NASDAQ 100 (NDX), ABD hisseleri zay\u0131flarken sal\u0131 sabah\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %1,4 geriledi. Bu hareket, uzun vadeli ABD Hazine tahvili faizlerinin 19 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. <\/p>\n
Daha y\u00fcksek faizler, artan enflasyonla ili\u015fkilendirildi; bunun da \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapatmas\u0131na ba\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Bu durum, b\u00fcy\u00fcme odakl\u0131 hisseler \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. <\/p>\n
ABD 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine tahvili faizi sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc %5,186\u2019ya y\u00fckseldi. Bu seviye Temmuz 2007\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczey ve Ekim 2023\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclen %5,178 zirvesinin de \u00fczerinde. <\/p>\n
S&P 500 ile Dow Jones Sanayi Endeksi de sabah i\u015flemlerinde en az yar\u0131m puan (yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,5) geriledi. NASDAQ 100 \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydetti. <\/p>\n
Endeks, \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ge\u00e7 saatlerde a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 beklenen Nvidia\u2019n\u0131n mali y\u0131l\u0131n 1. \u00e7eyrek finansal sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine yak\u0131n kald\u0131. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n son d\u00f6nemde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fckselip y\u00fckselmedi\u011fini g\u00f6steren teknik g\u00f6sterge), nisan ortas\u0131ndan beri 70\u2019in \u00fczerinde seyrederek \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d (fiyat\u0131n \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi\u011fine i\u015faret eden b\u00f6lge) alan\u0131nda kald\u0131ktan sonra bu b\u00f6lgenin alt\u0131na indi. <\/p>\n
Teknik seviyeler aras\u0131nda, 26.182 civar\u0131ndaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama (SMA: son 50 g\u00fcn\u00fcn kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) ve bunun bir \u201cdiren\u00e7\u201d (fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckselmekte zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) band\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtildi. Bu b\u00f6lgeye bir geri \u00e7ekilme, mevcut seviyelerden yakla\u015f\u0131k %9 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f anlam\u0131na gelir. <\/p>\n
ABD 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizinin 2007 ortas\u0131ndan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, teknoloji hisseleri i\u00e7in net bir olumsuz r\u00fczg\u00e2r olu\u015fturuyor. Bu bask\u0131, CBOE Oynakl\u0131k Endeksi\u2019ne (VIX: S&P 500 i\u00e7in piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi dalgalanmay\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u201ckorku endeksi\u201d) de yans\u0131d\u0131; VIX 22\u2019nin \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7rayarak bu \u00e7eyre\u011fin en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in bu, \u201ckorunma\u201d maliyetinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. <\/p>\n
G\u00f6zler, \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Nvidia\u2019n\u0131n finansal sonu\u00e7lar\u0131nda. Opsiyon piyasas\u0131 \u015fu anda NVDA hissesinde her iki y\u00f6nde de yakla\u015f\u0131k %11\u2019lik olas\u0131 bir hareketi fiyatl\u0131yor; bu, belirsizli\u011fin \u00e7ok y\u00fckseldi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. \u201cUzun straddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vade ve kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla hem al\u0131m opsiyonu\/call hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu\/put sat\u0131n alma), y\u00f6n tahmini yapmadan dalgalanmaya oynayan bir strateji olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. <\/p>\n
NASDAQ 100\u2019\u00fcn 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamas\u0131na do\u011fru %9\u2019luk geri \u00e7ekilme riski dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u201ckoruyucu put\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta gibi i\u015fleyen sat\u0131m opsiyonu) ta\u015f\u0131mak daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, portf\u00f6ylerini korumak i\u00e7in haziran sonu vadeli QQQ borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonu (ETF: endeks gibi bir sepeti takip eden, borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) \u00fczerinde put opsiyonlar\u0131 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 izleniyor. Bu strateji, Nvidia sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n piyasadaki y\u00fcksek beklentileri kar\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131 halinde bir tampon sa\u011flayabilir; benzer bir tablo 2022\u2019de faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n etkili oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte de g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. <\/p>\n
Di\u011fer taraftan, bu korkunun abart\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler i\u00e7in \u201copsiyon primi satmak\u201d (opsiyon satarak gelir elde etmek) bir f\u0131rsat olabilir. NDX \u00fczerinde \u201ciron condor\u201d (belirli bir bant i\u00e7inde kalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle, d\u00f6rt opsiyonla kurulan ve hem yukar\u0131 hem a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 risk\/gelir profili olan strateji), \u201c\u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u201d (piyasan\u0131n opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklenen dalgalanma) y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemde de\u011ferlendirilebilecek bir y\u00f6ntem olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu pozisyon, Nvidia haberi sonras\u0131nda endeksin belirlenen aral\u0131kta kalmas\u0131 durumunda kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir. <\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u015eok y\u00fckseli\u015f: 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil faizi 2007\u2019den beri zirvede! NASDAQ 100 %1,4 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, VIX 22\u2019yi a\u015ft\u0131. G\u00f6zler Nvidia bilan\u00e7osunda; opsiyonlar %11 hareket, %9 d\u00fczeltme riskini fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47013","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47013"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47013\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47013"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47013"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47013"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}