{"id":46925,"date":"2026-05-18T23:26:16","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T23:26:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy-boj-ve-mudahale-riskleri-gundemdeyken-japonya-1c-gsyh-verisi-oncesi-159a-yaklasiyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-18T23:26:16","modified_gmt":"2026-05-18T23:26:16","slug":"usd-jpy-boj-ve-mudahale-riskleri-gundemdeyken-japonya-1c-gsyh-verisi-oncesi-159a-yaklasiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-jpy-boj-ve-mudahale-riskleri-gundemdeyken-japonya-1c-gsyh-verisi-oncesi-159a-yaklasiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY, BoJ ve m\u00fcdahale riskleri g\u00fcndemdeyken Japonya 1\u00c7 GSYH verisi \u00f6ncesi 159\u2019a yakla\u015f\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY, Asya seans\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda Japonya\u2019n\u0131n 1. \u00e7eyrek \u00f6nc\u00fc (h\u0131zl\u0131) GSYH verisi \u00f6ncesi pozisyon almalar\u0131n etkisiyle 158,90\u2019a do\u011fru y\u00fckseldi. Piyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131, verinin i\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye dair ne s\u00f6yleyece\u011fi ve Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) bir sonraki ad\u0131mlar\u0131na nas\u0131l y\u00f6n verece\u011finde.<\/p>\n<p>Kabine Ba\u015f Sekreteri Yoshimasa Kihara, uzun vadeli faizler dahil finansal piyasa hareketlerini \u201c\u00e7ok y\u00fcksek bir aciliyetle\u201d izlediklerini s\u00f6yledi. Japon devlet tahvili getirileri (tahvil faizi) y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rken, enflasyon ve \u00fccret e\u011filimleri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrederse BoJ\u2019un normalle\u015fme ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 (\u00e7ok gev\u015fek politikan\u0131n kademeli \u015fekilde azalt\u0131lmas\u0131) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilece\u011fi beklentisi artt\u0131.<\/p>\n<h3>Teknik Seviyeler Ve Momentum<\/h3>\n<p>D\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte USD\/JPY 158,90 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 20 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama; son 20 d\u00f6nemin ortalama fiyat\u0131) 158,43 ve 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n 157,90 \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. 158,97\u2019deki yak\u0131n diren\u00e7 y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlarken, RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) 74 civar\u0131nda ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde seyretti.<\/p>\n<p>Destek seviyeleri 158,83, 158,69 ve 158,62 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 20 periyotluk SMA 158,43 ve 100 periyotluk SMA 157,90 izleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Teknik analiz b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 deste\u011fiyle haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<h3>GSYH S\u00fcrprizi \u0130\u00e7in Kritik Senaryolar<\/h3>\n<p>Zay\u0131f bir GSYH verisi, BoJ\u2019un normalle\u015fmeyi ertelemesi i\u00e7in gerek\u00e7e yaratabilir ve USD\/JPY\u2019yi 159,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir veri BoJ\u2019u daha h\u0131zl\u0131 ad\u0131m atmaya zorlayarak yenin h\u0131zla de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Bu tek veri a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 piyasada belirleyici olabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131ran bir di\u011fer unsur, Japonya\u2019da \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131. Son veri y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,4 seviyesine i\u015faret etti. Ayr\u0131ca bahar d\u00f6nemi \u201cshunto\u201d \u00fccret g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde (sendika-i\u015fveren toplu \u00fccret pazarl\u0131\u011f\u0131) 2026 i\u00e7in ortalama %4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde zam sa\u011flanmas\u0131, fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n kolay kolay s\u00f6nmeyebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu tablo, BoJ\u2019un daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d bir duru\u015fa (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131\/s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma e\u011filimi) y\u00f6nelebilece\u011fi beklentisini destekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Paritenin di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda ABD ekonomisi diren\u00e7li kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Nisan 2026 tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi (kamu d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131) 210 bin ki\u015fiyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geldi. Bu durum, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) temkinli \u00e7izgisini korumas\u0131na ve faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n (iki \u00fclke faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) dolar lehine y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131na neden oluyor. Bu temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, yenin zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ana nedenlerinden biri.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">i\u015flem yapmaya<\/a>\u00a0\u015fimdi ba\u015flay\u0131n. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY, Japonya 1\u00c7 \u00f6nc\u00fc GSYH \u00f6ncesi 158,90\u2019a t\u0131rmand\u0131; g\u00f6zler BoJ rotas\u0131nda. A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m sinyali var. Zay\u0131f veri 159+; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veri yen rallisi getirebilir. ABD verileri dolar\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46925","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46925"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46925\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46925"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46925"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46925"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}