{"id":46905,"date":"2026-05-18T17:51:27","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T17:51:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/deutsche-bank-serbest-meslekteki-artisin-isgucu-piyasasindaki-zayifligi-maskelemesiyle-ingilterede-issizligin-49da-takili-kalacagini-ongoruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-18T17:51:27","modified_gmt":"2026-05-18T17:51:27","slug":"deutsche-bank-serbest-meslekteki-artisin-isgucu-piyasasindaki-zayifligi-maskelemesiyle-ingilterede-issizligin-49da-takili-kalacagini-ongoruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/deutsche-bank-serbest-meslekteki-artisin-isgucu-piyasasindaki-zayifligi-maskelemesiyle-ingilterede-issizligin-49da-takili-kalacagini-ongoruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Deutsche Bank, serbest meslekteki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 maskelemesiyle \u0130ngiltere\u2019de i\u015fsizli\u011fin %4,9\u2019da tak\u0131l\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Deutsche Bank, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131ndaki s\u00fcrpriz gerilemenin\u2014tarihi d\u00fczeyde **serbest \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan (kendi hesab\u0131na \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma)** say\u0131s\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen\u2014\u0130ngiltere i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131f kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Banka, bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00f6ncesinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen daha zay\u0131f e\u011filime geri d\u00f6n\u00fclece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Banka, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n **%4,9** seviyesinde kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor. Ayr\u0131ca **a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f (vacancy: \u015firketlerin doldurmak istedi\u011fi pozisyon say\u0131s\u0131)** taraf\u0131nda yaln\u0131zca s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekliyor; bu da i\u015fe al\u0131mlarda belirgin bir toparlanmaya i\u015faret etmiyor.<\/p>\n

Uk Labour Market Outlook<\/h3>\n

G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, **\u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Anketi (Labour Force Survey: hanehalk\u0131 temelli istihdam anketi)** ile \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen y\u00fcksek **i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karmalar\u0131 (redundancy: i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karma)** i\u00e7eriyor. **Br\u00fct i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karma (gross redundancies: belirli d\u00f6nemde toplam i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131)** 110 bin ile 155 bin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda izleniyor.<\/p>\n

Anketlerdeki istihdam niyetleri zay\u0131f seyrediyor; \u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 haberlerinin ard\u0131ndan geri \u00e7ekilme g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130\u015fe al\u0131m planlar\u0131 durma noktas\u0131nda; \u015firketler de buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak **\u00fccret art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131** ayarl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Market Implications And Trades<\/h3>\n

Bu yava\u015f i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda **\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131** ihtimalini olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck k\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, **t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (derivative: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir finansal varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fme)** yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, \u0130ngiltere faizlerinin yatay ya da gerileyebilece\u011fi senaryoya g\u00f6re pozisyon almay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin **SONIA vadeli i\u015flemleri (SONIA futures: \u0130ngiltere gecelik faizine dayal\u0131 vadeli kontratlar)** \u00fczerinden.<\/p>\n

Tablo, i\u00e7 pazara duyarl\u0131 \u0130ngiltere \u015firketleri i\u00e7in de zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor; bu durum **FTSE 250 endeksi** \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir. **G\u00fcvencesiz serbest \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma** art\u0131\u015f\u0131, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc t\u00fcketim harcamas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmeyebilir. Bu nedenle **put opsiyonu (put option: belirli fiyattan sat\u0131\u015f hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon)**, t\u00fcketici g\u00fcvenindeki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n tetikleyebilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge) ama\u00e7l\u0131 kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n

Son olarak, belirsiz istihdam g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ile \u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 jeopolitik gerilim birlikte **piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (volatility: fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131)** art\u0131rabilir. Bu ortam, opsiyonlarla oynakl\u0131k almay\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirebilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin **GBP\/USD kurunda \u201cstraddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte alma stratejisi)**.<\/p>\n

VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u015ea\u015f\u0131rtan i\u015fsizlik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kanmay\u0131n: Deutsche Bank, tarihi serbest \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen \u0130ngiltere\u2019de zay\u0131f i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. BoE faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimali d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck; SONIA, FTSE 250, opsiyonlar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46905","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t