{"id":47036,"date":"2026-05-20T02:51:52","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T02:51:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-chf-yukselis-yutan-mum-formasyonunun-belirmesiyle-07900u-hedefliyor-politika-ayrismasi-frangi-ve-opsiyon-talebini-destekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T02:51:52","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T02:51:52","slug":"usd-chf-yukselis-yutan-mum-formasyonunun-belirmesiyle-07900u-hedefliyor-politika-ayrismasi-frangi-ve-opsiyon-talebini-destekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-chf-yukselis-yutan-mum-formasyonunun-belirmesiyle-07900u-hedefliyor-politika-ayrismasi-frangi-ve-opsiyon-talebini-destekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF, y\u00fckseli\u015f yutan mum formasyonunun belirmesiyle 0,7900\u2019\u00fc hedefliyor; politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 frang\u0131 ve opsiyon talebini destekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CHF, \u201cyutan bo\u011fa\u201d formasyonu (bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nceki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f mumunu tamamen i\u00e7ine alan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f mum formasyonu) olu\u015fturdu ve Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,58\u2019den fazla y\u00fckseldi. Parite, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalama olan (SMA: son 50 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) 0,7868\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve 0,7900 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda 0,7890\u2019da i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Parite, 8 May\u0131s\u2019ta g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k iki ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi 0,7761\u2019den toparland\u0131. ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin (DXY: dolar\u0131n di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) be\u015f haftan\u0131n zirvesine y\u00fckselmesiyle birlikte kademeli olarak yukar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Hareketi, daha y\u00fcksek ABD Hazine tahvil getirileri (tahvil faizi) destekledi.<\/p>\n<h3>Teknik Seviyeler ve Momentum<\/h3>\n<p>G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015f\u0131p yakla\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentuma i\u015faret ediyor. 0,7900 \u00fczeri bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 0,7916 seviyesini g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. Ard\u0131ndan 0,8000 direnci ve 15 Ocak zirvesi 0,8041 izlenebilir.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131 (CHF), \u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019nin para birimidir ve en \u00e7ok i\u015flem g\u00f6ren ilk 10 para birimi aras\u0131ndad\u0131r. 2011-2015 d\u00f6neminde euroya sabitlenmi\u015fti (kurun belli bir seviyede tutulmas\u0131). Bu sabitlemenin kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 frang\u0131n %20\u2019den fazla de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na ve piyasalarda sert dalgalanmaya yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131 (SNB) y\u0131lda d\u00f6rt kez toplan\u0131r ve enflasyonu %2\u2019nin alt\u0131nda tutmay\u0131 hedefler. Baz\u0131 modeller, EUR\/CHF korelasyonunu (iki paritenin birlikte hareket etme derecesi) %90\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde hesapl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<h3>De\u011fi\u015fen Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131<\/h3>\n<p>Son d\u00f6nemde ana belirleyici, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n politika fark\u0131 oldu. \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131 daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faiz art\u0131rmaya daha yatk\u0131n) bir duru\u015f benimsedi ve 2026 Mart\u2019ta faizi art\u0131rd\u0131. G\u00fcncel veriler enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,4 ile y\u00fcksek seyretti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu da franga destek veriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne (faiz art\u0131rma s\u00fcreci) ara vermi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Piyasalar bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde faiz indirimi ihtimalini fiyatl\u0131yor. Nisan 2026 ABD T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisi enflasyonun %2,9\u2019a geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu tablo, dolar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f temposunun zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor ve USD\/CHF\u2019de geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f ya da yatayla\u015fma ihtimalini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CHF\u2019te \u201cyutan bo\u011fa\u201d sinyaliyle al\u0131c\u0131lar sahnede: Parite %0,58 y\u00fckselip 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131. 0,7900 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,7916-0,8000-0,8041 hedefte; RSI g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47036","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47036","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47036"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47036\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47036"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47036"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47036"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}