0131. Piyasa, <strong>15-16 Haziran<\/strong> toplant\u0131s\u0131nda BOJ\u2019un faizi <strong>%0,75<\/strong>\u2019ten <strong>%1<\/strong>\u2019e \u00e7\u0131karma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 <strong>%80<\/strong> olarak fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">160 Yak\u0131n\u0131nda M\u00fcdahale Riski Yeniden G\u00fcndemde<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Tokyo daha \u00f6nce harekete ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Yetkililer, kur hareketleri \u201cd\u00fczensiz\u201d (\u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert) olursa d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131na ka\u00e7 kez girilece\u011fine dair bir s\u0131n\u0131r olmayabilece\u011fini ima etti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yen, son m\u00fcdahalenin getirdi\u011fi kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n \u00f6nemli k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri verdi. Bu da dolar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalsa bile <strong>160<\/strong> yak\u0131n\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 temkinli tutuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bonds from Tokyo to New York extended losses as rising energy prices from the Middle East war fueled inflation fears and increased expectations of global rate hikes <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qjA4mydQJQ\">https:\/\/t.co\/qjA4mydQJQ<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/08NgBhRyGv\">pic.twitter.com\/08NgBhRyGv<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/2056326429839851896?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 18, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u00fcdahale g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde sert hareketler yaratabilir; ancak faiz deste\u011fi olmadan trendi kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde \u00e7evirmesi zordur. Fed \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faizde s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015f) kal\u0131r ve BOJ a\u011f\u0131rdan al\u0131rsa, USD\/JPY her m\u00fcdahale \u015fokundan sonra yeniden toparlanabilir. BOJ Haziran\u2019da faiz art\u0131r\u0131r ve daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma sinyali verirse, yen daha sa\u011flam bir taban bulabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Petrol Japonya \u00dczerindeki Bask\u0131y\u0131 Art\u0131r\u0131yor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma Japonya i\u00e7in ek bir sorun. Y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131 yeni olumsuz etkiliyor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Japonya enerjide ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131. Daha pahal\u0131 yak\u0131t d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesini bozabilir, ithalat fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltir ve hane halk\u0131n\u0131n harcamas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A huge options bet on Brent crude prices plunging rattled oil traders already on high alert for unusual flows, as Iran war headlines continue to whipsaw prices and regulators probe suspicious trading <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/xYuGjk5jbs\">https:\/\/t.co\/xYuGjk5jbs<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2056842859861463199?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 enerji piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 bozdu ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapatt\u0131; bu da petrol\u00fcn y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131na neden oldu. Bu ortam dolar\u0131 \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (riskli d\u00f6nemlerde daha \u00e7ok tercih edilen varl\u0131k) olarak desteklerken, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n ithalat maliyetini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu durum Tokyo i\u00e7in zor bir politika kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Zay\u0131f yen ithalat kaynakl\u0131 enflasyonu art\u0131r\u0131r. Y\u00fcksek petrol fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltir. BOJ faiz art\u0131r\u0131rsa yeni destekleyebilir; ancak haneler ve \u015firketler zorlanmaya ba\u015flarsa b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi de yava\u015flatabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Teknik Analiz<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>USDJPY <strong>158,85<\/strong> civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. May\u0131s ba\u015f\u0131nda \u201cm\u00fcdahale benzeri\u201d sert sat\u0131\u015f (devlet m\u00fcdahalesiyle g\u00f6r\u00fclebilen h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f) pariteyi k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine <strong>156,00<\/strong> alt\u0131na itmi\u015fti. Diplerden toparlanma g\u00f6rece d\u00fczenli olsa da, parite <strong>159,00\u2013160,70<\/strong> b\u00f6lgesindeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 alt\u0131nda zorland\u0131k\u00e7a ivme (y\u00fckseli\u015f h\u0131z\u0131) yeniden zay\u0131fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Teknik olarak paritede k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir toparlanma g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc var:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>MA5:<\/strong> 158,78 (5 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama: son 5 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>MA10:<\/strong> 158,01 (10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>MA20:<\/strong> 158,19 (20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Fiyat 10 ve 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli e\u011filim (bias) h\u00e2l\u00e2 hafif olumlu. Ancak son mumlar (k\u0131sa d\u00f6nem fiyat \u00e7ubuklar\u0131) toparlanma zirvelerinin hemen alt\u0131nda karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu da USDJPY g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7 k\u00fcmesine yakla\u015f\u0131rken al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/06\/image-25-1024x484.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-50634\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130zlenecek seviyeler:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Yak\u0131n diren\u00e7:<\/strong> 159,00 \u2192 160,70<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ana diren\u00e7:<\/strong> 161,40<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Destek:<\/strong> 158,00 \u2192 156,40<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ana destek:<\/strong> 153,90 \u2192 152,00<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>160,70<\/strong> seviyesi kritik. Bu b\u00f6lge daha \u00f6nce sert a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fck dalgalanmas\u0131) tetiklemi\u015fti ve yen yeniden h\u0131zl\u0131 zay\u0131flarsa Japon yetkililer i\u00e7in olas\u0131 bir bask\u0131 noktas\u0131 olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan USDJPY, ay ba\u015f\u0131ndaki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan daha dar bir toparlanma band\u0131nda. Toparlanma, Mart ve Nisan\u2019daki kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc de\u011fil; bu da olas\u0131 m\u00fcdahale riski nedeniyle al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n daha temkinli oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Temel tarafta (haber ve ekonomik veri etkisi) parite iki ana unsuru dengeliyor:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Y\u00fcksek ABD tahvil faizleri ve Fed\u2019in faiz indirimini geciktirmesi dolar\u0131 destekliyor.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Yenin zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair kal\u0131c\u0131 endi\u015feler ve olas\u0131 Japon m\u00fcdahalesi yukar\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Piyasa BOJ\u2019u da yak\u0131ndan izliyor. Tahvil al\u0131mlar\u0131, enflasyon veya \u201cpolitika normalle\u015fmesi\u201d (ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc gev\u015fek politikalardan kademeli \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f) hakk\u0131nda daha sert bir ton g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrse, yen h\u0131zla g\u00fc\u00e7lenebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130\u015flem hacmi, m\u00fcdahale kaynakl\u0131 sat\u0131\u015fa g\u00f6re azald\u0131. Bu da piyasan\u0131n yeni bir k\u0131r\u0131lma yerine \u201ckonsolidasyon\u201d (fiyat\u0131n belli bir aral\u0131kta s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131) d\u00f6neminde olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USDJPY <strong>159,00<\/strong> \u00fczerine yeniden yerle\u015firse <strong>160,70<\/strong> testi daha olas\u0131 hale gelir. Ancak bu b\u00f6lgenin alt\u0131nda tekrar eden ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z denemeler k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilir ve pariteyi yeniden <strong>158,00<\/strong> ve hatta <strong>156,40<\/strong> b\u00f6lgesine \u00e7ekebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Genel e\u011filim dolar lehine kalsa da, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar m\u00fcdahale riski ve 160 seviyesine yak\u0131n Japonya politika hassasiyeti nedeniyle yukar\u0131 hareketlerde daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Temkinli Tahmin<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY, <strong>158,187<\/strong> ve <strong>158,018<\/strong> \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece hafif y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimini koruyor. <strong>159,097<\/strong> \u00fczeri kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k, <strong>160,716<\/strong> y\u00f6n\u00fcnde yeni bir hareketi destekleyebilir; bu b\u00f6lgede m\u00fcdahale riski belirgin artabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>158,018<\/strong> alt\u0131na ini\u015f k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc zay\u0131flat\u0131r ve oda\u011f\u0131 <strong>156,402<\/strong> seviyesine \u00e7evirir. Bir sonraki y\u00f6n\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7 unsur belirleyebilir: Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n fiyatlara yans\u0131mas\u0131, <strong>15-16 Haziran<\/strong> toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesi BOJ mesajlar\u0131 ve Tokyo\u2019nun <strong>160<\/strong> seviyesine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc yeni m\u00fcdahale gerek\u00e7esi say\u0131p saymayaca\u011f\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Sorular\u0131<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p><strong>USD\/JPY Neden 159\u2019a Yak\u0131n?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY\u2019nin <strong>159<\/strong> civar\u0131nda olmas\u0131n\u0131n temel nedeni; dolar\u0131n genel olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131, ABD tahvil faizlerinin y\u00fcksek seyretmesi ve Fed\u2019in bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fi beklentisinin artmas\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY <strong>158,51<\/strong> seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; g\u00fcn i\u00e7i <strong>159,097<\/strong> zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra <strong>0,18<\/strong> puan, yani <strong>%0,14<\/strong> geriledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>G\u00fcncel USD\/JPY Fiyat\u0131 Nedir?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY <strong>158,51<\/strong> seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>G\u00fcn i\u00e7i zirve <strong>159,097<\/strong>, dip <strong>158,835<\/strong>, a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f <strong>159,026<\/strong>, kapan\u0131\u015f <strong>159,069<\/strong> oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Yen Neden Bask\u0131 Alt\u0131nda?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yen; enflasyon endi\u015feleri, y\u00fcksek ABD tahvil faizleri ve Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131rma beklentileri nedeniyle desteklenen dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bask\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki uzun s\u00fcren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma petrol\u00fc pahal\u0131 tutuyor. Japonya enerji ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in bu durum da yeni olumsuz etkiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>USD\/JPY \u0130\u00e7in 160 Seviyesi Neden \u00d6nemli?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>160<\/strong> seviyesi \u00f6nemli; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Japon yetkililer <strong>Nisan<\/strong> sonu ve <strong>May\u0131s<\/strong> ba\u015f\u0131nda bu b\u00f6lgeye yak\u0131n seviyelerde piyasaya m\u00fcdahale etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY <strong>160<\/strong>\u2019a yakla\u015f\u0131rsa, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Tokyo\u2019dan yeni bir \u201cyen al\u0131m\u201d m\u00fcdahalesi gelebilece\u011fi ihtimaliyle daha temkinli davranabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Japonya Yeni Desteklemek \u0130\u00e7in Yeniden M\u00fcdahale Edebilir mi?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY <strong>160<\/strong>\u2019a h\u0131zl\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131rsa veya yenin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 kontrols\u00fcz hale gelirse Japonya yeniden m\u00fcdahale edebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tokyo\u2019daki baz\u0131 yetkililer, gerek g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrse d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131na ka\u00e7 kez girilebilece\u011fine dair bir s\u0131n\u0131r olmayabilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY 159 band\u0131nda: Fed\u2019in Aral\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131 dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirirken, 160\u2019a yak\u0131n m\u00fcdahale riski i\u015ftah\u0131 t\u00f6rp\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Japonya\u2019da %2,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcme BOJ\u2019un Haziran\u2019da faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47061,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47062","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47062","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47062"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47062\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47061"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47062"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47062"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47062"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}