USD\/JPY yedi g\u00fcnd\u00fcr \u00fcst \u00fcste y\u00fckseliyor ve yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgede, 159,00 civar\u0131nda tutunuyor. Bu hareket, jeopolitik belirsizlik nedeniyle ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na artan talebin ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) y\u0131l sonuna kadar faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fi beklentisinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesini izledi.<\/p>\n
Japon Yeni \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u011fl\u0131 ekonomik endi\u015felerden de kaynakland\u0131. Y\u00fckseli\u015f, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n 1. \u00e7eyrek GSYH (Gayri Safi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la: ekonominin toplam \u00fcretimi) verisinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmesine ve olas\u0131 piyasa m\u00fcdahalesi (yetkililerin kurdaki a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in piyasaya al\u0131m-sat\u0131m yoluyla m\u00fcdahalesi) s\u00f6ylemlerine ra\u011fmen s\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, parite 158,55 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimini koruyor. Bu b\u00f6lge, 4 saatlik grafikte 200 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli say\u0131da d\u00f6nemin ortalama fiyat\u0131) ve Nisan\u2013May\u0131s d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn %61,8 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesinin (Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesi: \u00f6nceki hareketin olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilme seviyelerini g\u00f6steren oranlar) kesi\u015fimi. RSI (14) 73,34 seviyesinde; bu \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgesine i\u015faret eder (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede fazla h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6sterir). MACD ise (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama\/Iraksama: trend ve momentum g\u00f6stergesi) hafif \u015fekilde negatif b\u00f6lgeye kayd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Diren\u00e7, %78,6 Fibonacci seviyesine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelen 159,49\u2019da, ard\u0131ndan 160,00\u2019da ve d\u00f6ng\u00fc zirvesi 160,72\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Destekler 158,55\u2019te; ard\u0131ndan 157,86, 157,18, 156,35 ve 154,99 seviyelerinde.<\/p>\n
Teknik analiz, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 deste\u011fiyle haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n
USD\/JPY 159,00 seviyesini zorlarken, yak\u0131n vadede yol haritas\u0131 dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Y\u0131l sonuna kadar Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor; \u00f6zellikle Nisan 2026\u2019da ABD enflasyonunun (fiyat art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131) inat\u00e7\u0131 bi\u00e7imde %3,8 gelmesinin ard\u0131ndan. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, bu y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in 160,00 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 \u201ccall\u201d opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (al\u0131m opsiyonu: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte temkin gerekli; g\u00f6stergeler y\u00fckseli\u015fin k\u0131sa vadede yoruldu\u011funu i\u015faret ediyor. RSI\u2019\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131mda olmas\u0131, yukar\u0131 hareketin h\u0131z kesti\u011fine i\u015faret eder. Ayr\u0131ca 2024 ilkbahar\u0131nda parite 160,00 seviyesini a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Japon yetkililerin m\u00fcdahalesiyle sert bir geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 unutulmamal\u0131.<\/p>\n
G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi ile ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f riski aras\u0131ndaki bu gerilim, oynakl\u0131k (volatilite: fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f aral\u0131kta dalgalanmas\u0131) odakl\u0131 stratejiler i\u00e7in alan a\u00e7\u0131yor. \u201cStraddle\u201d almak (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak), daha dengeli bir tercih olabilir. Bu strateji, parite 160,00 \u00fczerini k\u0131rsa da, m\u00fcdahale ile 157,00\u2019ye do\u011fru gerilese de, iki y\u00f6nde de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket olursa kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
Mevcut jeopolitik ortam ve merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fma nedeniyle, USD\/JPY opsiyonlar\u0131nda \u201cimplied volatility\u201d (\u00f6rt\u00fck volatilite: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen oynakl\u0131k) alt\u0131 ay\u0131n zirvesi olan %12,5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Uzun pozisyonlar\u0131, kritik 158,55 deste\u011finin alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 \u201cput\u201d opsiyonlar\u0131yla (sat\u0131m opsiyonu: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) korumak, ani d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f riskine kar\u015f\u0131 mant\u0131kl\u0131 bir y\u00f6ntemdir. Bu deste\u011fin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde 157,86\u2019ya do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmeyi tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/JPY\u2019de ralli s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: Parite 7 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr y\u00fckselip 159,00\u2019da tutunuyor. Jeopolitik risk ve Fed\u2019in olas\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 dolar\u0131 destekliyor; teknikte 158,55 kritik, 160,00 hedef, m\u00fcdahale riski y\u00fcksek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46962","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46962","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46962"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46962\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46962"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46962"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46962"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}