USD\/JPY, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Londra ve New York seanslar\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi; 159,00 seviyesinin biraz \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve g\u00fcn\u00fc 159,00 civar\u0131nda kapatt\u0131. Hareketin ana nedeni ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeydi. Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BOJ), para politikas\u0131n\u0131 (faiz ve varl\u0131k al\u0131mlar\u0131 gibi kararlar\u0131) de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi; fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n hedefe do\u011fru yeniden geriledi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Japonya\u2019n\u0131n Nisan ay\u0131 \u00fclke geneli T\u00dcFE\u2019sinin (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) y\u0131ll\u0131k %1,5 gelmesi bekleniyor. Taze g\u0131da hari\u00e7 T\u00dcFE %1,7 (\u00f6nceki %1,8), g\u0131da ve enerji hari\u00e7 T\u00dcFE ise %2,4. Bu veriler daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 enflasyona i\u015faret ediyor ve politikan\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmeden kalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini destekliyor.<\/p>\n
160,00 seviyesi, \u00f6nceki resmi m\u00fcdahale (kurda a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 hareketi frenlemek i\u00e7in otoritelerin piyasaya do\u011frudan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m yapmas\u0131) \u00f6rnekleri nedeniyle kritik e\u015fik olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. May\u0131s\u2019ta 160,00\u2019\u0131n biraz \u00fczerindeki y\u0131l i\u00e7i zirvenin ard\u0131ndan kur 156,00 civar\u0131na gerilemi\u015fti. ABD veri takvimi de izleniyor: \u00c7ar\u015famba 18:00 GMT\u2019de FOMC tutanaklar\u0131 (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed\u2019in toplant\u0131 notlar\u0131), Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ise \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI verileri (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50\u2019nin \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eder) a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. \u0130malat PMI\u2019\u0131n 54, hizmet PMI\u2019\u0131n 51 civar\u0131nda gelmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Be\u015f dakikal\u0131k grafikte USD\/JPY 159,06\u2019da; g\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 158,77\u2019nin \u00fczerinde. Stokastik RSI (momentum g\u00f6stergesi; fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015f\u0131p yakla\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) 76,8 civar\u0131nda. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte de 159,06\u2019da; 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) 158,17 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n 155,29 \u00fczerinde. Stokastik RSI yakla\u015f\u0131k 54 seviyesinde.<\/p>\n
160 seviyesi \u00e7evresindeki m\u00fcdahale haf\u0131zas\u0131 nedeniyle, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n kurun kesintisiz \u015fekilde y\u00fckselmesini beklerken temkinli olmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn kullananlar i\u00e7in (opsiyon gibi, de\u011feri dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler) bir se\u00e7enek, USD\/JPY\u2019de \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyat\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan, \u015fu anda k\u00e2rl\u0131 olmayan) al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 satmak olabilir. 159\u2013160 b\u00f6lgesine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131yla, kurun bu alan\u0131n belirgin bi\u00e7imde \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131yla opsiyon primi (opsiyonun sat\u0131\u015f\u0131yla al\u0131nan bedel) toplanabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, kurun y\u00fckselmemesinden getiri hedefler.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer bir yol, oynakl\u0131\u011fa (volatilite; fiyat\u0131n ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f aral\u0131kta hareket etti\u011fi) odaklanmakt\u0131r. Faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n (iki \u00fclke faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) kuru yukar\u0131 itmesi ile m\u00fcdahale riskinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmesi, sert bir hareket ihtimalini art\u0131r\u0131r. \u201cStraddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 ve vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma) gibi opsiyon stratejileri, y\u00f6n tahmini yapmadan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ihtimaline pozisyon almaya yarayabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/JPY 159\u2019a t\u0131rmand\u0131, g\u00f6zler kritik 160\u2019ta: Dolar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, BOJ pas ge\u00e7ti. Il\u0131ml\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisiyle politika de\u011fi\u015fimi zay\u0131f. FOMC tutanaklar\u0131\/PMI izlenecek; m\u00fcdahale riskiyle opsiyon, volatilite stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47039","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47039"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47039\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47039"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47039"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47039"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}