\u0130ngiliz Sterlini, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. GBP\/USD, alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 1,3302\u2019den toparlanarak 1,3350\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Hareketlerin, ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleriyle ilgili haberlerin dolara olan talebi zay\u0131flatmas\u0131na ba\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran devlet medyas\u0131, \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn Washington ile Tahran\u2019\u0131n, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce sundu\u011fu bir teklif \u00fczerinde m\u00fczakere y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi\u011fini aktard\u0131. Ayn\u0131 kaynak, \u0130ranl\u0131 ve Ummanl\u0131 teknik ekiplerin ge\u00e7en hafta Umman\u2019da bir araya gelerek H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan g\u00fcvenli ge\u00e7i\u015fin yeniden sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtti.<\/p>\n
Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) daha \u00f6nce, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi endi\u015feleriyle zay\u0131flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Hafta sonu Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri\u2019ndeki bir n\u00fckleer tesise d\u00fczenlenen \u0130HA (insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131) sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131, zaten k\u0131r\u0131lgan olan ate\u015fkese (\u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ge\u00e7ici olarak durmas\u0131) ek bask\u0131 yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u00fcst d\u00fczey ulusal g\u00fcvenlik yetkilileriyle g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fckten sonra \u0130ran i\u00e7in \u201cs\u00fcre daral\u0131yor\u201d dedi. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de ise siyasi belirsizlik artt\u0131; Ba\u015fbakan Keir Starmer g\u00f6revde kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylerken, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi i\u00e7inden olas\u0131 alternatif isimler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD veya \u0130ngiltere\u2019den \u00f6nemli bir veri a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 olmamas\u0131 nedeniyle g\u00f6zler \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Sarah Breeden\u2019a da \u00e7evrildi. Breeden, Financial Times\u2019a bankan\u0131n faiz konusunda \u201ctetikte ve aceleci\u201d davranmamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Bu ortam, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda opsiyon stratejilerini (kurun y\u00f6n\u00fcne kesin bahis yapmadan, belirli senaryolara g\u00f6re pozisyon alma y\u00f6ntemleri) daha \u00f6nemli hale getiriyor. GBP\/USD i\u00e7in ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma) bu ay %10,8\u2019e y\u00fckseldi; Mart ay\u0131ndaki %8,5 dip seviyesinden yukar\u0131da. Bu, piyasan\u0131n daha b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketlerini fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, straddle gibi ara\u00e7larla oynakl\u0131k almay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Straddle (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu almak), y\u00f6n tahmini yapmadan iki y\u00f6nde de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareketten faydalanmay\u0131 hedefler.<\/p>\n
Sterlindeki temel zay\u0131fl\u0131k da kritik bir unsur olmaya devam ediyor. \u0130ngiltere 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k gilt (devlet tahvili) faizleri son bir ayda 25 baz puan y\u00fckseldi. Baz puan, faiz oranlar\u0131nda y\u00fczde puan\u0131n y\u00fczde biri yani 0,01 puand\u0131r; 25 baz puan 0,25 y\u00fczde puana e\u015fittir. Bu art\u0131\u015f, kamu borcuna ili\u015fkin kayg\u0131lar\u0131n yeniden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla ili\u015fkilendiriliyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, sterlindeki y\u00fckseli\u015flerin k\u0131r\u0131lgan olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu nedenle, GBP\/USD\u2019deki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon (kurun gerileyece\u011fi beklentisiyle i\u015flem) kurmak veya a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc koruma almak i\u00e7in kullanmak daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. BoE\u2019nin g\u00fcvercin tonu (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 konusunda daha isteksiz\/daha gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131) da piyasada etkisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Put opsiyonu (kur d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan sat\u0131m opsiyonu) almak, sterlinin temel zay\u0131fl\u0131klar\u0131 yeniden bask\u0131n \u00e7\u0131karsa s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle bu senaryodan yararlanma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sterlin nefes ald\u0131: GBP\/USD 1,3302 dipten 1,3350 \u00fcst\u00fcne toparland\u0131. ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri dolar talebini azaltt\u0131. Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lgan, BoE temkinli. Oynakl\u0131k %10,8; straddle\/put \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46886","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46886"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46886\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46886"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46886"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46886"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}