{"id":46955,"date":"2026-05-19T06:20:32","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T06:20:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/rbanin-enflasyon-riski-artarken-aud-usd-geriliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-19T06:20:32","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T06:20:32","slug":"rbanin-enflasyon-riski-artarken-aud-usd-geriliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/analysis\/rbanin-enflasyon-riski-artarken-aud-usd-geriliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA\u2019n\u0131n Enflasyon Riski Artarken AUD\/USD Geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/06\/Aussie4-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-50516\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kan Noktalar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>AUD\/USD <strong>0,71369<\/strong> seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; <strong>0,00307<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle <strong>%0,43<\/strong> geriledi. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek seviye <strong>0,7163<\/strong> oldu.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Sarah Hunter, artan akaryak\u0131t maliyetlerinin enflasyon beklentilerini y\u00fckseltebilece\u011fini ve daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 (faizleri daha y\u00fcksek tutmay\u0131) gerektirebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Westpac\u2013Melbourne Institute T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi May\u0131s\u2019ta ayl\u0131k bazda <strong>%3,5<\/strong> artarak <strong>83<\/strong> oldu. Endeks Nisan\u2019daki <strong>2,5 y\u0131l\u0131n dibi 80,1<\/strong> seviyesinden toparland\u0131.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Avustralya dolar\u0131 Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc <strong>0,71 dolar<\/strong> s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na geriledi. RBA\u2019n\u0131n enflasyon uyar\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 sertle\u015ftirmesi sonras\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar risklerini azaltt\u0131. AUD\/USD, <strong>05\/19 07:08:18 GMT+3<\/strong> itibar\u0131yla <strong>0,71369<\/strong> seviyesinde; <strong>0,00307<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle <strong>%0,43<\/strong> eksideydi. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek seviye <strong>0,7163<\/strong>, en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye <strong>0,71347<\/strong> oldu. A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f <strong>0,71672<\/strong>, \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015f <strong>0,71676<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Australian dollar\u2019s rally may fade with the RBA set to signal a slower pace of interest rate hikes after a widely expected increase this week <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4fhQ7RyZM4\">https:\/\/t.co\/4fhQ7RyZM4<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2051072958638989444?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 3, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu hareket, bir \u00f6nceki seansta g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fckseli\u015fi geri verdi ve enflasyon riski yeniden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131n deste\u011fini h\u0131zl\u0131 kaybedebildi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Kur daha iyi k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yerel verilerden destek bulmu\u015ftu; ancak Hunter\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 dikkati Orta Do\u011fu geriliminin maliyetlerine \u00e7evirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Oil is surging as the Iran conflict rattles global markets. On the latest Bloomberg Australia Podcast, we discuss what it means for petrol prices, the ASX and the RBA. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wNjK0QfUFK\">https:\/\/t.co\/wNjK0QfUFK<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2029036384061632584?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 4, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Hunter, RBA\u2019n\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u00fclke i\u00e7i enflasyona nas\u0131l yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 izledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Merkez bankas\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimi \u201cd\u0131\u015f \u015fok\u201d (\u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan gelen ve fiyatlar\u0131\/ekonomiyi etkileyen beklenmedik etki) olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu \u015fok, k\u00fcresel petrol ve do\u011fal gaz maliyetlerini art\u0131r\u0131yor; bu da Avustralya\u2019da fiyatlar\u0131 hem do\u011frudan hem dolayl\u0131 etkiliyor. Avustralya\u2019da benzin fiyatlar\u0131 zirvede <strong>%36<\/strong> artt\u0131; motorin daha da fazla y\u00fckseldi ve h\u00e2l\u00e2 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin belirgin \u00fczerinde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">RBA, Enflasyon Beklentilerine Odaklan\u0131yor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>RBA\u2019n\u0131n mesaj\u0131 net: Enflasyon hedefin \u00fczerindeyken akaryak\u0131t kaynakl\u0131 fiyat \u015foklar\u0131 daha riskli hale gelir. Hunter, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma d\u00f6nemine enflasyon h\u00e2l\u00e2 <strong>%2\u2013%3<\/strong> hedef band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerindeyken ve \u00fclke i\u00e7i maliyet bask\u0131lar\u0131 s\u00fcrerken girdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bu durum, petrol kaynakl\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n perakende fiyatlara, ula\u015ft\u0131rma giderlerine, in\u015faat girdilerine, g\u0131daya, seyahate ve ithal \u00fcr\u00fcnlere daha kolay yans\u0131mas\u0131na neden olabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Merkez bankas\u0131 man\u015fet enflasyonun (genel enflasyon) Haziran \u00e7eyre\u011finde <strong>%4,8<\/strong> ile zirve yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. \u00c7ekirdek enflasyon (ge\u00e7ici oynak kalemler\u2014\u00f6r. enerji ve baz\u0131 g\u0131dalar\u2014\u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak daha kal\u0131c\u0131 e\u011filimi g\u00f6steren \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm) tahmini de k\u0131sa vadede yukar\u0131 revize edildi. Petrol \u015fokunun <strong>2027<\/strong> Mart \u00e7eyre\u011finde \u00e7ekirdek enflasyona yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>0,4 puan<\/strong> eklemesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The risk of inflation expectations in Australia drifting higher is \u201celevated, \u201d a senior Reserve Bank official said, warning that if they were to become untethered a sharp economic slowdown may be needed to lower them <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/AWrGAsrVIJ\">https:\/\/t.co\/AWrGAsrVIJ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2056526365973700758?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Politika a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan as\u0131l risk \u201cenflasyon beklentileri\u201dnde (hanehalk\u0131 ve \u015firketlerin gelecekte enflasyonun ne olaca\u011f\u0131na dair \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc) yat\u0131yor. E\u011fer kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fcksek enflasyon beklenirse maa\u015f talepleri, s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler ve fiyatlama davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 buna g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fir. Hunter, akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin enflasyon beklentilerini art\u0131r\u0131p \u201cyerle\u015fik\u201d hale getirebilece\u011fini (kal\u0131c\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131) ve bunun da fiyat \u015fokunu geri \u00e7evirmeyi zorla\u015ft\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu uyar\u0131 AUD\/USD i\u00e7in karma\u015f\u0131k bir denge yarat\u0131yor. Daha y\u00fcksek faizler, getiri fark\u0131 \u00fczerinden (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek faiz veren para birimine y\u00f6nelmesi) Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilir. Ancak s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma daha yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme, zay\u0131f t\u00fcketim ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u015firket yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131yla birlikte gelirse, piyasalar kur \u00fczerindeki etkisini \u201cb\u00fcy\u00fcme riski\u201d olarak fiyatlayabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">May\u0131s Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131 RBA\u2019ya Bekleme Alan\u0131 Verdi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>RBA\u2019n\u0131n May\u0131s toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131na g\u00f6re kurul, faizi sabit tutmay\u0131 ya da <strong>25 baz puan<\/strong> art\u0131r\u0131p <strong>%4,35<\/strong> seviyesine \u00e7\u0131karmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi. (Baz puan: faizde <strong>0,01<\/strong> puan; 25 baz puan = <strong>0,25<\/strong> puan.) Art\u0131\u015f, <strong>2025<\/strong>\u2019te yap\u0131lan para politikas\u0131 gev\u015femesini (faiz indirimi\/daha bol para ko\u015fullar\u0131) tamamen geri ald\u0131. Dokuz \u00fcyeden sekizi, Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi uzad\u0131k\u00e7a enflasyon riskleri artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in art\u0131\u015f se\u00e7ene\u011finin daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa karar verdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kurul, karar sonras\u0131 finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n muhtemelen \u201cbir miktar k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131\u201d olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi. Yani kredi ve finansman daha pahal\u0131\/eri\u015fimi daha zor hale gelir. Bu, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lara hanehalk\u0131 ve \u015firketlerin \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131, artan akaryak\u0131t maliyetleri ve s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan kredi ko\u015fullar\u0131na nas\u0131l tepki verdi\u011fini izleme alan\u0131 tan\u0131r. Piyasalar h\u00e2l\u00e2 <strong>A\u011fustos<\/strong>\u2019ta bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na oynuyor; bu olas\u0131l\u0131k yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%75<\/strong> oran\u0131nda fiyatlanm\u0131\u015f durumda (piyasa fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n bu ihtimali b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yans\u0131tmas\u0131). Faizin <strong>%4,60<\/strong> ile zirve yapaca\u011f\u0131, <strong>%4,85<\/strong> ihtimalinin ise k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck de olsa masada oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Avustralya dolar\u0131 iki z\u0131t etkiye a\u00e7\u0131k. K\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131rsa, ek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentileri AUD\/USD\u2019yi destekleyebilir. B\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc zay\u0131flarsa, t\u00fcketiciler harcamay\u0131 k\u0131sarsa veya petrol fiyatlar\u0131 hane b\u00fct\u00e7esini zorlamaya devam ederse parite gerileyebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni Toparland\u0131, Ancak Zay\u0131f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Avustralya\u2019da t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni May\u0131s\u2019ta y\u00fckseldi; ancak tablo g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir t\u00fcketici g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne i\u015faret etmiyor. Westpac\u2013Melbourne Institute T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi <strong>%3,5<\/strong> artarak <strong>83<\/strong> oldu. Endeks Nisan\u2019da <strong>%12,5<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015ferek <strong>80,1<\/strong> ile iki y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine inmi\u015fti. Endeksin <strong>100<\/strong>\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131, k\u00f6t\u00fcmserlerin iyimserlerden fazla oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130yile\u015fmede, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin akaryak\u0131t t\u00fcketim vergisini (yak\u0131t \u00fczerindeki vergi) ge\u00e7ici olarak yar\u0131ya indirmesi etkili oldu. Bu ad\u0131m, Nisan\u2019dan bu yana pompa fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 ortalama litre ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>30 Avustralya senti<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc ve \u00f6nceki faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ile akaryak\u0131t \u015fokunun ard\u0131ndan hanehalk\u0131na k\u0131smi rahatlama sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alt kalemler k\u0131r\u0131lgan. Hanehalk\u0131 finansman\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeleri toparlan\u0131rken, ekonomi beklentileri zay\u0131flad\u0131. \u201cEkonomi, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 12 ay\u201d alt endeksi <strong>%1,5<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015ferek <strong>74,2<\/strong> oldu. \u201cEkonomi, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 5 y\u0131l\u201d endeksi <strong>%2,2<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle <strong>89,3<\/strong>\u2019e geriledi. Westpac, bu iki kalemin birlikte en zay\u0131f seviyesinin <strong>Kas\u0131m 2022<\/strong>\u2019den beri g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Konut kredisi bask\u0131s\u0131 da y\u00fcksek. Konut kredisi faizi beklentileri endeksi <strong>%2,3<\/strong> artarak <strong>181,2<\/strong> ile yeni bir <strong>\u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine<\/strong> \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu y\u0131l \u00fc\u00e7 art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen t\u00fcketicilerin <strong>%85<\/strong>\u2019i \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki <strong>12 ayda<\/strong> mortgage (konut kredisi) faizlerinin y\u00fckselece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Konut kredisi olanlarda bu oran <strong>%90<\/strong>\u2019a yak\u0131n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Teknik Analiz<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>AUDUSD <strong>0,7137<\/strong> civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Parite, <strong>0,7277<\/strong> civar\u0131ndaki son zirvenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 olamay\u0131nca geri \u00e7ekildi. Nisan ve May\u0131s ba\u015f\u0131nda toparlanma e\u011filimi vard\u0131; ancak son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f fiyat\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n alt\u0131na itti ve y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesinin (yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc h\u0131z\u0131n) zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm k\u0131sa vadede y\u00fckseli\u015ften <strong>n\u00f6trden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe d\u00f6n\u00fcyor<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>MA5:<\/strong> 0,7185 (son 5 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>MA10:<\/strong> 0,7210 (son 10 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>MA20:<\/strong> 0,7187 (son 20 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Fiyat \u00fc\u00e7 ortalaman\u0131n da alt\u0131nda. K\u0131sa vadeli ortalamalar a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu, <strong>0,7270<\/strong> \u00fczerindeki k\u0131r\u0131lma denemesi (fiyat\u0131n diren\u00e7 \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k aramas\u0131) ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olunca sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/06\/image-24-1024x501.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-50514\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130zlenecek seviyeler:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u0130lk destek:<\/strong> 0,7135 \u2192 0,7000 (destek: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n devreye girmesinin beklendi\u011fi seviye)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ana destek:<\/strong> 0,6930<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diren\u00e7:<\/strong> 0,7185 \u2192 0,7210 \u2192 0,7277 (diren\u00e7: y\u00fckseli\u015fte sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi seviye)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>0,7135 b\u00f6lgesi<\/strong> ilk destek olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu b\u00f6lgenin alt\u0131na sarkma, \u00f6zellikle ABD dolar\u0131 istikrar kazan\u0131rsa, <strong>0,7000 psikolojik seviyesini<\/strong> (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yuvarlak rakamlara daha \u00e7ok odaklanmas\u0131) g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise AUDUSD\u2019nin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltmas\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong>0,7185\u20130,7210<\/strong> band\u0131n\u0131 yeniden a\u015fmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmezse tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fleri sat\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Genel \u00e7er\u00e7evede paritede daha geni\u015f bir toparlanma yap\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; ancak k\u0131sa vadeli momentum zay\u0131flad\u0131. Daha derin bir d\u00fczeltme d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc (y\u00fckseli\u015f sonras\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilme) \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in <strong>0,7135<\/strong> seviyesinin korunmas\u0131 \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Temkinli G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>AUD\/USD, <strong>0,71879<\/strong> ve <strong>0,72100<\/strong> alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalabilir. <strong>0,71347<\/strong> alt\u0131na ini\u015f, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir ve pariteyi <strong>0,69390<\/strong>\u2019a do\u011fru \u00e7ekebilir. Bu senaryo, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek kal\u0131r ve RBA\u2019n\u0131n uyar\u0131lar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015felerini canl\u0131 tutarsa daha olas\u0131 hale gelir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>0,72100<\/strong> \u00fczeri bir toparlanma al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterebilir ve <strong>0,7277<\/strong> seviyesini yeniden g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in \u00fc\u00e7 unsurun birlikte iyile\u015fmesi gerekir: akaryak\u0131tta fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131 azal\u0131r, t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni <strong>83<\/strong>\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine anlaml\u0131 \u015fekilde \u00e7\u0131kar ve faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentileri Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 desteklerken b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin sert yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 kayg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmaz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Sorular\u0131<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p><strong>AUD\/USD Bug\u00fcn Neden D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AUD\/USD, RBA\u2019n\u0131n Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilece\u011fi ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi zay\u0131flatabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 geriliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AUD\/USD <strong>0,71369<\/strong> seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; <strong>0,7163<\/strong> olan g\u00fcn i\u00e7i zirveyi g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra <strong>0,00307<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle <strong>%0,43<\/strong> geriledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>G\u00fcncel AUD\/USD Fiyat\u0131 Nedir?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AUD\/USD <strong>0,71369<\/strong> seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>G\u00fcn i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek <strong>0,7163<\/strong>, en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck <strong>0,71347<\/strong> oldu. A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f <strong>0,71672<\/strong>, kapan\u0131\u015f <strong>0,71676<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Avustralya Dolar\u0131 Neden \u00d6nceki Kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 Geri Verdi?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Avustralya dolar\u0131, RBA Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Sarah Hunter\u2019\u0131n enflasyon beklentilerinin y\u00fckselmesinin ekonomi i\u00e7in risk yaratabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 \u00f6nceki y\u00fckseli\u015fini geri verdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A\u00e7\u0131klamalar, oda\u011f\u0131 yeniden enerji fiyatlar\u0131na, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131na ve enflasyonun RBA hedefinin \u00fczerinde daha uzun kalma riskine \u00e7evirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma AUD\/USD\u2019yi Nas\u0131l Etkiliyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7at\u0131\u015fma, enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve enflasyon beklentileri \u00fczerinden AUD\/USD\u2019yi etkiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol ve akaryak\u0131t maliyetlerindeki art\u0131\u015f, ula\u015f\u0131m ve nakliye giderlerini, g\u0131da ve \u015firket maliyetlerini y\u00fckseltebilir. Bu durum, hanehalk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131p b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye bask\u0131 yapabilir. Faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentileri k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli destek sa\u011flasa bile genel etki kur \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>RBA Enflasyon Hakk\u0131nda Ne Dedi?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>RBA, kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fcksek enflasyon beklentilerinin ekonomi i\u00e7in risk olu\u015fturdu\u011fu uyar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sarah Hunter, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n enflasyon beklentilerinin hedefin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 hale gelmesini engellemeye odakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Beklentiler \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rsa RBA daha s\u0131k\u0131 politika uygulamak zorunda kalabilir; bu da ekonomik faaliyeti daha belirgin yava\u015flatabilir.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Piyasalarda alarm: RBA\u2019n\u0131n akaryak\u0131t kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon uyar\u0131s\u0131 AUD\/USD\u2019yi 0,7137\u2019ye itti (%0,43). T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni 83\u2019e toparlansa da faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme riski bask\u0131n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":46954,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46955","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46955","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46955"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46955\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/46954"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46955"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46955"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46955"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}