AUD\/USD, Avustralya taraf\u0131ndaki g\u00f6stergeler genel olarak sakin seyrederken Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc geriledi. Westpac T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni, Nisan\u2019daki %-12,5\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan May\u0131s\u2019ta %+3,5 y\u00fckseldi. RBA (Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131) Toplant\u0131 Tutanaklar\u0131 da piyasadaki bir sonraki faiz ad\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini belirgin \u015fekilde de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi.<\/p>\n
Parite, Nisan\u2019daki toparlanmadan bu yana geri \u00e7ekilmelerde destek veren 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama) alt\u0131na indi; ABD Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 0,71\u2019in alt\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu k\u0131r\u0131lma, g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte deste\u011fin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011fu 0,70\u2019e do\u011fru hareket alan\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6zler \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (PBoC) karar\u0131nda. Bir y\u0131ll\u0131k LPR\u2019nin (Loan Prime Rate: bankalar\u0131n \u015firketlere uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 referans kredi faizi) %3\u2019te kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Daha fazla gev\u015feme (faiz indirimi ya da krediyi art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 ad\u0131mlar) sinyali, offshore yuan\u0131 (CNH: \u00c7in paras\u0131n\u0131n yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 piyasadaki versiyonu) bask\u0131layabilir ve AUD\/USD\u2019yi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir. Ayr\u0131ca yerel PMI verileri (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50 \u00fczeri b\u00fcy\u00fcme, 50 alt\u0131 daralma) a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; \u00f6nceki veriler \u00fc\u00e7 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmde de 50 e\u015fi\u011finin az \u00fczerindeydi.<\/p>\n
Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Avustralya \u0130stihdam De\u011fi\u015fimi verisi a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; beklenti 17,5 bin art\u0131\u015f. \u0130\u015fsizlik Oran\u0131\u2019n\u0131n %4,3\u2019te kalmas\u0131 ve May\u0131s T\u00fcketici Enflasyon Beklentileri (halk\u0131n bekledi\u011fi enflasyon) de takip edilecek. D\u0131\u015f veri g\u00fcndeminde \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc FOMC (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz karar organ\u0131) tutanaklar\u0131 ve Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD \u201cflash\u201d PMI\u2019lar (ay\u0131n ilk \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI verileri) var. Orta vadeli trend i\u00e7in 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA tekrar izleme alan\u0131na giriyor.<\/p>\n
Yurt i\u00e7inde tablo daha kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k. D\u00fcn yay\u0131mlanan RBA tutanaklar\u0131, kurulun kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon nedeniyle bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ciddi bi\u00e7imde de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi (\u015fahin duru\u015f: enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faiz art\u0131rma e\u011filimi). Ancak bu tutum, ge\u00e7en haftaki istihdam verisiyle zorlan\u0131yor; i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 %4,1\u2019e y\u00fckseldi ve i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda gev\u015feme sinyali verdi.<\/p>\n
Avustralya Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde \u00c7in etkisi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Son veriler \u00c7in\u2019de sanayi \u00fcretiminin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n ise zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; bu da toparlanman\u0131n dengeli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret ediyor. Bu belirsizlik, Avustralya Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in bask\u0131 unsuru olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev piyasa (vadeli i\u015flem ve opsiyon gibi fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, \u015fahin RBA ile zay\u0131flayan ekonomik sinyallerin \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (volatilite: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f aral\u0131kta dalgalanmas\u0131) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. \u201cStraddle\u201d ve \u201cstrangle\u201d gibi opsiyon stratejileri (y\u00f6n fark etmeksizin sert hareketten kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen pozisyonlar) de\u011ferlendirilebilir. \u0130zlenecek seviyelerde 0,6700 civar\u0131 diren\u00e7, 0,6600 ise ilk destek olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/USD\u2019de k\u0131r\u0131lma alarm\u0131: 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA alt\u0131, 0,70 hedefini masaya koydu. \u00c7in PBoC\/LPR ve PMI ile FOMC tutanaklar\u0131 izlenecek; \u015fahin RBA-zay\u0131f istihdam oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47042","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47042","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47042"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47042\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47042"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47042"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47042"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}